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NFL & NCAAFBaseballFootball

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Tipster index42.8#231 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

38.5%

expected 50.3%

Edge

−11.9 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 20.2%, the edge is within noise

Graded

5-8-2

ROI

−100.0%

on 3 picks with odds

Average odds

1.91

singles with odds

Form

streak W2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF5-2-1 · 8 graded

+19.0

71%

Baseball0-5-1 · 6 graded

−52.2

Football0-1 · 1 graded

−26.7

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap5-1-1 · 7 graded

+28.2

83%

Match result0-4 · 4 graded

−52.5

Totals0-1-1 · 2 graded

−51.2

Parlays0-2 · 2 graded

−31.3

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA0-5-10%−52.2
NFL4-0-1100%+44.9
NCAAF1-150%−5.1
LaLiga · Spain0-10%−26.7

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Picks

Singleposted 2 Oct, 23:01

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 00:00

Northwestern Wildcats

34:13

Penn State Nittany Lions

Northwestern Wildcats +2.5

Singleposted 1 Oct, 23:33

Won

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns +3

Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:45

Lost

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 18:00

Atlanta Braves

3:4

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win

Singleposted 25 Sept, 00:02

Won

NFL · Regular Season·25 Sept, 00:15

Green Bay Packers

14:35

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons +4.5

Singleposted 17 Sept, 22:01

Won

NFL · Regular Season·18 Sept, 00:15

Buffalo Bills

41:31

Detroit Lions

Buffalo Bills −5.5

Singleposted 12 Sept, 17:33

Lost

MLB·12 Sept, 17:35

New York Yankees

2:12

New York Mets

Under 8

Singleposted 12 Sept, 17:33

Push

MLB·12 Sept, 18:20

Chicago Cubs

4:3

Pittsburgh Pirates

Over 7

Singleposted 11 Sept, 23:48

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·12 Sept, 00:00

Kansas Jayhawks

21:38

Missouri Tigers

Kansas Jayhawks +4

Singleposted 11 Sept, 00:12

Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Sept, 00:35

Los Angeles Rams

7:27

San Francisco 49ers

San Francisco 49ers +3.5

Singleposted 10 Sept, 19:25

odds 1.96Lost

MLB·10 Sept, 20:10

Seattle Mariners

4:3

Texas Rangers

Texas Rangers to win@1.96

Singleposted 9 Sept, 23:38

Push

NFL · Regular Season·10 Sept, 00:20

Seattle Seahawks

13:10

New England Patriots

New England Patriots +3

Parlay · 2posted 4 Sept, 16:20

Lost

LaLiga·4 Sept, 19:00

Real Betis

1:0

Real Madrid

Real Madrid to win✕

LaLiga·4 Sept, 19:00

Real Betis

1:0

Real Madrid

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 2posted 22 Aug, 22:33

Lost

NFL · Preseason·22 Aug, 23:00

Cincinnati Bengals

27:9

Chicago Bears

Chicago Bears to win✕

NFL · Preseason·22 Aug, 23:00

New England Patriots

24:21

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles to win✕

Singleposted 19 Aug, 22:18

odds 1.91Lost

MLB·19 Aug, 22:35

Baltimore Orioles

3:5

New York Yankees

Baltimore Orioles to win@1.91

Singleposted 12 Aug, 17:33

odds 1.87Lost

MLB·12 Aug, 17:40

Minnesota Twins

7:5

Baltimore Orioles

Baltimore Orioles to win@1.87