Maurice Demetrius

@dbunk_picks3.2K followers

Premium Sports Intelligence 🤓Built for Serious Bettors. 📶 TELEGRAM: https://t.co/olQK2BQu85

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Tipster index48.5#166 on the leaderboard

Open picks 6

Games not played yet

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

live

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians to win +3

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

live

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win +3@13.71

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Kimmer Coppejans

-:-

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

-:-

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Pavel Kotov

-:-

Tallon Griekspoor

Pavel Kotov to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Nuno Borges

-:-

Facundo Acosta

Nuno Borges to win

Hit rate

54.5%

expected 55.4%

Edge

−0.8 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 50.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

441

240-200-1 · 12 pending

ROI

−19.6%

on 101 picks with odds

Average odds

1.77

singles with odds

Form

streak L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball100-83-1 · 184 graded

−2.7

55%

Tennis57-65 · 122 graded

−6.1

47%

NFL & NCAAF38-27 · 65 graded

+7.1

58%

Football40-20 · 60 graded

+8.3

67%

Hockey4-5 · 9 graded

−12.1

44%

Basketball1-0 · 1 graded

+49.1

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result171-126 · 297 graded

+0.2

58%

Totals43-24-1 · 68 graded

−0.1

64%

Handicap25-17 · 42 graded

+0.6

60%

Parlays0-28 · 28 graded

−7.2

Team totals1-3 · 4 graded

−31.7

25%

Both teams to score0-2 · 2 graded

−58.8

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA100-71-158%−2.4
ATP 100017-1750%−1.4
NFL28-1565%+8.2
US Open12-1250%−6.8
ATP 5008-1044%−10.7
NCAAF10-567%+9.3
ATP Challenger7-750%−5.1
ATP 2506-843%−14.4
WTA 10006-460%+0.5
NHL4-450%−12.7

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 05:30

Mariano Navone

-:-

Pablo Carreno Busta

Pablo Carreno Busta to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 05:30

Thiago Agustin Tirante

-:-

Hamad Medjedovic

Hamad Medjedovic to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 05:30

Hubert Hurkacz

-:-

James Duckworth

Hubert Hurkacz to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Kimmer Coppejans

-:-

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Camilo Ugo Carabelli

-:-

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Pavel Kotov

-:-

Tallon Griekspoor

Pavel Kotov to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Nuno Borges

-:-

Facundo Acosta

Nuno Borges to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:00

Jaume Munar

-:-

Jenson Brooksby

Jaume Munar to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 05:30

Bernard Tomic

-:-

Matteo Arnaldi

Bernard Tomic to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 21:21

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 05:30

Adolfo Vallejo

-:-

Valentin Royer

Adolfo Vallejo to win

Parlay · 4posted 7 Oct, 17:50

Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

live

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians to win◷

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

live

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win◷

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

-:-

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees to win◷

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

-:-

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win◷

Parlay · 4posted 7 Oct, 15:24

odds 13.71Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

live

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win@2.01◷

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

live

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win@1.86◷

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

-:-

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees to win@1.77◷

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

-:-

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win@2.07◷

Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:46

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 06:35

Yannick Hanfmann

2:1

Kamil Majchrzak

Kamil Majchrzak to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:46

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 06:45

Zhizhen Zhang

1:2

Tomas Machac

Zhizhen Zhang to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:46

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 04:10

Sho Shimabukuro

0:2

Miomir Kecmanovic

Sho Shimabukuro to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:46

Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 04:10

Arthur Gea

2:1

Jaime Faria

Arthur Gea to win

Parlay · 4posted 6 Oct, 23:09

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:30

New York Rangers

5:2

New York Islanders

New York Rangers to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 00:00

Chicago Blackhawks

4:2

St. Louis Blues

St. Louis Blues to win✕

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 01:40

Seattle Kraken

2:6

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:30

New York Rangers

5:2

New York Islanders

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 6 Oct, 21:18

odds 1.87Won

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 02:00

Golden State Warriors

124:98

LA Lakers

Golden State Warriors −2.5@1.87

Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:16

odds 2.30Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 10:20

Pavel Kotov

2:0

Aleksandar Vukic

Aleksandar Vukic to win@2.30

Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:16

odds 1.73Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 07:15

Kyrian Jacquet

1:2

Rei Sakamoto

Kyrian Jacquet to win@1.73

Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:16

odds 1.94Won

ATP Challenger · Villena, Spain·6 Oct, 17:40

August Holmgren

1:2

Pedro Martinez

Pedro Martinez to win@1.94

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:41

Won

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 09:10

Maria Sakkari

0:2

Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:41

Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 08:40

Jelena Ostapenko

1:2

Elise Mertens

Jelena Ostapenko to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:41

Won

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 03:10

Donna Vekic

1:2

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:41

Won

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 06:15

Marie Bouzkova

1:2

Qinwen Zheng

Qinwen Zheng to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:41

Won

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 05:10

Iva Jovic

2:0

Kamilla Rakhimova

Iva Jovic to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:16

odds 1.54Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·5 Oct, 06:50

Alina Charaeva

2:0

Sonay Kartal

Sonay Kartal to win@1.54

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:16

odds 1.93Lost

WTA Challenger · Samsun, Turkiye·5 Oct, 11:35

Polina Iatcenko

2:0

Suzan Lamens

Suzan Lamens to win@1.93

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:16

Lost

WTA Challenger · Suzhou, China·5 Oct, 05:30

Elsa Jacquemot

0:2

Claire Liu

Elsa Jacquemot to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 02:16

odds 2.24Lost

WTA Challenger · Samsun, Turkiye·5 Oct, 11:15

Lucia Bronzetti

0:2

Fiona Crawley

Lucia Bronzetti to win@2.24