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FootballHockey

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Tipster index44.1#222 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

47.1%

expected 51.1%

Edge

−4.0 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 38.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

41-46

ROI

+3.4%

on 24 picks with odds

Average odds

1.40

singles with odds

Form

streak L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football40-46 · 86 graded

−4.1

47%

Hockey1-0 · 1 graded

+6.5

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays21-31 · 52 graded

+3.9

40%

Totals14-10 · 24 graded

−18.3

58%

Match result1-5 · 6 graded

−44.7

17%

Double chance2-0 · 2 graded

+35.0

100%

Both teams to score2-0 · 2 graded

+41.1

100%

Team totals1-0 · 1 graded

+6.5

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

Champions League9-375%−2.8
LaLiga · Spain3-175%+12.2
Championship · England2-167%−3.8
MLS · USA0-20%−82.2
Conference League1-150%−22.5
EFL Cup · England2-0100%+57.1
Isthmian League Premier Division · England1-150%+1.9
Premier League · England0-10%−62.3
Serie B · Brazil1-0100%+17.8
Europa League1-0100%+48.5

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Picks

Parlay · 3posted 2 Oct, 18:21

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·2 Oct, 18:45

Belgium

3:0

Turkiye

Belgium to win✓

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·2 Oct, 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1:1

Sweden

Over 1.5✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·2 Oct, 18:45

France

1:1

Italy

France to win✕

Singleposted 30 Sept, 19:42

odds 1.45Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·1 Oct, 18:45

Wales

2:1

Norway

Norway to win@1.45

Parlay · 4posted 28 Sept, 13:13

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·28 Sept, 18:45

Turkiye

1:4

Italy

Under 3.5✕

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·28 Sept, 18:45

Sweden

3:1

Poland

Over 1.5✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·28 Sept, 18:45

Belgium

0:1

France

Over 1.5✕

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group E·28 Sept, 16:00

Zimbabwe

1:2

DR Congo

Over 1.5✓

Parlay · 3posted 27 Sept, 09:40

odds 3.22Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·27 Sept, 16:00

Denmark

2:0

Wales

Denmark to win@1.38✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·27 Sept, 16:00

Serbia

1:2

Netherlands

Netherlands to win@1.44✓

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·27 Sept, 16:00

Austria

3:1

Kosovo

Austria to win@1.61✓

Parlay · 3posted 25 Sept, 16:43

odds 1.94Lost

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 2·25 Sept, 18:45

Montenegro

2:1

Cyprus

Over 1.5@1.30✓

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·25 Sept, 18:45

Sweden

2:1

Romania

Over 1.5@1.15✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·25 Sept, 18:45

Turkiye

0:1

France

Over 2.5@1.30✕

Parlay · 3posted 23 Sept, 20:41

odds 1.57Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·24 Sept, 18:45

Norway

3:2

Denmark

Over 1.5@1.18✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·24 Sept, 18:45

Portugal

1:0

Wales

Over 1.5@1.15✕

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·24 Sept, 18:45

Austria

3:1

Israel

Over 1.5@1.15✓

Parlay · 2posted 22 Sept, 22:08

odds 1.87Lost

Primera A: Clausura·22 Sept, 23:00

Independiente Medellin

2:1

CD Jaguares

Independiente Medellin to win@1.33✓

Primera A: Clausura·23 Sept, 01:00

Santa Fe

0:1

Deportivo Cali

Santa Fe draw no bet@1.40✕

Parlay · 2posted 21 Sept, 20:49

odds 1.82Won

EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy North: Group G·22 Sept, 18:00

Barnsley

3:4

Leeds United U21

Over 2.5@1.30✓

EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy North: Group C·22 Sept, 18:30

