Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Pittsburgh Steelers
30:27
Cincinnati BengalsUnder 43.5
NHL Savant | Dale | Sharp Money | Model +Ev Picks
@Real_NHL_Savant2.5K followers
We track a small group of bettors who win year after year, and post where their money goes.
BaseballNFL & NCAAFFootballBasketball
Hit rate
48.7%
expected 53.5%
Edge
−4.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 39.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
76
37-39
ROI
−63.7%
on 9 picks with odds
Average odds
1.94
singles with odds
Form
streak L2
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Baseball33-32 · 65 graded
−2.851%
NFL & NCAAF2-5 · 7 graded
−26.429%
Basketball1-1 · 2 graded
−6.850%
Football1-1 · 2 graded
+4.150%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Match result18-21 · 39 graded
−10.446%
Totals14-10 · 24 graded
+4.258%
Handicap3-4 · 7 graded
−7.343%
Parlays2-4 · 6 graded
−2.233%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By league
- MLB · USA33-3152%−2.1
- NFL1-420%−34.9
- NCAAF1-150%−5.1
- WNBA1-150%−6.8
- LaLiga · Spain1-0100%+24.3
- Hong Kong Premier League0-10%−16.1
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Picks
Cincinnati BengalsLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
33:30
Indianapolis ColtsOver 45.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Kansas City Chiefs
33:30
Indianapolis ColtsIndianapolis Colts to win✕
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
South Carolina Gamecocks
34:41
Mississippi State BulldogsMississippi State Bulldogs +3.5
Lost
MLB·
New York Mets
1:2
Baltimore OriolesNew York Mets to win
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
28:20
Dallas CowboysDallas Cowboys to win
Won
MLB·
San Francisco Giants
6:7
San Diego PadresSan Diego Padres to win
Lost
MLB·
Cincinnati Reds
12:8
Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers to win
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ole Miss Rebels
41:38
Louisville CardinalsOle Miss Rebels −7
Lost
Hong Kong Premier League·
Tai Po
3:2
RangersRangers to win
Won
MLB·
Los Angeles Dodgers
5:3
Washington NationalsLos Angeles Dodgers to win
Won
MLB·
Chicago White Sox
4:1
Minnesota TwinsUnder 8.5
Won
MLB·
Seattle Mariners
6:7
AthleticsOver 7.5
Won
MLB·
Pittsburgh Pirates
4:5
San Francisco GiantsOver 7.5
Won
MLB·
Pittsburgh Pirates
13:12
San Francisco GiantsOver 7.5
Lost
MLB·
Milwaukee Brewers
4:7
Texas RangersMilwaukee Brewers to win
Lost
MLB·
St. Louis Cardinals
4:1
Pittsburgh PiratesOver 7.5
Won
LaLiga·
Barcelona
2:0
Athletic ClubBarcelona to win
Won
MLB·
Miami Marlins
2:4
Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox to win
odds 2.17Lost
MLB·
San Francisco Giants
5:0
Cincinnati RedsOver 7.5@2.17
Lost
NFL · Preseason·
Tennessee Titans
19:16
Seattle SeahawksSeattle Seahawks to win
Won
NFL · Preseason·
Houston Texans
20:22
Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders to win
Won
MLB·
Cincinnati Reds
9:10
St. Louis CardinalsSt. Louis Cardinals to win
Lost
MLB·
Pittsburgh Pirates
4:3
Detroit TigersOver 7.5
Won
MLB·
Pittsburgh Pirates
4:1
Detroit TigersPittsburgh Pirates −1.5
Lost
MLB·
Texas Rangers
5:0
Washington NationalsWashington Nationals to win
Lost
WNBA · WNBA: Regular season·
Connecticut Sun
85:77
Los Angeles SparksLos Angeles Sparks to win
Won
MLB·
Chicago Cubs
7:5
Chicago White SoxChicago Cubs to win
Won
MLB·
Philadelphia Phillies
6:5
Miami MarlinsOver 8.5
Lost
MLB·
Pittsburgh Pirates
5:8
Detroit TigersPittsburgh Pirates to win
Lost
MLB·
Boston Red Sox
11:1
Arizona DiamondbacksArizona Diamondbacks to win