Trust The Trends

@TrustTrends53 followers

Average bettor trying to beat the books with an algorithm

NFL & NCAAFHockey

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Tipster index31.6#349 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

35.3%

expected 52.6%

Edge

−17.4 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 23.4%, the edge is within noise

Graded

12-22

ROI

+80.0%

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

1.80

singles with odds

Form

streak L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF5-13 · 18 graded

−30.0

28%

Hockey7-9 · 16 graded

−3.2

44%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals5-12 · 17 graded

−29.8

29%

Match result7-9 · 16 graded

−3.2

44%

Parlays0-1 · 1 graded

−32.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

NCAAF4-1324%−34.1
NHL7-944%−3.2
NFL1-0100%+40.8

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Picks

Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:21

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 02:00

Anaheim Ducks

2:5

Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 13:42

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·7 Oct, 23:30

FIU Golden Panthers

22:3

New Mexico State Aggies

Over 46.5

Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:58

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 02:00

Los Angeles Kings

1:2

Florida Panthers

Los Angeles Kings to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:38

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

5:4

Nashville Predators

Nashville Predators to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:38

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Montreal Canadiens

4:6

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:38

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Detroit Red Wings

5:3

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:38

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Buffalo Sabres

3:2

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:38

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 00:00

Chicago Blackhawks

4:2

St. Louis Blues

St. Louis Blues to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:02

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

4:1

Philadelphia Flyers

Philadelphia Flyers to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:02

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:30

Boston Bruins

1:4

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:02

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 00:00

Dallas Stars

5:0

San Jose Sharks

Dallas Stars to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 23:20

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 00:00

Anaheim Ducks

3:2

Florida Panthers

Anaheim Ducks to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 23:20

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 01:00

Vancouver Canucks

2:3

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:14

odds 1.80Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·4 Oct, 22:00

New York Rangers

4:2

Utah Mammoth

New York Rangers to win@1.80

Singleposted 4 Oct, 02:14

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·4 Oct, 03:59

Hawaii Rainbow Warriors

16:20

San Jose State Spartans

Over 50.8

Singleposted 4 Oct, 02:14

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·4 Oct, 03:00

Arizona Wildcats

34:7

Cincinnati Bearcats

Over 56

Singleposted 4 Oct, 01:47

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·4 Oct, 02:30

San Diego State Aztecs

31:29

Texas State Bobcats

Under 57.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 01:47

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 13:30

Washington Commanders

13:30

Indianapolis Colts

Under 45

Singleposted 4 Oct, 00:21

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·4 Oct, 02:00

Vancouver Canucks

4:1

Calgary Flames

Calgary Flames to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 00:20

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·4 Oct, 01:00

Colorado Avalanche

6:1

St. Louis Blues

St. Louis Blues to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 00:20

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·4 Oct, 02:00

San Jose Sharks

5:4

Los Angeles Kings

Los Angeles Kings to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:11

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

31:29

Army Black Knights

Over 46.8

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:11

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

South Florida Bulls

13:17

Temple Owls

Over 48.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:11

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Boise State Broncos

37:18

Utah State Aggies

Under 51.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:10

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Colorado Buffaloes

7:29

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Under 62.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:10

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

TCU Horned Frogs

10:17

BYU Cougars

Over 47.8

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:10

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

Texas A&M Aggies

34:7

Arkansas Razorbacks

Over 50.2

Singleposted 3 Oct, 19:02

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Iowa Hawkeyes

14:31

Ohio State Buckeyes

Over 46

Singleposted 3 Oct, 19:02

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Florida State Seminoles

38:7

Virginia Cavaliers

Over 51.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 3 Oct, 19:02

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:35

Kentucky Wildcats

South Carolina Gamecocks −2.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:35

Kentucky Wildcats

Over 53✓