Bradford City

2:1

Newcastle United U21

Over 2.5@1.40✓

Singleposted 20 Sept, 22:07

Lost

Isthmian League Premier Division·22 Sept, 18:45

Three Bridges

3:3

Leatherhead

Three Bridges to win

Parlay · 5posted 20 Sept, 18:41

Lost

Ligue 1·20 Sept, 18:45

Marseille

1:2

Paris Saint-Germain

Over 1.5✓

Ligue 1·20 Sept, 18:45

Marseille

1:2

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain to win✓

Serie A·20 Sept, 18:45

AC Milan

3:0

Lecce

Over 1.5✓

LaLiga·20 Sept, 19:00

Valencia

2:3

Real Sociedad

Under 4.5✕

Ligue 1·20 Sept, 18:45

Marseille

1:2

Paris Saint-Germain

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 20 Sept, 09:07

odds 1.53Lost

Premier League·20 Sept, 13:00

AFC Bournemouth

0:1

Liverpool

Over 2.5@1.53

Parlay · 2posted 19 Sept, 17:07

odds 1.71Won

Ligue 1·19 Sept, 18:45

Lyon

4:0

Rennes

Lyon or draw@1.36✓

LaLiga·19 Sept, 19:00

Sevilla

1:3

Barcelona

Barcelona to win@1.25✓

Parlay · 3posted 18 Sept, 16:34

Lost

Championship·18 Sept, 19:00

Bristol City

1:0

Watford

Over 1.5✕

LaLiga·18 Sept, 19:00

Espanyol

1:3

Elche

Espanyol or draw✕

LaLiga·18 Sept, 19:00

Espanyol

1:3

Elche

Over 1.5✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Sept, 21:23

Lost

LaLiga·18 Sept, 19:00

Espanyol

1:3

Elche

Over 1.5✓

LaLiga·18 Sept, 19:00

Espanyol

1:3

Elche

Espanyol to win✕

Singleposted 17 Sept, 17:45

odds 1.85Won

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 19:00

Celtic

1:3

Ferencvaros

Ferencvaros or draw@1.85

Parlay · 7posted 17 Sept, 12:36

Lost

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 19:00

Crystal Palace

4:0

Lech Poznan

Over 1.5✓

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 19:00

Crystal Palace

4:0

Lech Poznan

Crystal Palace to win✓

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 19:00

Juventus

5:0

NEC Nijmegen

Juventus to win✓

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 19:00

Celtic

1:3

Ferencvaros

Celtic or draw✕

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 16:45

OFI Crete

2:0

Hoffenheim

Hoffenheim to win✕

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 19:00

Crystal Palace

4:0

Lech Poznan

Crystal Palace to win✓

Europa League · League Stage·17 Sept, 19:00

Crystal Palace

4:0

Lech Poznan

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 4posted 16 Sept, 09:57

Lost

LaLiga·16 Sept, 17:00

Atletico Madrid

4:0

Osasuna

Atletico Madrid to win@1.33✓

Europa League · League Stage·16 Sept, 19:00

AC Milan

0:2

Benfica

Over 1.5@1.20✓

Europa League · League Stage·16 Sept, 19:00

Bayer Leverkusen

2:0

NK Celje

Over 2.5@1.18✕

LaLiga·16 Sept, 17:00

Atletico Madrid

4:0

Osasuna

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 3posted 15 Sept, 17:32

Lost

EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy North: Group C·15 Sept, 18:00

York City

1:3

Newcastle United U21

York City to win✕

EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy South: Group C·15 Sept, 18:00

