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Open picks 1

Games not played yet
WTA Challenger · Suzhou, China·
Elvina Kalieva
-:-
Tamara Korpatsch
Elvina Kalieva to win@7.35
Hit rate
43.7%
expected 47.9%
Edge
−4.2 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 36.8%, the edge is within noise
Graded
135
57-74-4 · 1 pending
ROI
−25.9%
on 40 picks with odds
Average odds
2.19
singles with odds
Form
streak W6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-10-5031 Jul17 Aug3 Sept20 Sept7 Oct

By sport

Baseball34-40-4 · 78 graded
−0.3
46%
Tennis6-17 · 23 graded
−24.3
26%
NFL & NCAAF10-8 · 18 graded
+4.1
56%
Basketball3-4 · 7 graded
−0.0
43%
Football2-5 · 7 graded
−19.8
31%
Hockey2-0 · 2 graded
+45.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result21-35 · 56 graded
−12.4
38%
Totals16-14-4 · 34 graded
−1.4
54%
Parlays3-17 · 20 graded
−12.2
15%
Handicap10-7 · 17 graded
+7.2
59%
Team totals7-1 · 8 graded
+38.6
88%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:46
odds 7.35Pending
WTA Challenger · Suzhou, China·
Elvina Kalieva
-:-
Tamara Korpatsch
Elvina Kalieva to win@7.35
Singleposted 6 Oct, 21:22
Won
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 21:22
odds 1.91Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win@1.91
Singleposted 6 Oct, 21:22
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Montreal Canadiens
4:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Singleposted 5 Oct, 23:16
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Pittsburgh Penguins
2:3
Winnipeg Jets
Under 6.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 09:10
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Missouri Tigers +6
Singleposted 30 Sept, 23:43
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Missouri Tigers +5
Singleposted 28 Sept, 13:30
odds 1.89Lost
ATP Challenger · Porto 2, Portugal·
Goncalo Marques
2:1
Petr Nesterov
Petr Nesterov to win@1.89
Singleposted 27 Sept, 11:05
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
31:34
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens +7.5
Same-game combo · 2posted 26 Sept, 14:54
Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Atlanta Dream
92:77
Washington Mystics
Under 160.5✕
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Atlanta Dream
92:77
Washington Mystics
Washington Mystics under 88.5✓
Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:54
odds 2.00Lost
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
5:11
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals to win@2.00
Singleposted 25 Sept, 21:05
odds 2.00Lost
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
9:12
Cleveland Guardians
Kansas City Royals to win@2.00
Singleposted 24 Sept, 23:44
odds 1.94Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
19:17
Houston Texans
Indianapolis Colts +10.5@1.94
Singleposted 24 Sept, 18:12
Lost
MLB·
Atlanta Braves
6:7
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves to win
Singleposted 24 Sept, 14:22
Won
MLB·
Boston Red Sox
0:1
Cleveland Guardians
Under 8
Singleposted 24 Sept, 02:14
odds 2.00Lost
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
1:9
Chicago White Sox
Kansas City Royals to win@2.00
Singleposted 18 Sept, 22:35
Lost
MLB·
Cincinnati Reds
6:4
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win
Singleposted 18 Sept, 22:35
Won
MLB·
Colorado Rockies
4:5
Seattle Mariners
Seattle Mariners to win
Singleposted 18 Sept, 22:35
Won
CFL · CFL: Regular Season·
Hamilton Tiger-Cats
25:37
Montreal Alouettes
Montreal Alouettes −6
Parlay · 4posted 17 Sept, 16:26
Lost
MLB·
Houston Astros
6:2
Kansas City Royals
Over 9✕
MLB·
Houston Astros
6:2
Kansas City Royals
Under 5.5✕
MLB·
Houston Astros
6:2
Kansas City Royals
Under 8↺
MLB·
Houston Astros
6:2
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals to win✕
Singleposted 17 Sept, 11:20
Lost
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
5:4
Minnesota Twins
Under 8
Same-game combo · 3posted 17 Sept, 11:20
Lost
MLB·
Texas Rangers
3:4
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers −1✕
MLB·
Texas Rangers
3:4
Boston Red Sox
Ungraded market?
MLB·
Texas Rangers
3:4
Boston Red Sox
Under 7.5✓
Singleposted 16 Sept, 18:53
odds 1.81Won
MLB·
Toronto Blue Jays
5:1
Detroit Tigers
Toronto Blue Jays to win@1.81
Parlay · 2posted 16 Sept, 16:10
Lost
MLB·
Texas Rangers
7:3
Boston Red Sox
Over 8✓
MLB·
Texas Rangers
7:3
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox to win✕
Singleposted 16 Sept, 12:42
Lost
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
2:7
Seattle Mariners
Under 8
Singleposted 16 Sept, 12:42
Won
MLB·
Texas Rangers
7:3
Boston Red Sox
Texas Rangers −1
Singleposted 16 Sept, 11:41
Won
MLB·
Arizona Diamondbacks
3:4
Miami Marlins
Arizona Diamondbacks under 4.5
Singleposted 13 Sept, 20:19
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
24:22
Washington Commanders
Under 44
Same-game combo · 2posted 13 Sept, 16:28
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:30
New Orleans Saints
Detroit Lions −7✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:30
New Orleans Saints
Over 48.5✓
Singleposted 13 Sept, 16:28
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
37:59
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears −3