el wero picks

@elwero_picks184 followers

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Tipster index46.4#241 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

52.8%

expected 56.1%

Edge

−3.3 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 39.4%, the edge is within noise

Graded

19-17

ROI

posts no odds

Average odds

singles with odds

Form

streak W2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football7-7 · 14 graded

−10.0

50%

Baseball8-4 · 12 graded

+12.5

67%

NFL & NCAAF4-6 · 10 graded

−13.0

40%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result10-6 · 16 graded

+9.5

63%

Totals6-4 · 10 graded

−5.1

60%

Parlays1-3 · 4 graded

−15.4

25%

Both teams to score2-2 · 4 graded

−13.0

50%

Handicap0-2 · 2 graded

−53.7

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA8-467%+12.5
NFL4-640%−13.0
Premier League · England3-260%+1.2
UEFA Nations League2-340%−23.5
Liga MX · Mexico0-20%−46.7
Europa League1-0100%+16.9

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Picks

Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:39

Won

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

1:3

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:34

Won

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 01:30

San Diego Padres

4:3

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 18:21

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·5 Oct, 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1:0

Poland

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 4 Oct, 23:55

Won

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Over 49.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:18

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

San Francisco 49ers to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:37

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

17:22

Jacksonville Jaguars

Cincinnati Bengals to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 20:51

Won

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 22:30

Tampa Bay Rays

1:0

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:49

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·3 Oct, 16:00

Croatia

0:7

England

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 2 Oct, 18:23

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·2 Oct, 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1:1

Sweden

Over 2.5

Singleposted 1 Oct, 23:57

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 23:44

Lost

MLB · post-season·1 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

9:2

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:39

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 18:00

Atlanta Braves

3:4

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 01:29

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 20:51

Lost

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Houston Astros to win

Singleposted 28 Sept, 23:49

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles −2.5

Singleposted 27 Sept, 23:58

Won

NFL · Regular Season·28 Sept, 00:20

Denver Broncos

30:26

Los Angeles Rams

Denver Broncos to win

Singleposted 27 Sept, 18:30

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·27 Sept, 18:45

Norway

1:2

Portugal

Over 2.5

Singleposted 26 Sept, 18:17

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·26 Sept, 18:45

England

2:3

Spain

Over 2.5

Singleposted 26 Sept, 00:27

Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·26 Sept, 01:00

Atlante

4:2

Monterrey

Draw

Same-game combo · 2posted 24 Sept, 23:46

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·25 Sept, 00:15

Green Bay Packers

14:35

Atlanta Falcons

Over 32.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·25 Sept, 00:15

Green Bay Packers

14:35

Atlanta Falcons

Green Bay Packers to win✕

Parlay · 2posted 24 Sept, 18:23

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·24 Sept, 18:45

Netherlands

1:1

Germany

Both teams to score: yes✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·24 Sept, 18:45

Norway

3:2

Denmark

Norway +0.5✓

Singleposted 23 Sept, 22:28

Won

MLB·23 Sept, 22:40

Philadelphia Phillies

1:4

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers to win

Singleposted 23 Sept, 17:31

Lost

MLB·23 Sept, 17:35

Baltimore Orioles

4:2

Toronto Blue Jays

Over 7

Singleposted 22 Sept, 21:51

Won

MLB·22 Sept, 22:40

Philadelphia Phillies

6:4

Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies to win

Singleposted 22 Sept, 16:55

Lost

MLB·22 Sept, 17:05

New York Yankees

2:0

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays +0.5

Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:50

Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Atlanta Falcons

3:34

Carolina Panthers

Carolina Panthers to win

Singleposted 20 Sept, 01:02

Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·20 Sept, 01:10

Monterrey

1:0

Cruz Azul

Over 2.5

Singleposted 19 Sept, 13:39

Won

Premier League·19 Sept, 14:00

Newcastle United

2:1

Hull City

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 19 Sept, 07:12

Won

Premier League·19 Sept, 11:30

Tottenham Hotspur

2:3

Aston Villa

Both teams to score: yes

Same-game combo · 2posted 18 Sept, 18:41

Lost

Premier League·18 Sept, 19:00

Brentford

3:0

Chelsea

Both teams to score: yes✕

Premier League·18 Sept, 19:00

Brentford

3:0

Chelsea

Over 2.5✓