odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta FalconsNew Orleans Saints −1.5@2.00
H Zeitzler
@HZeitzler217 followers
Long AI, Bitcoin, and Solana. Free markets, real conviction. NFL/UFC picks with full unit accounting — receipts kept, losses posted.
NFL & NCAAF
Hit rate
65.2%
expected 49.2%
Edge
+16.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 48.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
23
15-8
ROI
+29.3%
on 20 picks with odds
Average odds
1.99
singles with odds
Form
streak L1
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
NFL & NCAAF15-8 · 23 graded
+16.065%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Handicap14-6 · 20 graded
+19.770%
Match result1-1 · 2 graded
+12.050%
Totals0-1 · 1 graded
−50.90%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By league
- NFL15-865%+16.0
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Picks
Atlanta Falconsodds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit LionsCarolina Panthers +4.5@1.91
odds 2.85Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit LionsCarolina Panthers to win@2.85
odds 2.00Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Las Vegas Raiders
27:30
Kansas City ChiefsLas Vegas Raiders +4.5@2.00
odds 1.98Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver BroncosSan Francisco 49ers −3@1.98
odds 1.98Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Houston Texans
30:34
Dallas CowboysHouston Texans −3@1.98
odds 1.83Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams −3.5@1.83
odds 1.89Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
27:35
Las Vegas RaidersLas Vegas Raiders +3.5@1.89
odds 1.91Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
36:30
Arizona CardinalsArizona Cardinals +7.5@1.91
odds 1.89Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
30:26
Los Angeles RamsLos Angeles Rams −1.5@1.89
odds 2.00Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:24
New York JetsNew York Jets +6.5@2.00
odds 1.89Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
19:17
Houston TexansHouston Texans −1.5@1.89
odds 1.95Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Green Bay Packers
14:35
Atlanta FalconsAtlanta Falcons +4.5@1.95
odds 2.24Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Denver Broncos
20:13
Jacksonville JaguarsJacksonville Jaguars to win@2.24
odds 1.95Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
37:20
Washington CommandersDallas Cowboys −4.5@1.95
odds 1.89Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Jets
17:20
Green Bay PackersNew York Jets +3.5@1.89
odds 1.85Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New England Patriots
20:3
Pittsburgh SteelersNew England Patriots −4.5@1.85
odds 1.87Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
3:9
Minnesota VikingsOver 46.5@1.87
odds 1.93Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Buffalo Bills
41:31
Detroit LionsBuffalo Bills −5.5@1.93
odds 1.93Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
28:20
Dallas CowboysNew York Giants +3@1.93
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Tennessee Titans
10:23
New York JetsNew York Jets +1.5
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
33:27
Tampa Bay BuccaneersCincinnati Bengals −3.5
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Los Angeles Chargers
14:26
Arizona CardinalsLos Angeles Chargers −9.5