Breakpointpicks

@breakpoint67457 followers

Sports analyst. Professional sports bettor. Investing in Sports. Tennis expertise🎾

TennisHockeyNFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index40.4#307 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

37.5%

expected 48.3%

Edge

−10.8 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 23.3%, the edge is within noise

Graded

9-15

ROI

posts no odds

Average odds

singles with odds

Form

streak L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis8-14 · 22 graded

−15.7

36%

Hockey1-0 · 1 graded

+88.2

100%

NFL & NCAAF0-1 · 1 graded

−2.7

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result8-10 · 18 graded

−16.2

44%

Parlays1-5 · 6 graded

+5.2

17%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

US Open6-186%+26.9
WTA 10000-50%−57.3
ATP 5001-325%−42.0
ATP 10001-150%−12.7

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Picks

Parlay · 7posted 8 Oct, 02:16

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:10

Jaume Munar

0:2

Jenson Brooksby

Jaume Munar to win✕

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:10

Pavel Kotov

2:0

Tallon Griekspoor

Tallon Griekspoor to win✕

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 06:00

Bernard Tomic

0:2

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi to win✓

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 06:05

Thiago Agustin Tirante

2:0

Hamad Medjedovic

Thiago Agustin Tirante to win✓

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 06:50

Adolfo Vallejo

2:0

Valentin Royer

Adolfo Vallejo to win✓

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 06:20

Mariano Navone

live

Pablo Carreno Busta

Mariano Navone to win◷

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 07:30

Fabian Marozsan

live

Zachary Svajda

Fabian Marozsan to win◷

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Won

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·1 Oct, 05:30

Jiri Lehecka

2:1

Zizou Bergs

Jiri Lehecka to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·30 Sept, 04:30

Alejandro Tabilo

2:0

Tommy Paul

Tommy Paul to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·30 Sept, 09:00

Matteo Arnaldi

2:1

Rei Sakamoto

Rei Sakamoto to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·30 Sept, 05:50

Jan-Lennard Struff

2:0

Thiago Agustin Tirante

Thiago Agustin Tirante to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·30 Sept, 03:10

Maya Joint

1:2

Sinja Kraus

Maya Joint to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·30 Sept, 06:10

Aliaksandra Sasnovich

2:0

Talia Gibson

Talia Gibson to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Void

WTA 1000 · China Open·30 Sept, 03:00

Petra Marcinko

void

Magdalena Frech

Magdalena Frech to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·30 Sept, 13:25

Anna Bondar

0:2

Renata Zarazua

Anna Bondar to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Void

WTA 1000 · China Open·30 Sept, 03:00

Viktorija Golubic

void

Alina Korneeva

Viktorija Golubic to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:22

Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·30 Sept, 06:45

Maddison Inglis

2:0

Zeynep Sonmez

Zeynep Sonmez to win

Parlay · 2posted 22 Sept, 03:21

Lost

WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·22 Sept, 04:35

Anna Bondar

2:1

Renata Zarazua

Anna Bondar to win✓

WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·22 Sept, 05:35

Alevtina Ibragimova

0:2

Yeon-Woo Ku

Alevtina Ibragimova to win✕

Parlay · 5posted 21 Sept, 03:35

Lost

WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·21 Sept, 05:40

Kamilla Rakhimova

2:1

Polina Kudermetova

Kamilla Rakhimova to win✓

WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·21 Sept, 09:00

Darya Astakhova

2:1

Magda Linette

Magda Linette to win✕

WTA 250 · Singapore Open·21 Sept, 06:10

Talia Gibson

2:0

Fiona Ferro

Talia Gibson to win✓

WTA 500 · Korea Open, Seoul·21 Sept, 04:35

Alina Korneeva

2:0

Mananchaya Sawangkaew

Alina Korneeva to win✓

WTA 250 · Singapore Open·21 Sept, 07:25

Rebecca Sramkova

0:2

Maja Chwalinska

Maja Chwalinska to win✓

Parlay · 4posted 20 Sept, 17:04

Won

NHL · NHL: Preseason·20 Sept, 23:00

Florida Panthers

6:3

Carolina Hurricanes

Florida Panthers to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:05

Denver Broncos

20:13

Jacksonville Jaguars

Denver Broncos to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·21 Sept, 00:20

Kansas City Chiefs

33:30

Indianapolis Colts

Kansas City Chiefs to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:25

Dallas Cowboys

37:20

Washington Commanders

Over 44.5✓

Parlay · 5posted 15 Sept, 14:11

Lost

WTA · Sao Paulo Open·16 Sept, 17:05

Xiaodi You

1:2

Alina Charaeva

Alina Charaeva to win✓

WTA · Sao Paulo Open·16 Sept, 18:00

Cadence Brace

1:2

Solana Sierra

Solana Sierra to win✓

WTA · Sao Paulo Open·16 Sept, 15:50

Mary Stoiana

2:0

Claire Liu

Claire Liu to win✕

WTA 500 · Guadalajara Open Akron·16 Sept, 01:15

Sloane Stephens

2:0

Janice Tjen

Janice Tjen to win✕

WTA · Sao Paulo Open·16 Sept, 14:05

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

0:2

Dominika Salkova

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro to win✕

Parlay · 7posted 13 Sept, 15:46

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

33:27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Cincinnati Bengals to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Indianapolis Colts

23:41

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

33:27

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Over 43.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 20:25

Minnesota Vikings

39:22

Green Bay Packers

Minnesota Vikings to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 17:00

Carolina Panthers

37:59

Chicago Bears

Over 40.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·13 Sept, 20:25

Philadelphia Eagles

24:22

Washington Commanders

Philadelphia Eagles to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·14 Sept, 00:20

New York Giants

28:20

Dallas Cowboys

Dallas Cowboys to win✕

Singleposted 8 Sept, 16:53

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·8 Sept, 18:25

Frances Tiafoe

3:2

Alex Michelsen

Frances Tiafoe to win

Singleposted 7 Sept, 15:49

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·7 Sept, 18:10

Francisco Cerundolo

1:3

Alexander Blockx

Alexander Blockx to win

Singleposted 7 Sept, 15:49

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·7 Sept, 20:45

Arthur Gea

2:3

Botic van de Zandschulp

Botic van de Zandschulp to win

Singleposted 7 Sept, 15:49

Lost

US Open · Men's Singles·7 Sept, 21:45

Karen Khachanov

3:2

Learner Tien

Learner Tien to win

Singleposted 7 Sept, 15:49

Won

US Open · Women's Singles·7 Sept, 20:10

Naomi Osaka

0:2

Elena Rybakina

Elena Rybakina to win

Singleposted 7 Sept, 15:49

Won

US Open · Women's Singles·7 Sept, 23:15

Iva Jovic

0:2

Coco Gauff

Coco Gauff to win

Singleposted 6 Sept, 17:51

Won

US Open · Men's Singles·6 Sept, 18:10

Tommy Paul

0:3

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz to win

Singleposted 12 Aug, 20:49

Lost

ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·12 Aug, 22:10

Rafael Jodar

0:2

Brandon Nakashima

Rafael Jodar to win

Singleposted 12 Aug, 20:49

Won

ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·13 Aug, 00:40

Learner Tien

0:2

Ben Shelton

Ben Shelton to win

Singleposted 12 Aug, 20:49

Lost

WTA 1000 · Canadian Open·13 Aug, 02:55

Coco Gauff

1:2

Elena Rybakina

Coco Gauff to win