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Alex Lahera

@ShoutoutTakes45 followers

just your casual sports bettor who does research. All picks free right here!

FootballNFL & NCAAFHockeyBaseball
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Tipster index35.6#267 on the leaderboard

Open picks 2

Games not played yet
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
live
Cleveland Guardians
Under 8.5@1.69
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
FIU Golden Panthers
-:-
New Mexico State Aggies
FIU Golden Panthers to win@1.42
Hit rate
36.6%
expected 49.1%
Edge
−12.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 25.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
41
15-26 · 2 pending
ROI
−19.4%
on 21 picks with odds
Average odds
1.61
singles with odds
Form
streak L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-6-4-2016 Sept21 Sept26 Sept1 Oct7 Oct

By sport

Football14-17 · 31 graded
−8.8
45%
NFL & NCAAF0-8 · 8 graded
−31.8
0%
Hockey1-1 · 2 graded
+7.6
50%
Baseball0-0 · 0 graded
-
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays0-16 · 16 graded
−37.1
0%
Match result9-7 · 16 graded
+4.5
56%
Double chance3-0 · 3 graded
+28.1
100%
Both teams to score1-1 · 2 graded
−10.9
50%
Handicap0-2 · 2 graded
−55.1
0%
Totals1-0 · 1 graded
+17.5
100%
Team totals1-0 · 1 graded
+40.4
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 12:13
odds 1.42Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
FIU Golden Panthers
-:-
New Mexico State Aggies
FIU Golden Panthers to win@1.42
Singleposted 7 Oct, 12:12
odds 1.69Pending
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
live
Cleveland Guardians
Under 8.5@1.69
Singleposted 6 Oct, 18:23
odds 1.83Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Los Angeles Kings
1:2
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers to win@1.83
Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 18:21
odds 1.24Lost
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
USA
1:0
Canada
USA to win@1.24✓
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
USA
1:0
Canada
Draw@1.24✕
Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 18:21
odds 1.13Lost
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
Mexico
0:2
Chile
Mexico to win@1.13✕
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
Mexico
0:2
Chile
Draw@1.13✕
Singleposted 6 Oct, 18:21
Lost
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
Mexico
0:2
Chile
Draw
Same-game combo · 2posted 6 Oct, 18:19
odds 1.18Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Scotland
1:2
Slovenia
Scotland to win@1.18✕
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Scotland
1:2
Slovenia
Draw@1.18✕
Singleposted 6 Oct, 18:19
odds 1.15Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
3:0
Czechia
Over 1.5@1.15
Singleposted 6 Oct, 18:19
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Scotland
1:2
Slovenia
Draw
Same-game combo · 2posted 5 Oct, 06:41
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Italy
3:1
Turkiye
Ungraded market?
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Italy
3:1
Turkiye
Under 3.5✕
Singleposted 5 Oct, 06:41
Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Romania
0:1
Sweden
Sweden or draw
Parlay · 4posted 4 Oct, 18:17
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
15:10
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins +10.5@1.80✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City Chiefs
Kansas City Chiefs to win@1.42✓
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
Over 42@1.40✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
15:10
Miami Dolphins
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 3posted 4 Oct, 15:40
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Portugal
2:1
Norway
Both teams to score: yes@1.44✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Wales
0:1
Denmark
Draw✕
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Portugal
2:1
Norway
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 2posted 3 Oct, 00:20
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
3:4
Anaheim Ducks
Vegas Golden Knights to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
3:4
Anaheim Ducks
Ungraded market?
Parlay · 4posted 2 Oct, 21:55
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Virginia Tech Hokies to win@1.77✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Delaware Blue Hens
14:30
Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames to win@1.36✓
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions over 21.5✕
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:41
odds 1.44Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Bosnia and Herzegovina
1:1
Sweden
Sweden or draw@1.44
Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:41
odds 1.14Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Belgium
3:0
Turkiye
Belgium or draw@1.14
Singleposted 2 Oct, 12:41
odds 1.42Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
France
1:1
Italy
France to win@1.42
Same-game combo · 2posted 2 Oct, 12:41
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Belgium
3:0
Turkiye
Belgium or draw✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Belgium
3:0
Turkiye
Draw✕
Singleposted 30 Sept, 23:09
odds 2.10Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·
Ireland
2:2
Austria
Austria to win@2.10
Singleposted 30 Sept, 23:09
odds 1.46Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Wales
2:1
Norway
Norway to win@1.46
Parlay · 2posted 30 Sept, 23:09
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Wales
2:1
Norway
Norway to win@1.46✕
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Wales
2:1
Norway
Ungraded market?
Singleposted 28 Sept, 18:12
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
27:7
Philadelphia Eagles
Philadelphia Eagles −3.5
Singleposted 28 Sept, 04:48
odds 2.00Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Sweden
3:1
Poland
Sweden to win@2.00
Singleposted 28 Sept, 04:48
odds 1.83Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Belgium
0:1
France
France to win@1.83
Singleposted 27 Sept, 11:02
odds 1.39Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Serbia
1:2
Netherlands
Netherlands to win@1.39
Singleposted 27 Sept, 11:02
odds 1.53Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 3·
Austria
3:1
Kosovo
Austria to win@1.53
Singleposted 27 Sept, 11:02
odds 2.30Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
1:2
Portugal
Norway to win@2.30
Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:46
odds 1.69Won
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
Canada
1:0
Chile
Canada to win@1.69
Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:46
odds 1.48Won
International Friendlies · Friendlies·
USA
4:1
Peru
USA to win@1.48