Michael The English

@MichaelThe3751035 followers

Long Time Handicapper

BaseballNFL & NCAAFFootballHockey

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Tipster index49.2#185 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

54.4%

expected 54.8%

Edge

−0.5 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 48.3%, the edge is within noise

Graded

189

100-84-5

ROI

−2.9%

on 121 picks with odds

Average odds

1.72

singles with odds

Form

streak W2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball64-53-3 · 120 graded

−1.1

55%

NFL & NCAAF31-28-2 · 61 graded

−0.1

53%

Football5-2 · 7 graded

+11.4

71%

Hockey0-1 · 1 graded

−32.7

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result64-52 · 116 graded

−0.6

55%

Handicap24-27-3 · 54 graded

−8.3

47%

Parlays6-2 · 8 graded

+41.7

75%

Totals3-2-2 · 7 graded

+6.1

60%

Team totals3-1 · 4 graded

+11.5

75%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA64-53-355%−1.1
NCAAF19-1851%−2.4
NFL12-10-255%+3.7
National Women's Soccer League · USA3-0100%+44.2
MLS · USA1-150%−1.5
USL Championship · USA1-0100%+3.0
NHL0-10%−32.7
Leagues Cup · CONCACAF0-10%−52.9

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:59

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·7 Oct, 23:30

FIU Golden Panthers

22:3

New Mexico State Aggies

FIU Golden Panthers −6

Singleposted 7 Oct, 22:57

odds 1.61Push

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

3:4

Tampa Bay Rays

Under 7@1.61

Singleposted 5 Oct, 23:45

Won

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons +1

Same-game combo · 2posted 5 Oct, 00:08

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Carolina Panthers +4✓

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Under 52✕

Singleposted 4 Oct, 19:49

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

San Francisco 49ers −2

Singleposted 4 Oct, 19:49

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Minnesota Vikings −9

Singleposted 4 Oct, 19:49

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

30:23

Los Angeles Chargers

Seattle Seahawks −6

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:51

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

TCU Horned Frogs

10:17

BYU Cougars

BYU Cougars −5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 22:51

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

USC Trojans

25:21

Washington Huskies

USC Trojans −7

Singleposted 3 Oct, 18:48

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Kent State Golden Flashes

10:13

Ohio Bobcats

Ohio Bobcats −9

Singleposted 3 Oct, 18:48

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Philadelphia Flyers

2:3

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes −2

Singleposted 3 Oct, 16:50

odds 1.69Lost

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 17:00

Cleveland Guardians

0:3

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians to win@1.69

Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:45

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Minnesota Golden Gophers

20:14

Michigan Wolverines

Over 41

Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:45

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Connecticut Huskies

41:42

Syracuse Orange

Syracuse Orange −6

Same-game combo · 2posted 1 Oct, 23:45

Won

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Cleveland Browns +3✓

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Over 37✓

Singleposted 1 Oct, 21:20

odds 1.95Won

MLB · post-season·2 Oct, 00:00

Atlanta Braves

6:2

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win@1.95

Same-game combo · 2posted 1 Oct, 21:09

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:35

Kentucky Wildcats

Kentucky Wildcats +3✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:35

Kentucky Wildcats

Over 56✓

Singleposted 1 Oct, 21:09

Won

USA · USL Championship·4 Oct, 00:00

FC Tulsa

1:1

Sacramento Republic FC

FC Tulsa +3

Singleposted 30 Sept, 20:42

odds 1.69Lost

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:7

Chicago White Sox

Houston Astros to win@1.69

Singleposted 30 Sept, 20:42

odds 1.79Won

MLB · post-season·1 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

9:2

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees to win@1.79

Singleposted 30 Sept, 20:42

odds 1.70Won

USA · National Women's Soccer League·3 Oct, 00:00

Orlando Pride

1:2

San Diego Wave FC

San Diego Wave FC to win@1.70

Singleposted 29 Sept, 20:29

odds 2.06Won

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox to win@2.06

Singleposted 29 Sept, 20:29

odds 1.80Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 00:00

New York Yankees

9:0

Boston Red Sox

Over 6@1.80

Singleposted 29 Sept, 20:29

odds 1.82Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win@1.82

Singleposted 27 Sept, 19:20

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 20:05

San Francisco 49ers

36:30

Arizona Cardinals

San Francisco 49ers −7

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:51

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

30:27

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals −2

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:51

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Indianapolis Colts

19:17

Houston Texans

Houston Texans −1

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:51

Won

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

24:16

Los Angeles Chargers

Buffalo Bills −6

Singleposted 26 Sept, 16:15

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:30

USC Trojans

27:41

Oregon Ducks

Oregon Ducks −2

Singleposted 26 Sept, 16:15

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 23:30

LSU Tigers

35:6

Texas A&M Aggies

Texas A&M Aggies +9