odds 1.95Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver BroncosSan Francisco 49ers β3@1.95
Hit rate
51.8%
expected 53.5%
Edge
β1.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 36.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
28
14-13-1
ROI
β5.9%
on 8 picks with odds
Average odds
1.90
singles with odds
Form
streak W1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF14-13-1 Β· 28 graded
β1.752%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap13-12-1 Β· 26 graded
β1.952%
Match result1-0 Β· 1 graded
+48.0100%
Parlays0-1 Β· 1 graded
β46.20%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
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Picks
Denver Broncosodds 1.98Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Houston Texans
30:34
Dallas CowboysHouston Texans β3@1.98
odds 1.87Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Cincinnati Bengals
17:22
Jacksonville JaguarsCincinnati Bengals β2.5@1.87
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Iowa Hawkeyes
14:31
Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes β13.5
Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
TCU Horned Frogs
10:17
BYU CougarsTCU Horned Frogs +6
Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Arizona State Sun Devils
19:55
Baylor BearsArizona State Sun Devils β3.5
Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh SteelersCleveland Browns +3
Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Indianapolis Colts
19:17
Houston TexansHouston Texans β2.5
Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
16:23
Minnesota VikingsTampa Bay Buccaneers +1.5
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Michigan Wolverines
19:20
Iowa HawkeyesIowa Hawkeyes +6
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
USC Trojans
27:41
Oregon DucksOregon Ducks β3
odds 1.87Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Los Angeles Rams
28:6
New York GiantsLos Angeles Rams β6.5@1.87
odds 1.87Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
New England Patriots
20:3
Pittsburgh SteelersNew England Patriots β5β
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Houston Texans
6:20
Cincinnati BengalsHouston Texans β2.5β
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Denver Broncos
20:13
Jacksonville JaguarsDenver Broncos β2.5β
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Clemson Tigers
28:20
North Carolina Tar HeelsClemson Tigers β3
Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
South Carolina Gamecocks
34:41
Mississippi State BulldogsSouth Carolina Gamecocks β4
Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Auburn Tigers
39:44
Florida GatorsAuburn Tigers +2.5
Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Kansas City Chiefs
31:10
Denver BroncosKansas City Chiefs β2
Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Houston Texans
31:36
Buffalo BillsHouston Texans +1.5
Lost
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Carolina Panthers
37:59
Chicago BearsCarolina Panthers +3
odds 1.87Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Michigan Wolverines
17:10
Oklahoma SoonersMichigan Wolverines +6@1.87
odds 1.93Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Iowa Hawkeyes
16:13
Iowa State CyclonesIowa Hawkeyes β13.5@1.93
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Illinois Fighting Illini
27:31
Duke Blue DevilsDuke Blue Devils +6
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Texas Longhorns
24:23
Ohio State BuckeyesOhio State Buckeyes +1.5
Won
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Los Angeles Rams
7:27
San Francisco 49ersSan Francisco 49ers +3.5
Push
NFL Β· Regular SeasonΒ·
Seattle Seahawks
13:10
New England PatriotsNew England Patriots +3
Lost
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
James Madison Dukes
20:13
Liberty FlamesLiberty Flames +6
Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
Auburn Tigers
17:16
Baylor BearsBaylor Bears +7.5
odds 1.83Won
NCAAF Β· NCAAF: Regular SeasonΒ·
California Golden Bears
24:45
UCLA BruinsUCLA Bruins to win@1.83