Wycombe Wanderers

2:1

Chelsea U21

Over 2.5✓

LaLiga·15 Sept, 18:00

Deportivo Alaves

0:1

Valencia

Under 3.5✓

Singleposted 15 Sept, 11:04

Won

Norway · NM Cup: Round 2·16 Sept, 16:00

Vindbjart

2:3

IK Start

Both teams to score: yes

Parlay · 5posted 15 Sept, 09:00

Lost

EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·15 Sept, 19:00

Ipswich Town

2:4

Arsenal

Arsenal to win✓

Championship·15 Sept, 18:45

Middlesbrough

2:2

Millwall

Under 3.5✕

LaLiga·15 Sept, 19:30

Elche

2:3

Real Madrid

Real Madrid to win✓

EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·15 Sept, 18:45

West Ham United

2:3

Fulham

Over 1.5✓

EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·15 Sept, 19:00

Liverpool

3:1

Tottenham Hotspur

Liverpool to win✓

Parlay · 5posted 14 Sept, 22:09

Lost

Serie B·14 Sept, 22:30

Botafogo SP

1:3

Goias

Under 3.5✕

Serie A·14 Sept, 23:00

Bahia

2:1

Remo

Over 1.5✓

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·15 Sept, 01:00

Leon

2:0

Atletico de San Luis

Over 1.5✓

Primera A: Clausura·15 Sept, 01:00

America de Cali

0:1

Deportivo Pasto

Over 1.5✕

Serie B·14 Sept, 22:30

America MG

0:2

Sao Bernardo

Under 3.5✓

Singleposted 14 Sept, 13:14

Won

Kosovo · Superleague·14 Sept, 14:00

Ballkani

0:0

Dukagjini

Under 3.5

Parlay · 4posted 14 Sept, 08:12

Lost

LaLiga·14 Sept, 19:00

Villarreal

1:2

Real Betis

Over 1.5✓

Serie A·14 Sept, 18:45

Inter

5:3

Udinese

Over 1.5✓

Serie A·14 Sept, 16:30

Torino

0:2

AS Roma

Under 4.5✓

Premier League·14 Sept, 19:00

Leeds United

4:1

Newcastle United

Under 4.5✕

Parlay · 10posted 13 Sept, 09:00

Lost

LaLiga·13 Sept, 14:15

Levante

2:4

Barcelona

Barcelona to win✓

Bundesliga·13 Sept, 15:30

Elversberg

1:2

Bayern Munich

Bayern Munich to win✓

Ligue 1·13 Sept, 18:45

Brest

0:1

Paris Saint-Germain

Paris Saint-Germain to win✓

Primeira Liga·13 Sept, 17:00

Benfica

3:1

Gil Vicente

Benfica to win✓

Eredivisie·13 Sept, 18:00

PSV Eindhoven

4:1

Sparta Rotterdam

PSV Eindhoven to win✓

Primeira Liga·13 Sept, 19:30

Famalicao

1:1

Sporting CP

Sporting CP or draw✓

Serie A·13 Sept, 16:00

Napoli

1:0

Bologna

Napoli or draw✓

Serie A·13 Sept, 18:45

Sassuolo

3:2

Juventus

Juventus or draw✕

Bundesliga·13 Sept, 13:30

RB Leipzig

5:0

Hamburger SV

RB Leipzig or draw✓

Ligue 1·13 Sept, 15:15

Le Mans

2:2

Lens

Le Mans or draw✓

Parlay · 3posted 11 Sept, 16:30

Lost

Bundesliga·11 Sept, 18:30

Union Berlin

1:3

Schalke 04

Over 1.5✓

Ligue 1·11 Sept, 18:45

Rennes

1:0

Marseille

Over 1.5✕

Bundesliga·11 Sept, 18:30

Union Berlin

1:3

Schalke 04

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 10 Sept, 10:57

odds 1.13Won

UEFA Youth League · Champions League Path·10 Sept, 13:00

Como U19

1:1

RB Leipzig U19

Over 1.5@1.13

Parlay · 3posted 8 Sept, 16:14

Won

Champions League · League Stage·8 Sept, 19:00

Borussia Dortmund

3:2

Villarreal

Over 1.5✓

Champions League · League Stage·8 Sept, 19:00

Borussia Dortmund

3:2

Villarreal

Borussia Dortmund to win✓

Champions League · League Stage·8 Sept, 19:00

Real Madrid

2:1

Inter

Real Madrid draw no bet✓

Singleposted 7 Sept, 22:11

Won

Champions League · League Stage·8 Sept, 19:00

FC Porto

0:2

Manchester City

Under 3.5

Singleposted 7 Sept, 22:11

Won

Champions League · League Stage·8 Sept, 19:00

Real Madrid

2:1

Inter

Over 1.5

Singleposted 7 Sept, 22:11

Won

Champions League · League Stage·8 Sept, 19:00

Borussia Dortmund

3:2

Villarreal

Over 1.5