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Open picks 1

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MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

-:-

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win

Hit rate

47.1%

expected 50.7%

Edge

−3.6 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 39.3%, the edge is within noise

Graded

105

49-55-1 · 1 pending

ROI

−8.6%

on 39 picks with odds

Average odds

1.80

singles with odds

Form

streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball46-42-1 · 89 graded

−1.3

52%

NFL & NCAAF3-12 · 15 graded

−13.5

20%

Football0-1 · 1 graded

−52.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result39-28 · 67 graded

+0.7

58%

Totals10-12-1 · 23 graded

−2.2

45%

Parlays0-14 · 14 graded

−22.3

Handicap0-1 · 1 graded

−55.1

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA46-40-153%−1.3
NFL3-538%+3.7
NCAAF0-40%−51.6
Ligue 3 · France0-10%−52.0

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:11

Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

-:-

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 13:17

Won

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:3

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 13:54

odds 1.76Lost

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win@1.76

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:14

odds 1.74Lost

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Brewers

4:3

San Diego Padres

Over 14.5@1.74

Parlay · 5posted 4 Oct, 01:15

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

San Francisco 49ers to win@1.68✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

30:23

Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers +7@1.95↺

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

27:30

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs −2.5@1.58✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

New York Giants

36:24

Arizona Cardinals

Arizona Cardinals to win@1.70✕

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 3 Oct, 16:48

Won

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 20:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

5:3

Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers to win

Parlay · 5posted 3 Oct, 16:48

Lost

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 20:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

5:3

Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers to win✓

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 22:30

Tampa Bay Rays

1:0

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win✕

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 00:30

Milwaukee Brewers

3:2

San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers to win✓

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 17:00

Cleveland Guardians

0:3

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox to win✓

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 20:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

5:3

Atlanta Braves

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 2posted 1 Oct, 22:04

odds 5.24Lost

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers to win@1.68✕

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 2posted 1 Oct, 20:08

Lost

MLB · post-season·2 Oct, 00:00

Atlanta Braves

6:2

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies to win✕

MLB · post-season·2 Oct, 00:00

Atlanta Braves

6:2

Philadelphia Phillies

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 30 Sept, 14:38

Won

MLB · post-season·1 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

4:1

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win

Parlay · 5posted 29 Sept, 12:08

Lost

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Houston Astros to win@1.74✕

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 18:00

Atlanta Braves

5:3

Philadelphia Phillies

Philadelphia Phillies to win@2.05✕

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 00:00

New York Yankees

9:0

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees to win@1.63✓

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win@1.83✓

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 2posted 28 Sept, 17:11

odds 4.47Lost

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles to win@1.50✕

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 27 Sept, 15:30

Lost

MLB·27 Sept, 19:05

Athletics

0:9

Houston Astros

Over 9.5

Parlay · 4posted 27 Sept, 06:52

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

24:16

Los Angeles Chargers

Buffalo Bills −7@1.89✓

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

30:27

Cincinnati Bengals

Cincinnati Bengals to win@1.54✕

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 20:05

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

16:23

Minnesota Vikings

Minnesota Vikings to win@1.83✓

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

24:16

Los Angeles Chargers

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 26 Sept, 14:21

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 16:00

Tennessee Volunteers

17:20

Texas Longhorns

Texas Longhorns −5.5

Singleposted 25 Sept, 15:37

Lost

MLB·25 Sept, 23:40

Chicago White Sox

6:1

Colorado Rockies

Over 8

Singleposted 24 Sept, 13:03

Won

MLB·25 Sept, 01:40

Athletics

5:7

Houston Astros

Houston Astros to win

Singleposted 23 Sept, 14:13

Lost

MLB·23 Sept, 23:40

Kansas City Royals

5:4

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox to win

Singleposted 23 Sept, 14:13

Won

MLB·23 Sept, 23:00

Boston Red Sox

1:0

Cleveland Guardians

Boston Red Sox to win

Singleposted 22 Sept, 12:41

odds 1.95Won

MLB·23 Sept, 00:05

Texas Rangers

3:6

New York Mets

Over 8@1.95

Singleposted 21 Sept, 19:36

Lost

MLB·21 Sept, 22:40

Detroit Tigers

9:2

Washington Nationals

Washington Nationals to win

Singleposted 21 Sept, 19:34

Lost

MLB·22 Sept, 01:45

San Francisco Giants

5:2

Minnesota Twins

Over 8

Parlay · 3posted 20 Sept, 16:06

odds 7.09Lost

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Atlanta Falcons

3:34

Carolina Panthers

Atlanta Falcons to win@2.30✕

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:05

Denver Broncos

20:13

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars to win@2.24✕

NFL · Regular Season·21 Sept, 00:20

Kansas City Chiefs

33:30

Indianapolis Colts

Kansas City Chiefs to win@1.38✓

Singleposted 20 Sept, 14:08

odds 1.91Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 20:05

Los Angeles Chargers

14:26

Las Vegas Raiders

Under 43.5@1.91

Singleposted 20 Sept, 14:08

odds 1.91Won

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Chicago Bears

3:9

Minnesota Vikings

Under 47.5@1.91

Singleposted 20 Sept, 13:41

odds 1.91Won

MLB·20 Sept, 20:10

San Diego Padres

7:3

Miami Marlins

Over 8@1.91

Singleposted 20 Sept, 13:41

odds 1.62Lost

MLB·20 Sept, 18:35

Texas Rangers

2:7

Toronto Blue Jays

Texas Rangers to win@1.62

Singleposted 19 Sept, 14:08

Won

MLB·20 Sept, 00:40

San Diego Padres

7:6

Miami Marlins

San Diego Padres to win

Singleposted 18 Sept, 14:32

Lost

MLB·18 Sept, 22:40

Cincinnati Reds

6:4

Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs to win

Parlay · 3posted 17 Sept, 17:51

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·18 Sept, 00:15

Buffalo Bills

41:31

Detroit Lions

Under 54.5@2.00✕

NFL · Regular Season·18 Sept, 00:15

Buffalo Bills

41:31

Detroit Lions

Buffalo Bills to win@1.40✓

NFL · Regular Season·18 Sept, 00:15

Buffalo Bills

41:31

Detroit Lions

Ungraded market?