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Open picks 2

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NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·7 Oct, 23:30

FIU Golden Panthers

-:-

New Mexico State Aggies

FIU Golden Panthers to win@1.87

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Washington Capitals

-:-

Pittsburgh Penguins

Washington Capitals to win@1.63

Hit rate

53.7%

expected 50.3%

Edge

+3.4 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 43.8%, the edge is within noise

Graded

36-31-1 · 2 pending

ROI

−2.0%

on 17 picks with odds

Average odds

1.97

singles with odds

Form

streak W3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF10-18-1 · 29 graded

−6.6

36%

Football12-4 · 16 graded

+12.7

75%

Baseball11-4 · 15 graded

+8.5

73%

Tennis3-2 · 5 graded

+19.6

60%

Basketball0-2 · 2 graded

−5.3

Hockey0-1 · 1 graded

−1.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result21-10 · 31 graded

+11.1

68%

Handicap12-8-1 · 21 graded

−3.5

60%

Parlays0-13 · 13 graded

−8.9

Totals3-0 · 3 graded

+24.3

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA11-473%+8.5
NCAAF8-657%+7.8
NFL2-6-125%−31.1
UEFA Nations League3-260%−6.4
ATP 10003-175%+26.4
Serie A · Italy1-150%−12.6
Bundesliga · Germany2-0100%+23.5
LaLiga · Spain1-0100%+37.5
Primeira Liga · Portugal1-0100%+29.5
NHL0-0--

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:01

odds 1.87Pending

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·7 Oct, 23:30

FIU Golden Panthers

-:-

New Mexico State Aggies

FIU Golden Panthers to win@1.87

Singleposted 7 Oct, 15:03

odds 1.63Pending

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Washington Capitals

-:-

Pittsburgh Penguins

Washington Capitals to win@1.63

Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:54

odds 3.35Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 08:15

Rinky Hijikata

0:2

Roman Safiullin

Rinky Hijikata to win@3.35

Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:54

odds 1.59Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 12:15

Arthur Fery

2:0

Marin Cilic

Arthur Fery to win@1.59

Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:54

odds 1.77Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 08:55

Quentin Halys

2:0

Chak Wong

Quentin Halys to win@1.77

Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:54

odds 1.82Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 10:05

Yibing Wu

2:0

Michael Zheng

Yibing Wu to win@1.82

Parlay · 3posted 6 Oct, 17:29

odds 15.51Lost

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 02:00

Golden State Warriors

124:98

LA Lakers

LA Lakers +3.5@1.95✕

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 01:00

Utah Jazz

106:117

Denver Nuggets

Utah Jazz to win@1.98✕

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 00:00

Oklahoma City Thunder

110:116

New Orleans Pelicans

New Orleans Pelicans to win@2.12✓

Parlay · 4posted 6 Oct, 17:07

odds 17.08Lost

NBA · Pre-season·6 Oct, 23:00

Charlotte Hornets

90:124

Brooklyn Nets

Brooklyn Nets to win✓

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 00:00

Oklahoma City Thunder

110:116

New Orleans Pelicans

Oklahoma City Thunder −3.5✕

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 01:00

Utah Jazz

106:117

Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets to win✓

NBA · Pre-season·7 Oct, 02:00

Golden State Warriors

124:98

LA Lakers

Golden State Warriors −2.5✓

Parlay · 9posted 6 Oct, 17:07

odds 396Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Detroit Red Wings

5:3

Ottawa Senators

Ottawa Senators to win✕

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Buffalo Sabres

3:2

Minnesota Wild

Buffalo Sabres to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Montreal Canadiens

4:6

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

New Jersey Devils

3:5

Utah Mammoth

Over 5.5✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

5:4

Nashville Predators

Toronto Maple Leafs −1.5✕

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:30

New York Rangers

5:2

New York Islanders

New York Rangers to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 00:00

Chicago Blackhawks

4:2

St. Louis Blues

St. Louis Blues to win✕

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 02:00

Los Angeles Kings

1:2

Florida Panthers

Florida Panthers to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Detroit Red Wings

5:3

Ottawa Senators

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 4 Oct, 17:33

Won

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Brewers

4:3

San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 18:45

odds 1.91Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Massachusetts Minutemen

