Lower League Analyst

We tell you what to back in the EFL & National League. Every pick and result published. 14 days free. 18+ | https://t.co/2wiI1aaCCx

Football

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Open picks 1

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National League·9 Oct, 18:45

Sutton United

-:-

Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood to win

Hit rate

53.3%

expected 64.1%

Edge

−10.7 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 33.4%, the edge is within noise

Graded

8-7 · 1 pending

ROI

−20.0%

on 2 picks with odds

Average odds

1.69

singles with odds

Form

streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football8-7 · 15 graded

−10.7

53%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result7-6 · 13 graded

−10.1

54%

Totals1-1 · 2 graded

−14.6

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

National League · England8-373%+7.1
League 1 · England0-10%−57.8
Championship · England0-10%−61.2
National League Cup · England0-10%−53.5
League 2 · England0-10%−66.6

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 12:15

Pending

National League·9 Oct, 18:45

Sutton United

-:-

Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 09:39

odds 1.60Won

National League·3 Oct, 14:00

Harrogate Town

3:0

Hornchurch

Harrogate Town to win@1.60

Singleposted 3 Oct, 09:07

Lost

League 2·3 Oct, 14:00

Grimsby Town

1:2

Shrewsbury Town

Grimsby Town to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 09:08

Lost

National League·30 Sept, 18:45

Eastleigh

1:1

Southend United

Southend United to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 09:08

Won

National League·29 Sept, 18:45

Gateshead FC

0:1

Altrincham

Altrincham to win

Singleposted 26 Sept, 09:11

Won

National League·26 Sept, 14:00

Solihull Moors

0:3

Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood to win

Singleposted 21 Sept, 09:38

odds 1.78Lost

England · National League Cup: Group C·23 Sept, 18:00

Boreham Wood

1:1

Everton U21

penalties

Boreham Wood to win@1.78

Singleposted 19 Sept, 09:09

Lost

League 1·19 Sept, 14:00

Bromley

2:1

Huddersfield Town

Huddersfield Town to win

Singleposted 18 Sept, 09:11

Won

National League·18 Sept, 18:45

Yeovil Town

4:1

Solihull Moors

Yeovil Town to win

Singleposted 16 Sept, 12:11

Won

National League·16 Sept, 18:45

Kidderminster Harriers

1:0

Gateshead FC

Kidderminster Harriers to win

Singleposted 16 Sept, 09:10

Won

National League·16 Sept, 18:45

Scunthorpe United

1:2

Boreham Wood

Boreham Wood to win

Singleposted 15 Sept, 17:17

Lost

National League·15 Sept, 18:45

Southend United

3:1

Tamworth

Under 1.7

Singleposted 15 Sept, 12:10

Lost

Championship·15 Sept, 18:45

Middlesbrough

2:2

Millwall

Middlesbrough to win

Singleposted 15 Sept, 09:34

Won

National League·15 Sept, 18:45

Southend United

3:1

Tamworth

Southend United to win

Singleposted 31 Aug, 11:04

Lost

National League·31 Aug, 14:00

Sutton United

0:2

Wealdstone

Sutton United to win

Singleposted 31 Aug, 11:04

Won

National League·31 Aug, 14:00

Boston United

2:3

Hornchurch

Under 7