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BasketballNFL & NCAAFBaseball

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Tipster index45.2#206 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

41.2%

expected 45.7%

Edge

−4.5 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 28.5%, the edge is within noise

Graded

14-20

ROI

−57.0%

on 4 picks with odds

Average odds

1.87

singles with odds

Form

streak L8

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Basketball10-12 · 22 graded

+2.2

45%

NFL & NCAAF4-7 · 11 graded

−14.4

36%

Baseball0-1 · 1 graded

−43.7

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap8-13 · 21 graded

−9.6

38%

Parlays3-2 · 5 graded

+32.3

60%

Match result1-3 · 4 graded

−26.4

25%

Team totals2-1 · 3 graded

+16.7

67%

Totals0-1 · 1 graded

−56.9

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

WNBA10-1245%+2.2
NCAAF3-443%−9.1
NFL1-325%−23.6
MLB · USA0-10%−43.7

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Picks

Singleposted 6 Oct, 00:08

odds 1.94Lost

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints to win@1.94

Singleposted 3 Oct, 18:41

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

North Carolina State Wolfpack

31:28

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals −3

Singleposted 3 Oct, 18:41

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Tennessee Volunteers

24:14

Auburn Tigers

Auburn Tigers +6.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 18:41

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:35

Kentucky Wildcats

South Carolina Gamecocks −2.5

Singleposted 2 Oct, 00:14

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·2 Oct, 01:00

Las Vegas Aces

94:83

Indiana Fever

Indiana Fever +4.5

Singleposted 2 Oct, 00:10

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers −3

Singleposted 29 Sept, 22:31

odds 2.18Lost

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs to win@2.18

Singleposted 26 Sept, 15:48

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 19:30

Michigan Wolverines

19:20

Iowa Hawkeyes

Iowa Hawkeyes +5.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 26 Sept, 15:48

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 19:30

Florida Gators

52:28

Ole Miss Rebels

Florida Gators −3.5✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 19:30

Florida Gators

52:28

Ole Miss Rebels

Over 58.5✓

Singleposted 26 Sept, 15:48

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·27 Sept, 01:00

SMU Mustangs

34:24

Missouri State Bears

SMU Mustangs −32

Singleposted 26 Sept, 15:48

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:30

USC Trojans

27:41

Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks −3.5

Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:59

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·20 Sept, 17:00

Connecticut Sun

89:101

Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota Lynx over 93

Singleposted 20 Sept, 16:59

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·20 Sept, 20:00

Indiana Fever

77:93

Washington Mystics

Indiana Fever −6.5

Singleposted 19 Sept, 06:56

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·19 Sept, 23:00

Atlanta Dream

106:81

Chicago Sky

Atlanta Dream −12.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 30 Aug, 18:07

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·30 Aug, 21:00

Seattle Storm

74:90

Los Angeles Sparks

Los Angeles Sparks −1✓

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·30 Aug, 21:00

Seattle Storm

74:90

Los Angeles Sparks

Los Angeles Sparks over 87.5✓

Singleposted 29 Aug, 22:44

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·30 Aug, 02:00

Phoenix Mercury

101:69

Toronto Tempo

Phoenix Mercury over 91.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 28 Aug, 22:58

Won

NFL · Preseason·28 Aug, 23:00

Miami Dolphins

12:17

Atlanta Falcons

Miami Dolphins +6✓

NFL · Preseason·28 Aug, 23:00

Miami Dolphins

12:17

Atlanta Falcons

Miami Dolphins under 15✓

Singleposted 28 Aug, 22:58

Lost

NFL · Preseason·29 Aug, 00:00

Philadelphia Eagles

13:30

Cincinnati Bengals

Philadelphia Eagles −3

Singleposted 27 Aug, 22:16

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·28 Aug, 00:00

New York Liberty

60:79

Golden State Valkyries

New York Liberty −3

Singleposted 25 Aug, 23:02

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·26 Aug, 00:00

Dallas Wings

96:78

Portland Fire

Dallas Wings −8

Singleposted 25 Aug, 23:02

odds 1.72Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·26 Aug, 02:00

Phoenix Mercury

84:94

Washington Mystics

Washington Mystics to win@1.72

Singleposted 22 Aug, 23:02

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·23 Aug, 01:00

Los Angeles Sparks

77:68

Connecticut Sun

Los Angeles Sparks over 88

Singleposted 22 Aug, 23:02

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·23 Aug, 02:00

Phoenix Mercury

89:99

Atlanta Dream

Atlanta Dream −7.5

Singleposted 21 Aug, 23:00

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·21 Aug, 23:30

Washington Mystics

84:94

Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota Lynx −1.5

Singleposted 21 Aug, 23:00

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·22 Aug, 02:00

Toronto Tempo

82:79

Portland Fire

Portland Fire −2.5

Singleposted 19 Aug, 22:42

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·19 Aug, 23:30

Washington Mystics

93:82

Toronto Tempo

Washington Mystics −13.5

Singleposted 19 Aug, 22:42

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·20 Aug, 02:00

Golden State Valkyries

66:77

Minnesota Lynx

Golden State Valkyries +2.5

Singleposted 18 Aug, 01:31

Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·18 Aug, 02:00

Golden State Valkyries

78:70

Dallas Wings

Dallas Wings +6

Singleposted 15 Aug, 18:01

Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·16 Aug, 00:00

Las Vegas Aces

87:92

Minnesota Lynx

Minnesota Lynx −2

Singleposted 14 Aug, 23:30

odds 1.66Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·15 Aug, 02:00

Seattle Storm

82:84

Portland Fire

Seattle Storm to win@1.66