TheBeardedBets

@TheBeardedBets33 followers

Sides, totals & props | Daily free plays | All bets tracked I Full card on Winible | NBA l NFL l NHL l WNBA l UFC l MLB

BaseballNFL & NCAAFHockeyBasketball

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Tipster index34.1#271 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

27.3%

expected 57.0%

Edge

−29.7 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 11.5%, the edge is within noise

Graded

3-8

ROI

−52.0%

on 7 picks with odds

Average odds

1.74

singles with odds

Form

streak L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball1-3 · 4 graded

−34.5

25%

NFL & NCAAF1-2 · 3 graded

−25.0

33%

Basketball1-1 · 2 graded

−3.4

50%

Hockey0-2 · 2 graded

−53.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-4 · 6 graded

−25.0

33%

Totals1-2 · 3 graded

−22.7

33%

Handicap0-2 · 2 graded

−54.2

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA1-325%−34.5
NCAAF1-150%−9.8
NHL0-20%−53.3
WNBA1-150%−3.4
NFL0-10%−55.6

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Picks

Singleposted 30 Sept, 02:39

odds 1.74Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·30 Sept, 23:30

Philadelphia Flyers

0:7

Pittsburgh Penguins

Under 6.5@1.74

Singleposted 29 Sept, 13:15

odds 1.83Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·29 Sept, 21:00

Carolina Hurricanes

0:1

Florida Panthers

Carolina Hurricanes to win@1.83

Singleposted 28 Sept, 03:08

odds 1.71Lost

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles −3@1.71

Singleposted 26 Sept, 21:08

odds 1.59Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:30

USC Trojans

27:41

Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks to win@1.59

Singleposted 26 Sept, 03:53

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 19:30

Duke Blue Devils

62:7

William & Mary Tribe

Under 52.5

Singleposted 16 Aug, 16:54

odds 1.77Won

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·16 Aug, 21:00

Atlanta Dream

91:95

Indiana Fever

Under 189.5@1.77

Singleposted 15 Aug, 15:49

odds 1.71Lost

MLB·15 Aug, 22:10

Tampa Bay Rays

3:4

Baltimore Orioles

Tampa Bay Rays to win@1.71

Singleposted 14 Aug, 16:40

Lost

MLB·15 Aug, 01:38

Los Angeles Angels

6:7

Kansas City Royals

Los Angeles Angels to win

Singleposted 13 Aug, 12:54

Lost

MLB·14 Aug, 02:07

Los Angeles Angels

7:0

Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers to win

Singleposted 12 Aug, 15:34

Won

MLB·12 Aug, 23:15

Atlanta Braves

6:3

New York Mets

Atlanta Braves to win

Singleposted 2 Aug, 19:24

odds 1.80Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·2 Aug, 23:00

Dallas Wings

83:63

Connecticut Sun

Connecticut Sun +12.5@1.80