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MIP - Match Intelligence Pro

@matchintelpro143 followers

Inteligência estatística aplicada ao futebol. Probabilidades, odds justas, EV+ e mercados. Dados antes do palpite. 18+ | Aposta não é investimento.

Football
CompareRSS
Tipster index47.8#174 on the leaderboard
Hit rate
34.4%
expected 36.5%
Edge
−2.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 22.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
32
11-21
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1.5-1-0.5025 Aug2 Sept10 Sept18 Sept25 Sept

By sport

Football11-21 · 32 graded
−2.1
34%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays4-18 · 22 graded
−7.8
18%
Match result4-1 · 5 graded
+24.5
80%
Handicap2-0 · 2 graded
+28.4
100%
Double chance1-0 · 1 graded
+24.0
100%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−26.0
0%
Team totals0-1 · 1 graded
−73.2
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Same-game combo · 2posted 25 Sept, 21:31
Won
Serie B·
Vila Nova
2:0
Londrina EC
Vila Nova or draw✓
Serie B·
Vila Nova
2:0
Londrina EC
Under 4.5✓
Same-game combo · 2posted 25 Sept, 20:49
Lost
Serie B·
Novorizontino
0:0
Sao Bernardo
Novorizontino or draw✓
Serie B·
Novorizontino
0:0
Sao Bernardo
Over 1.5✕
Singleposted 25 Sept, 05:57
Won
LaLiga 2·
Girona
2:0
Albacete
Girona −1.5
Singleposted 25 Sept, 05:57
Won
LaLiga 2·
Girona
2:0
Albacete
Girona to win
Singleposted 25 Sept, 05:57
Lost
LaLiga 2·
Girona
2:0
Albacete
Under 1.5
Parlay · 4posted 22 Sept, 10:02
Lost
Primera A: Clausura·
Santa Fe
0:1
Deportivo Cali
Santa Fe or draw✕
Primera A: Clausura·
Santa Fe
0:1
Deportivo Cali
Ungraded market?
Primera A: Clausura·
Santa Fe
0:1
Deportivo Cali
Under 3.5✓
Primera A: Clausura·
Santa Fe
0:1
Deportivo Cali
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 5posted 22 Sept, 03:27
Lost
FA Cup · FA Cup: Qualification·
Braintree Town
3:0
Needham Market
Over 1.5✓
FA Cup · FA Cup: Qualification·
Crowborough Athletic
3:1
Hampton & Richmond
Over 2.5✓
FA Cup · FA Cup: Qualification·
Dagenham & Redbridge
3:0
Waltham Abbey
Dagenham & Redbridge to win✓
FA Cup · FA Cup: Qualification·
Dorking Wanderers
0:0
Southall
after extra time
Over 1.5✕
FA Cup · FA Cup: Qualification·
Braintree Town
3:0
Needham Market
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 5posted 19 Sept, 04:50
Lost
Ligue 1·
Angers
2:0
Troyes
Under 3.5✓
Ligue 1·
Le Mans
2:1
Lorient
Over 1.5✓
Ligue 1·
Lyon
4:0
Rennes
Over 1.5✓
Ligue 1·
Toulouse
3:2
Le Havre
Under 3.5✕
Ligue 1·
Angers
2:0
Troyes
Ungraded market?
Same-game combo · 2posted 19 Sept, 04:31
Won
LaLiga·
Sevilla
1:3
Barcelona
Over 1.5✓
LaLiga·
Sevilla
1:3
Barcelona
Barcelona to win✓
Parlay · 4posted 19 Sept, 03:38
Lost
Premier League·
Tottenham Hotspur
2:3
Aston Villa
Under 3.5✕
Premier League·
Brighton
3:0
Arsenal
Arsenal draw no bet✕
Premier League·
Nottingham Forest
0:1
Coventry City
Under 3.5✓
Premier League·
Tottenham Hotspur
2:3
Aston Villa
Ungraded market?
Same-game combo · 2posted 18 Sept, 18:50
Won
Premier League·
Brentford
3:0
Chelsea
Brentford +1.5✓
Premier League·
Brentford
3:0
Chelsea
Over 1.5✓
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Sept, 18:30
Lost
Serie A·
Flamengo
2:1
Corinthians
Flamengo or draw✓
Serie A·
Flamengo
2:1
Corinthians
Under 1.5✕
Singleposted 11 Sept, 16:29
Won
LaLiga·
Sevilla
1:0
Valencia
Sevilla +1.5
Same-game combo · 2posted 11 Sept, 16:29
Won
LaLiga·
Sevilla
1:0
Valencia
Sevilla +1.5✓
LaLiga·
Sevilla
1:0
Valencia
Under 3.5✓
Parlay · 26posted 7 Sept, 06:16
Lost
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad +1.5✓
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Under 4.5✕
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Under 2.5✕
Serie A·
Vitoria
1:0
Gremio
Vitoria +1.5✓
Serie A·
Vitoria
1:0
Gremio
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Vitoria
1:0
Gremio
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Vitoria
1:0
Gremio
Under 4.5✓
Serie A·
Vitoria
1:0
Gremio
Under 2.5✓
Serie A·
Udinese
1:2
Lazio
Udinese +1.5✓
Serie A·
Udinese
1:2
Lazio
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Udinese
1:2
Lazio
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Udinese
1:2
Lazio
Under 4.5✓
Serie A·
Udinese
1:2
Lazio
Under 2.5✕
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
0:2
NEOM SC
Over 1.5✓
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
0:2
NEOM SC
Ungraded market?
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
0:2
NEOM SC
Under 2.5✓
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
0:2
NEOM SC
Ungraded market?
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
0:2
NEOM SC
Al Hilal to win✕
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Celta Vigo
Getafe +1.5✓
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Celta Vigo
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Celta Vigo
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Celta Vigo
Under 3.5✓
LaLiga·
Getafe
1:1
Celta Vigo
Under 1.5✕
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real Sociedad
Ungraded market?
Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Sept, 06:57
Lost
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras or draw✓
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
Palmeiras
Over 1.5✕
Parlay · 20posted 6 Sept, 05:40
Lost
Serie A·
Cruzeiro
3:1
Athletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro +1.5✓
Serie A·
Cruzeiro
3:1
Athletico Paranaense
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Cruzeiro
3:1
Athletico Paranaense
Under 4.5✓
Serie A·
Cruzeiro
3:1
Athletico Paranaense
Under 2.5✕
Premier League·
Arsenal
2:1
Chelsea
Arsenal +1.5✓
Premier League·
Arsenal
2:1
Chelsea
Over 1.5✓
Premier League·
Arsenal
2:1
Chelsea
Ungraded market?
Premier League·
Arsenal
2:1
Chelsea
Ungraded market?
Premier League·
Arsenal
2:1
Chelsea
Under 4.5✓
LaLiga·
Valencia
0:5
Barcelona
Barcelona or draw✓
LaLiga·
Valencia
0:5
Barcelona
Over 1.5✓
LaLiga·
Valencia
0:5
Barcelona
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Valencia
0:5
Barcelona
Under 1.5✕
LaLiga·
Valencia
0:5
Barcelona
Under 4.5✕
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
Palmeiras
Palmeiras +1.5✓
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
Palmeiras
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
Palmeiras
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
Palmeiras
Under 4.5✓
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
Palmeiras
Under 2.5✓
Serie A·
Cruzeiro
3:1
Athletico Paranaense
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 8posted 5 Sept, 06:41
Lost
Premier League·
Manchester City
1:0
Coventry City
Over 1.5✕
Bundesliga·
Schalke 04
0:0
Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich to win✕
Primeira Liga·
Sporting CP
2:0
Nacional
Under 1.5✕
Serie A·
AS Roma
2:1
Atalanta
Under 4.5✓
Premier League·
Everton
2:2
Manchester United
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Valencia
0:5
Barcelona
Under 1.5✕
Serie A·
Remo
0:1
Flamengo
Over 1.5✕
Premier League·
Manchester City
1:0
Coventry City
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 2posted 5 Sept, 06:06
odds 108Lost
Premier League·
Newcastle United
2:2
AFC Bournemouth
Newcastle United to win✕
Premier League·
Newcastle United
2:2
AFC Bournemouth
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 13posted 5 Sept, 05:47
Lost
Premier League·
Newcastle United
2:2
AFC Bournemouth
Over 1.5✓
LaLiga·
Athletic Club
3:0
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid +1.5✕
LaLiga·
Athletic Club
3:0
Atletico Madrid
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Athletic Club
3:0
Atletico Madrid
Under 4.5✓
Ligue 1·
Lens
0:1
Lorient
Lens or draw✕
Ligue 1·
Lens
0:1
Lorient
Over 1.5✕
Ligue 1·
Lens
0:1
Lorient
Under 4.5✓
Ligue 1·
Lens
0:1
Lorient
Under 1.5✓
Bundesliga·
Bayer Leverkusen
4:0
Union Berlin
Bayer Leverkusen or draw✓
Bundesliga·
Bayer Leverkusen
4:0
Union Berlin
Over 1.5✓
Bundesliga·
Bayer Leverkusen
