Won
Challenge Cup·
Hamilton Academical
3:0
Kilmarnock BHamilton Academical to win
Hit rate
36.8%
expected 40.7%
Edge
−3.8 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 25.3%, the edge is within noise
Graded
39
14-24-1
ROI
−13.5%
on 6 picks with odds
Average odds
2.38
singles with odds
Form
streak W1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football12-23-1 · 36 graded
−5.034%
NFL & NCAAF2-1 · 3 graded
+10.067%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result10-20 · 30 graded
−7.733%
Parlays0-4 · 4 graded
−20.20%
Handicap3-0 · 3 graded
+34.7100%
Totals1-0-1 · 2 graded
+62.0100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By league
- Serie A · Brazil4-931%−8.9
- Serie B · Brazil3-350%+7.0
- Copa Libertadores0-40%−31.1
- Copa do Brasil · Brazil1-325%−2.6
- NCAAF2-167%+10.0
- UEFA Nations League1-150%+16.7
- USL Championship · USA1-0100%+63.8
- International Friendlies0-0-1-0.0
- Champions League1-0100%+14.3
- Quarter-Finals · Copa Sudamericana0-10%−37.7
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Picks
Kilmarnock Bodds 2.35Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Netherlands
1:1
GermanyDraw@2.35
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
0:1
FranceDraw
Push
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
Australia
1:1
BrazilOver 2
Lost
Serie B·
Goias
2:1
Avai FCAvai FC to win
Lost
Serie A·
Corinthians
1:3
FluminenseDraw
Lost
Copa Sudamericana · Quarter-Finals·
Vasco da Gama
2:0
Santa FeOver 2↺
Copa Sudamericana · Quarter-Finals·
Vasco da Gama
2:0
Santa FeOver 3✕
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Texas Longhorns
24:23
Ohio State BuckeyesTexas Longhorns +1.5
Lost
Serie A·
Palmeiras
2:0
Sao PauloDraw
Lost
Serie A·
Gremio
1:2
Vasco da GamaDraw
odds 2.70Lost
Copa Libertadores 2026 · Quarter-Finals·
Independiente del Valle
0:2
FlamengoDraw@2.70
Lost
Copa Libertadores 2026 · Quarter-Finals·
Fluminense
2:0
Club Atletico PlatenseDraw
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida State Seminoles
24:27
SMU MustangsFlorida State Seminoles to win
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Florida State Seminoles
24:27
SMU MustangsSMU Mustangs +12.4
Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Real Madrid
2:1
InterInter +1.48
odds 3.20Lost
Serie A·
Remo
0:1
FlamengoDraw✕
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
PalmeirasDraw✓
Serie A·
Remo
0:1
FlamengoUngraded market?
Lost
Serie A·
Fluminense
1:0
Vasco da GamaDraw
Lost
Serie A·
Sao Paulo
2:0
Atletico MGDraw
Lost
Serie A·
RB Bragantino
2:3
BahiaDraw
Won
Serie A·
Botafogo FR
0:0
PalmeirasDraw
Won
Serie A·
Remo
0:1
FlamengoFlamengo to win
odds 2.30Lost
Brazil · Copa do Brasil·
Vitoria
0:2
Vasco da GamaDraw@2.30
odds 1.71Lost
Serie A·
Atletico MG
2:1
VitoriaDraw@1.71
Lost
Brazil · Copa do Brasil·
Cruzeiro
1:1
Atletico MGCruzeiro to win✕
Brazil · Copa do Brasil·
Cruzeiro
1:1
Atletico MGDraw✓
odds 2.84Won
Brazil · Copa do Brasil·
Cruzeiro
1:1
Atletico MGDraw@2.84
Lost
Serie B·
Criciuma
0:2
FortalezaDraw
Lost
Serie A·
Vitoria
0:2
BahiaVitoria to win
Lost
Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round of 16·
LDU de Quito
0:0
Mirassolpenalties
LDU de Quito to win
Won
Serie B·
Nautico
1:0
CearaNautico to win
Won
Serie B·
Criciuma
1:0
GoiasCriciuma to win