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Tipster index55.5#76 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

63.5%

expected 60.4%

Edge

+3.1 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 58.1%, the edge is within noise

Graded

241

146-84-11

ROI

+5.3%

on 97 picks with odds

Average odds

1.53

singles with odds

Form

streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football139-78-10 · 227 graded

+3.4

64%

NFL & NCAAF3-3-1 · 7 graded

−7.3

50%

Hockey3-2 · 5 graded

+7.6

60%

Basketball1-1 · 2 graded

−6.9

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals45-20-4 · 69 graded

+5.3

69%

Both teams to score32-20 · 52 graded

+3.2

62%

Match result28-17 · 45 graded

+1.9

62%

Handicap17-14-7 · 38 graded

−0.6

55%

Double chance14-5 · 19 graded

+0.6

74%

Parlays9-7 · 16 graded

+8.9

56%

Team totals1-1 · 2 graded

−9.6

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

UEFA Nations League23-20-253%−2.5
Champions League15-5-275%+9.9
Club Friendlies9-2-282%+22.7
Premier League · England6-650%−11.0
Europa League6-3-167%+0.7
EFL Trophy · England7-278%+24.3
Primeira Liga · Portugal5-2-171%+2.1
NFL3-3-150%−7.3
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands6-186%+25.5
Liga 1 · Romania3-443%−15.1

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 10:35

Won

EuroCup · Group B·7 Oct, 16:00

U-BT Cluj-Napoca

98:92

UR Venezia

Over 177

Singleposted 6 Oct, 08:47

Lost

Champions League · Group A·6 Oct, 16:30

BC Rytas

82:73

Sabah Baku

Over 178

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:14

odds 1.50Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·4 Oct, 18:45

Netherlands

2:1

Serbia

Netherlands −1.5@1.50

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:14

odds 1.45Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·4 Oct, 18:45

Portugal

2:1

Norway

Both teams to score: yes@1.45

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:09

odds 2.00Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·4 Oct, 18:45

Greece

0:0

Germany

Germany to win@2.00

Singleposted 3 Oct, 19:05

Lost

France · Ligue Magnus·4 Oct, 16:35

Chamonix Mont-Blanc

6:3

Nice

Nice to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:34

odds 2.00Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·3 Oct, 16:00

Croatia

0:7

England

England −0.75@2.00

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:33

odds 1.22Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·3 Oct, 16:00

Croatia

0:7

England

England or draw@1.22

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:33

odds 1.28Won

International Friendlies · Friendlies·4 Oct, 02:00

USA

3:0

Mexico

Over 1.5@1.28

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:33

odds 1.38Won

International Friendlies · Friendlies·4 Oct, 00:00

Argentina

7:0

Burkina Faso

Over 2.5@1.38

Singleposted 2 Oct, 16:19

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·2 Oct, 18:45

France

1:1

Italy

France −1

Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:54

Won

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·2 Oct, 18:45

Bosnia and Herzegovina

1:1

Sweden

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:54

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·2 Oct, 18:45

Belgium

3:0

Turkiye

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:54

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·2 Oct, 18:45

Hungary

1:0

Georgia

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:54

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 2·2 Oct, 16:00

Cyprus

2:0

Armenia

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:54

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·2 Oct, 18:45

Poland

6:0

Romania

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 2 Oct, 09:53

Won

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group I·2 Oct, 16:00

Austria U21

1:1

Denmark U21

Both teams to score: yes

Same-game combo · 2posted 2 Oct, 09:53

Won

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group G·2 Oct, 16:00

Slovenia U21

2:4

Netherlands U21

Over 2.5✓

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group G·2 Oct, 16:00

Slovenia U21

2:4

Netherlands U21

Netherlands U21 to win✓

Singleposted 2 Oct, 09:53

Won

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group H·2 Oct, 16:00

Ukraine U21

1:0

Croatia U21

Ukraine U21 or draw

Singleposted 1 Oct, 16:37

odds 2.00Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·1 Oct, 18:45

Greece

2:2

Netherlands

Netherlands to win@2.00

Singleposted 1 Oct, 16:37

odds 1.90Push

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·1 Oct, 18:45

Germany

2:0

Serbia

Germany −2@1.90

Singleposted 1 Oct, 16:37

odds 2.20Lost

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·1 Oct, 18:45

Israel

0:0

Kosovo

Kosovo to win@2.20

Singleposted 1 Oct, 12:01

Won

Norway · EHL·1 Oct, 16:30

Frisk-Asker

3:2

Lillehammer

Lillehammer +2.5

Singleposted 30 Sept, 12:31

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·30 Sept, 23:30

Philadelphia Flyers

0:7

Pittsburgh Penguins

Over 6

Singleposted 30 Sept, 10:35

Lost

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group A·30 Sept, 16:00

Romania U21

0:2

Finland U21

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 30 Sept, 10:35

odds 1.25Won

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group A·30 Sept, 16:00

Romania U21

0:2

Finland U21

Over 1.5@1.25

Singleposted 30 Sept, 10:35

odds 1.18Won

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group E·30 Sept, 16:00

Poland U21

3:0

Sweden U21

Over 1.5@1.18

Singleposted 30 Sept, 10:35

odds 1.40Won

Euro U21 2027 · Qualification: Group B·30 Sept, 18:30

Scotland U21

5:2

Azerbaijan U21

Over 2.5@1.40

Singleposted 29 Sept, 20:03

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·30 Sept, 02:00

Edmonton Oilers

5:6

Vancouver Canucks

Over 6

Same-game combo · 2posted 29 Sept, 17:34

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·29 Sept, 18:45

Spain

4:1

Croatia

Over 1.5✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·29 Sept, 18:45

Spain

4:1

Croatia

Spain to win✓