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SharpCapper

@SharpCapperApp9 followers

Sports betting models, graded in public. Every pick posted before the game and scored after, losses included. Free daily picks and the full record.

BaseballBasketballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index49.3#152 on the leaderboard
Hit rate
41.9%
expected 42.6%
Edge
−0.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 28.6%, the edge is within noise
Graded
31
13-18
ROI
−5.9%
on 31 picks with odds
Average odds
2.43
singles with odds
Form
streak W3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-3-2-1014 Aug27 Aug9 Sept22 Sept4 Oct

By sport

Baseball9-14 · 23 graded
−4.8
39%
Basketball3-4 · 7 graded
+5.5
43%
NFL & NCAAF1-0 · 1 graded
+51.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result8-17 · 25 graded
−10.1
32%
Handicap5-1 · 6 graded
+38.5
83%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 4 Oct, 15:10
odds 1.89Won
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Atlanta Dream
92:82
New York Liberty
Atlanta Dream −3.5@1.89
Singleposted 30 Sept, 15:41
odds 2.30Won
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:7
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win@2.30
Singleposted 29 Sept, 14:09
odds 2.10Won
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:6
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win@2.10
Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:34
odds 3.40Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·
Golden State Valkyries
104:80
Dallas Wings
Dallas Wings to win@3.40
Singleposted 25 Sept, 17:33
odds 1.94Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
California Golden Bears
10:24
Clemson Tigers
Clemson Tigers −1.5@1.94
Singleposted 24 Sept, 16:34
odds 1.93Won
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Los Angeles Sparks
75:76
Golden State Valkyries
Los Angeles Sparks +11.5@1.93
Singleposted 23 Sept, 14:29
odds 1.98Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Seattle Storm
91:103
Dallas Wings
Seattle Storm +9.5@1.98
Singleposted 18 Sept, 15:36
odds 8.50Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Toronto Tempo
85:103
Indiana Fever
Toronto Tempo to win@8.50
Singleposted 17 Sept, 18:44
odds 2.25Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Portland Fire
91:94
Phoenix Mercury
Portland Fire to win@2.25
Singleposted 16 Sept, 14:22
odds 2.05Lost
MLB·
Toronto Blue Jays
5:1
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers to win@2.05
Singleposted 15 Sept, 15:23
odds 2.18Won
MLB·
Toronto Blue Jays
1:10
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers to win@2.18
Singleposted 14 Sept, 16:21
odds 2.15Won
MLB·
Toronto Blue Jays
5:6
Detroit Tigers
Detroit Tigers to win@2.15
Singleposted 12 Sept, 13:46
odds 2.80Lost
MLB·
Boston Red Sox
5:1
Kansas City Royals
Kansas City Royals to win@2.80
Singleposted 11 Sept, 14:55
odds 2.08Won
MLB·
Toronto Blue Jays
4:7
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles to win@2.08
Singleposted 9 Sept, 14:55
odds 2.35Won
MLB·
Chicago White Sox
2:4
Pittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates to win@2.35
Singleposted 7 Sept, 14:06
odds 2.15Lost
MLB·
San Francisco Giants
5:4
St. Louis Cardinals
St. Louis Cardinals to win@2.15
Singleposted 5 Sept, 14:42
odds 2.43Lost
MLB·
Philadelphia Phillies
4:2
Atlanta Braves
Atlanta Braves to win@2.43
Singleposted 2 Sept, 14:23
odds 2.15Lost
MLB·
Cleveland Guardians
0:11
Toronto Blue Jays
Cleveland Guardians to win@2.15
Singleposted 2 Sept, 14:23
odds 1.98Won
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
6:9
Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins to win@1.98
Singleposted 2 Sept, 14:22
odds 2.20Lost
MLB·
Houston Astros
2:0
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win@2.20
Singleposted 1 Sept, 16:05
odds 1.84Lost
MLB·
Boston Red Sox
6:9
Seattle Mariners
Boston Red Sox to win@1.84
Singleposted 1 Sept, 16:04
odds 2.25Lost
MLB·
Arizona Diamondbacks
1:7
Philadelphia Phillies
Arizona Diamondbacks to win@2.25
Singleposted 30 Aug, 17:07
odds 2.10Lost
MLB·
Minnesota Twins
5:1
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win@2.10
Singleposted 28 Aug, 15:23
odds 2.98Won
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Los Angeles Sparks
88:82
Washington Mystics
Los Angeles Sparks to win@2.98
Singleposted 28 Aug, 15:22
odds 2.25Lost
MLB·
Los Angeles Angels
3:5
Philadelphia Phillies
Los Angeles Angels to win@2.25
Singleposted 23 Aug, 18:15
odds 2.60Won
MLB·
San Diego Padres
8:1
Minnesota Twins
San Diego Padres −1.5@2.60
Singleposted 22 Aug, 19:08
odds 1.61Lost
MLB·
Arizona Diamondbacks
5:11
Cincinnati Reds
Arizona Diamondbacks to win@1.61
Singleposted 21 Aug, 18:41
odds 2.00Lost
MLB·
Seattle Mariners
6:5
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win@2.00
Singleposted 20 Aug, 14:15
odds 2.70Won
MLB·
Milwaukee Brewers
7:4
Seattle Mariners
Milwaukee Brewers −1.5@2.70
Singleposted 17 Aug, 14:53
odds 2.12Lost
MLB·
New York Mets
2:1
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres to win@2.12