MatchPointAI

@MatchPointAI_21 followers

Tennis

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Tipster index43.8#278 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

47.1%

expected 55.6%

Edge

−8.5 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 29.0%, the edge is within noise

Graded

8-9-1

ROI

−12.0%

on 8 picks with odds

Average odds

1.58

singles with odds

Form

streak L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis8-9-1 · 18 graded

−8.5

47%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result7-7 · 14 graded

−8.3

50%

Parlays1-2 · 3 graded

−9.8

33%

Handicap0-0-1 · 1 graded

0.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

ATP Challenger4-736%−17.2
US Open2-0100%+24.0
ATP 10000-0-1-0.0
ATP 2501-0100%+25.6

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Picks

Parlay · 2posted 7 Oct, 22:34

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 04:10

Jaume Munar

0:2

Jenson Brooksby

Jaume Munar to win✕

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·8 Oct, 06:50

Adolfo Vallejo

2:0

Valentin Royer

Adolfo Vallejo to win✓

Singleposted 24 Sept, 16:31

odds 2.00Lost

ATP Challenger · Genoa 2, Italy·24 Sept, 18:05

Carlo Alberto Caniato

2:1

Tom Gentzsch

Tom Gentzsch to win@2.00

Singleposted 24 Sept, 10:14

Won

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·24 Sept, 10:50

Lloyd Harris

2:0

Aleksandar Kovacevic

Lloyd Harris to win

Parlay · 2posted 6 Sept, 19:10

odds 1.77Won

US Open · Men's Singles·6 Sept, 19:20

Alex Michelsen

3:0

Tomas Etcheverry

Alex Michelsen to win✓

US Open · Men's Singles·6 Sept, 23:15

Ben Shelton

3:0

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Ben Shelton to win✓

Singleposted 6 Sept, 08:36

Won

ATP Challenger · Plovdiv 3, Bulgaria·6 Sept, 09:05

Georgii Kravchenko

2:0

Yanaki Milev

Georgii Kravchenko to win

Parlay · 2posted 5 Sept, 22:42

Lost

ATP Challenger · Zhangjiagang, China·6 Sept, 04:00

Kasidit Samrej

0:2

Ilia Simakin

Ilia Simakin to win✓

ATP Challenger · Porto, Portugal·6 Sept, 10:05

Facundo Mena

2:0

Hugo Dellien

Hugo Dellien to win✕

Singleposted 4 Sept, 10:48

Won

ATP Challenger · Manacor, Spain·4 Sept, 12:40

Billy Harris

1:2

Felix Balshaw

Felix Balshaw to win

Singleposted 4 Sept, 08:03

odds 1.76Won

ATP Challenger · Como, Italy·4 Sept, 16:00

Max Schoenhaus

1:2

Matej Dodig

Matej Dodig to win@1.76

Singleposted 30 Aug, 07:27

odds 1.20Won

US Open · Men's Singles·30 Aug, 15:10

Daniel Merida Aguilar

3:0

Marton Fucsovics

Daniel Merida Aguilar to win@1.20

Singleposted 30 Aug, 07:27

odds 1.31Won

US Open · Men's Singles·30 Aug, 15:05

Sho Shimabukuro

1:3

Arthur Rinderknech

Arthur Rinderknech to win@1.31

Singleposted 27 Aug, 08:33

Lost

ATP Challenger · Augsburg, Germany·27 Aug, 15:10

Cezar Cretu

2:0

Marvin Moeller

Marvin Moeller to win

Singleposted 22 Aug, 15:17

Lost

ATP Challenger · Quebec City, Canada·22 Aug, 17:10

Hugo Gaston

0:2

Luca Van Assche

Hugo Gaston to win

Singleposted 21 Aug, 14:52

Lost

ATP Challenger · Quebec City, Canada·21 Aug, 17:30

Jesper de Jong

0:2

Hugo Gaston

Jesper de Jong to win

Singleposted 20 Aug, 22:48

Lost

ATP Challenger · Roehampton, England·21 Aug, 10:10

Anton Matusevich

1:2

Oliver Tarvet

Anton Matusevich to win

Singleposted 20 Aug, 22:46

Won

ATP Challenger · Prague 2, Czech Republic·21 Aug, 10:40

Chun-Hsin Tseng

2:0

Norbert Gombos

Chun-Hsin Tseng to win

Singleposted 9 Aug, 14:50

odds 1.66Lost

ATP Challenger · Lexington, USA·9 Aug, 17:10

Andre Ilagan

1:2

Edas Butvilas

Andre Ilagan to win@1.66

Singleposted 9 Aug, 14:45

odds 1.50Lost

ATP Challenger · Plovdiv 2, Bulgaria·9 Aug, 15:10

Gabriele Piraino

2:0

Petr Nesterov

Petr Nesterov to win@1.50

Singleposted 8 Aug, 18:08

odds 1.61Push

ATP 1000 · Canadian Open·8 Aug, 19:25

Arthur Rinderknech

1:2

Brandon Nakashima

Arthur Rinderknech +1 sets@1.61