4:0
Union Berlin
Ungraded market?
Bundesliga·
Bayer Leverkusen
4:0
Union Berlin
Ungraded market?
Premier League·
Newcastle United
2:2
AFC Bournemouth
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 7posted 4 Sept, 15:59
Lost
LaLiga·
Real Betis
1:0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid or draw✕
LaLiga·
Real Betis
1:0
Real Madrid
Under 7.5✓
LaLiga·
Real Betis
1:0
Real Madrid
Over 0.5✓
Premier League·
Ipswich Town
0:2
Liverpool
Over 1.5✓
Premier League·
Ipswich Town
0:2
Liverpool
Under 6.5✓
Premier League·
Ipswich Town
0:2
Liverpool
Over 0.5✓
LaLiga·
Real Betis
1:0
Real Madrid
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 19posted 1 Sept, 06:39
Lost
DFB Cup · DFB Cup: Round 1·
HEBC Hamburg
0:5
Borussia Dortmund
Borussia Dortmund −4.5✓
DFB Cup · DFB Cup: Round 1·
HEBC Hamburg
0:5
Borussia Dortmund
Over 5.5✕
DFB Cup · DFB Cup: Round 1·
HEBC Hamburg
0:5
Borussia Dortmund
Ungraded market?
DFB Cup · DFB Cup: Round 1·
HEBC Hamburg
0:5
Borussia Dortmund
Under 1.5✕
DFB Cup · DFB Cup: Round 1·
HEBC Hamburg
0:5
Borussia Dortmund
Ungraded market?
Coppa Italia · Coppa Italia: Preliminary Round·
Torino
0:1
Monza
Torino or draw✕
Coppa Italia · Coppa Italia: Preliminary Round·
Torino
0:1
Monza
Ungraded market?
Coppa Italia · Coppa Italia: Preliminary Round·
Torino
0:1
Monza
Ungraded market?
Coppa Italia · Coppa Italia: Preliminary Round·
Torino
0:1
Monza
Under 1.5✓
Coppa Italia · Coppa Italia: Preliminary Round·
Torino
0:1
Monza
Under 4.5✓
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
3:0
Al Ahli
Over 1.5✓
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
3:0
Al Ahli
Ungraded market?
Saudi Professional League·
Al Hilal
3:0
Al Ahli
Ungraded market?
Championship·
West Ham United
4:2
Wolves
West Ham United +1.5✓
Championship·
West Ham United
4:2
Wolves
Over 1.5✓
Championship·
West Ham United
4:2
Wolves
Ungraded market?
Championship·
West Ham United
4:2
Wolves
Ungraded market?
Championship·
West Ham United
4:2
Wolves
Ungraded market?
DFB Cup · DFB Cup: Round 1·
HEBC Hamburg
0:5
Borussia Dortmund
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 13posted 31 Aug, 05:35
Lost
LaLiga·
Barcelona
5:2
Rayo Vallecano
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Barcelona
5:2
Rayo Vallecano
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Barcelona
5:2
Rayo Vallecano
Under 1.5✕
LaLiga·
Barcelona
5:2
Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona to win✓
Premier League·
Aston Villa
0:1
Arsenal
Arsenal or draw✓
Premier League·
Aston Villa
0:1
Arsenal
Ungraded market?
Premier League·
Aston Villa
0:1
Arsenal
Under 4.5✓
Premier League·
Aston Villa
0:1
Arsenal
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Atalanta
1:0
Bologna
Atalanta or draw✓
Serie A·
Atalanta
1:0
Bologna
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Atalanta
1:0
Bologna
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Atalanta
1:0
Bologna
Under 4.5✓
LaLiga·
Barcelona
5:2
Rayo Vallecano
Ungraded market?
Same-game combo · 3posted 27 Aug, 21:59
Lost
Serie A·
Gremio
3:1
Chapecoense AF
Under 3.5✕
Serie A·
Gremio
3:1
Chapecoense AF
Ungraded market?
Serie A·
Gremio
3:1
Chapecoense AF
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 27 Aug, 21:57
Won
Brazil · Copa do Brasil·
Internacional
0:0
Gremio
Draw
Singleposted 27 Aug, 21:57
Lost
Serie A·
Gremio
3:1
Chapecoense AF
Gremio under 1.5
Singleposted 27 Aug, 21:57
Won
Serie A·
Cagliari
0:1
Inter
Inter or draw
Singleposted 27 Aug, 21:57
Lost
Brazil · Copa do Brasil·
Internacional
0:0
Gremio
Internacional to win
Parlay · 5posted 27 Aug, 17:15
Lost
LaLiga·
Barcelona
2:0
Athletic Club
Under 1.5✕
LaLiga·
Barcelona
2:0
Athletic Club
Ungraded market?
LaLiga·
Barcelona
2:0
Athletic Club
Over 2.5✕
LaLiga·
Barcelona
2:0
Athletic Club
Barcelona to win✓
LaLiga·
Barcelona
2:0
Athletic Club
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 26 Aug, 09:05
Won
Champions League Qualification·
Lyon
1:2
Fenerbahçe
Fenerbahçe to win