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Open picks 1

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NFL · Regular Season·9 Oct, 00:15

Dallas Cowboys

-:-

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dallas Cowboys −9.5

Hit rate

47.5%

expected 52.7%

Edge

−5.1 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 43.7%, the edge is within noise

Graded

454

212-234-8 · 1 pending

ROI

+6.5%

on 140 picks with odds

Average odds

2.28

singles with odds

Form

streak L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF103-132-5 · 240 graded

−11.3

44%

Baseball101-82-3 · 186 graded

+5.1

55%

Hockey7-14 · 21 graded

−20.0

33%

Basketball1-3 · 4 graded

−17.9

25%

Football0-3 · 3 graded

−17.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap86-107-6 · 199 graded

−10.7

45%

Match result73-83 · 156 graded

−3.2

47%

Totals52-38-2 · 92 graded

+3.7

58%

Parlays1-6 · 7 graded

−7.8

14%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA101-82-355%+5.1
NFL60-86-441%−14.2
NCAAF42-45-148%−7.8
NHL6-1430%−21.9
WNBA1-325%−17.9
USL Championship · USA0-20%−4.8
Primera B · Chile0-10%−43.3
AHL · USA1-0100%+18.3

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Picks

Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:12

odds 1.46Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

4:1

Philadelphia Flyers

Tampa Bay Lightning to win@1.46

Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:12

odds 1.87Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:30

Boston Bruins

1:4

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators to win@1.87

Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:12

odds 1.57Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:30

Pittsburgh Penguins

2:3

Winnipeg Jets

Pittsburgh Penguins to win@1.57

Singleposted 5 Oct, 22:12

odds 1.50Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 00:00

Dallas Stars

5:0

San Jose Sharks

Dallas Stars to win@1.50

Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:50

Pending

NFL · Regular Season·9 Oct, 00:15

Dallas Cowboys

-:-

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dallas Cowboys −9.5

Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:50

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:30

Pittsburgh Penguins

2:3

Winnipeg Jets

Pittsburgh Penguins −2.5

Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:50

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 01:40

Seattle Kraken

2:6

Vegas Golden Knights

Seattle Kraken −3

Singleposted 5 Oct, 20:50

Won

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons +3.5

Parlay · 3posted 4 Oct, 16:25

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins +10✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Baltimore Ravens

24:18

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans +11.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

26:29

New England Patriots

New England Patriots +7✓

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions −3.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

27:30

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs −4.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Philadelphia Eagles

20:24

Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams −3.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

26:29

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills −7

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints −1.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

San Francisco 49ers −2.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Push

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

30:23

Los Angeles Chargers

Seattle Seahawks −7

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

New York Giants

36:24

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals −2.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Push

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

14:17

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers −3

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:24

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Baltimore Ravens

24:18

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans +12

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:22

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

17:22

Jacksonville Jaguars

Cincinnati Bengals −2.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 01:45

odds 1.57Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

14:17

Green Bay Packers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win@1.57

Singleposted 3 Oct, 17:56

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

New York Giants

36:24

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals −6.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 17:56

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Georgia State Panthers

42:10

Old Dominion Monarchs

Old Dominion Monarchs +3

Singleposted 3 Oct, 17:50

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Missouri Tigers

45:17

Florida Gators

Florida Gators −5.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 17:50

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

TCU Horned Frogs

10:17

BYU Cougars

BYU Cougars −6.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 17:50

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Colorado Buffaloes

7:29

Texas Tech Red Raiders

Texas Tech Red Raiders −12.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 17:50

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Clemson Tigers

13:41

Miami Hurricanes

Clemson Tigers +17

Singleposted 3 Oct, 17:25

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

27:30

Kansas City Chiefs

Over 47.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:56

odds 1.71Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

2:3

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs to win@1.71

Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:56

odds 1.91Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·4 Oct, 00:00

Minnesota Wild

4:1

Boston Bruins

Boston Bruins to win@1.91