The Bearded Whisperer

Sports Analytics. Quietly tracking momentum, market movement, and numerical structure across multiple sports. #TheBeardedWhisperer #PatternsOverHype

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Tipster index58.8#51 on the leaderboard

Open picks 5

Games not played yet

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

live

Cleveland Guardians

Over 6.5 +1

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

live

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Washington Capitals

-:-

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Winnipeg Jets

-:-

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 02:00

Anaheim Ducks

-:-

Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks +1.5

Hit rate

64.4%

expected 59.2%

Edge

+5.2 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 58.0%, the edge is within noise

Graded

160

103-57 · 5 pending

ROI

posts no odds

Average odds

singles with odds

Form

streak W2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football60-33 · 93 graded

+9.5

65%

Hockey29-19 · 48 graded

−8.1

60%

Baseball14-5 · 19 graded

+17.7

74%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays42-22 · 64 graded

+18.2

66%

Match result27-13 · 40 graded

+11.0

68%

Handicap19-12 · 31 graded

−17.2

61%

Totals9-8 · 17 graded

−19.8

53%

Double chance6-2 · 8 graded

+12.7

75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

UEFA Nations League42-2068%+12.3
NHL29-1960%−8.1
MLB · USA14-574%+17.7
Africa Cup of Nations8-1142%−9.2
CONCACAF Nations League10-283%+24.8

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Picks

Same-game combo · 2posted 7 Oct, 09:49

Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

live

Cleveland Guardians

Over 6.5◷

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

live

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win◷

Singleposted 7 Oct, 09:49

Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

live

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 09:49

Pending

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Washington Capitals

-:-

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5

Singleposted 7 Oct, 09:49

Pending

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Winnipeg Jets

-:-

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 09:49

Pending

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 02:00

Anaheim Ducks

-:-

Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks +1.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·6 Oct, 18:45

Croatia

1:2

Spain

Spain or draw✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·6 Oct, 18:45

Croatia

1:2

Spain

Over 1.5✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·6 Oct, 18:45

England

3:0

Czechia

Over 1.5✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·6 Oct, 18:45

England

3:0

Czechia

England to win✓

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·6 Oct, 18:45

Scotland

1:2

Slovenia

Scotland or draw

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·6 Oct, 18:45

Switzerland

3:0

North Macedonia

Over 1.5✓

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·6 Oct, 18:45

Switzerland

3:0

North Macedonia

Switzerland to win✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 1·6 Oct, 18:45

Albania

2:1

San Marino

Over 1.5✓

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 1·6 Oct, 18:45

Albania

2:1

San Marino

Albania to win✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 1·6 Oct, 18:45

Belarus

1:0

Finland

Belarus or draw✓

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 1·6 Oct, 18:45

Belarus

1:0

Finland

Under 2.5✓

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 4·6 Oct, 18:45

Estonia

0:0

Iceland

Iceland to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 3·6 Oct, 18:45

Moldova

0:4

Slovakia

Slovakia to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

Africa Cup of Nations Qualification · Qualification: Group B·6 Oct, 19:00

Angola

3:1

Malawi

Angola or draw

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

CONCACAF Nations League · League B: Group 4·6 Oct, 21:00

Saint Vincent and The Grenadines

4:0

Sint Maarten

Over 2.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

CONCACAF Nations League · League B: Group 4·7 Oct, 02:00

French Guiana

1:0

Belize

French Guiana or draw✓

CONCACAF Nations League · League B: Group 4·7 Oct, 02:00

French Guiana

1:0

Belize

Under 2.5✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

CONCACAF Nations League · League C: Group 1·6 Oct, 20:00

Montserrat

4:1

Turks and Caicos Islands

Over 1.5✓

CONCACAF Nations League · League C: Group 1·6 Oct, 20:00

Montserrat

4:1

Turks and Caicos Islands

Montserrat to win✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

CONCACAF Nations League · League C: Group 3·6 Oct, 20:00

Saint Martin

6:0

Bahamas

Over 1.5✓

CONCACAF Nations League · League C: Group 3·6 Oct, 20:00

Saint Martin

6:0

Bahamas

Saint Martin to win✓

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

CONCACAF Nations League · League C: Group 2·6 Oct, 23:00

Antigua and Barbuda

3:2

Aruba

Antigua and Barbuda or draw✓

CONCACAF Nations League · League C: Group 2·6 Oct, 23:00

Antigua and Barbuda

3:2

Aruba

Under 2.5✕

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:3

Los Angeles Dodgers

Under 6.5✓

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:3

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves to win✕

Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 01:30

San Diego Padres

4:3

Milwaukee Brewers

Milwaukee Brewers +1.5✓

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 01:30

San Diego Padres

4:3

Milwaukee Brewers

Over 7.5✕

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Buffalo Sabres

3:2

Minnesota Wild

Minnesota Wild to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Detroit Red Wings

5:3

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators +1.5

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Montreal Canadiens

4:6

Carolina Hurricanes

Montreal Canadiens to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

New Jersey Devils

3:5

Utah Mammoth

Utah Mammoth +1.5

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

5:4

Nashville Predators

Nashville Predators +1.5

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:30

New York Rangers

5:2

New York Islanders

New York Rangers to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 00:00

Chicago Blackhawks

4:2

St. Louis Blues

St. Louis Blues to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 01:40

Seattle Kraken

2:6

Vegas Golden Knights

Seattle Kraken +1.5

Singleposted 6 Oct, 14:31

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 02:00

Los Angeles Kings

1:2

Florida Panthers

Los Angeles Kings +1.5