14:38

Eastern Michigan Eagles

Eastern Michigan Eagles +6.5@1.91

Parlay · 8posted 3 Oct, 15:14

odds 517Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

North Carolina State Wolfpack

31:28

Louisville Cardinals

Louisville Cardinals −3.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Wake Forest Demon Deacons

57:3

Stanford Cardinal

Stanford Cardinal +13.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Iowa Hawkeyes

14:31

Ohio State Buckeyes

Ohio State Buckeyes −14.5✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Florida State Seminoles

38:7

Virginia Cavaliers

Virginia Cavaliers −1.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:45

Georgia Bulldogs

38:14

Vanderbilt Commodores

Vanderbilt Commodores +24.5✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Air Force Falcons

14:9

Navy Midshipmen

Air Force Falcons −3.5✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Iowa State Cyclones

45:42

West Virginia Mountaineers

West Virginia Mountaineers +2.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

North Carolina State Wolfpack

31:28

Louisville Cardinals

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 6posted 3 Oct, 15:09

odds 7.64Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

USC Trojans

25:21

Washington Huskies

USC Trojans to win✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Mississippi State Bulldogs

23:56

Alabama Crimson Tide

Alabama Crimson Tide to win✓

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Baltimore Ravens

24:18

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

Minnesota Golden Gophers

20:14

Michigan Wolverines

Michigan Wolverines to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:30

Wisconsin Badgers

31:3

Michigan State Spartans

Wisconsin Badgers to win✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

USC Trojans

25:21

Washington Huskies

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 3posted 3 Oct, 15:08

odds 13.20Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

Clemson Tigers

13:41

Miami Hurricanes

Clemson Tigers +15.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:30

USC Trojans

25:21

Washington Huskies

Washington Huskies to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

Texas A&M Aggies

34:7

Arkansas Razorbacks

Texas A&M Aggies −13.5✓

Parlay · 2posted 2 Oct, 23:01

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 00:00

Northwestern Wildcats

34:13

Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions +5.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 00:00

Northwestern Wildcats

34:13

Penn State Nittany Lions

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 2 Oct, 21:08

odds 2.08Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·2 Oct, 23:00

Virginia Tech Hokies

33:35

Pittsburgh Panthers

Pittsburgh Panthers to win@2.08

Singleposted 2 Oct, 21:08

odds 1.82Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·2 Oct, 23:00

Delaware Blue Hens

14:30

Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames −6.5@1.82

Singleposted 2 Oct, 21:08

odds 1.70Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 00:00

Northwestern Wildcats

34:13

Penn State Nittany Lions

Penn State Nittany Lions to win@1.70

Parlay · 3posted 2 Oct, 12:36

odds 11.38Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·2 Oct, 23:00

Virginia Tech Hokies

33:35

Pittsburgh Panthers

Virginia Tech Hokies to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 00:00

Northwestern Wildcats

34:13

Penn State Nittany Lions

Northwestern Wildcats to win✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·2 Oct, 23:00

Virginia Tech Hokies

33:35

Pittsburgh Panthers

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 28 Sept, 16:32

Won

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·28 Sept, 18:45

Belgium

0:1

France

France to win

Singleposted 28 Sept, 16:32

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·28 Sept, 18:45

Turkiye

1:4

Italy

Turkiye +1.5

Singleposted 28 Sept, 16:32

Won

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·28 Sept, 18:45

Northern Ireland

0:0

Hungary

Hungary +1.5

Singleposted 28 Sept, 16:32

Won

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·28 Sept, 18:45

Sweden

3:1

Poland

Sweden to win

Singleposted 28 Sept, 16:32

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·28 Sept, 18:45

Romania

2:4

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Romania to win

Parlay · 6posted 28 Sept, 16:04

odds 144535Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·28 Sept, 18:45

Belgium

0:1

France

France to win@1.80✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·28 Sept, 18:45

Turkiye

1:4

Italy

Draw✕

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·28 Sept, 18:45

Romania

2:4

Bosnia and Herzegovina

Romania to win@2.25✕

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·28 Sept, 18:45

Sweden

3:1

Poland

Sweden to win@2.00✓

UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 2·28 Sept, 18:45

Northern Ireland

0:0

Hungary

Northern Ireland to win@2.85✕

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·28 Sept, 18:45

Belgium

0:1

France

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 5posted 28 Sept, 08:42

odds 11.47Lost

ATP Challenger · Porto 2, Portugal·28 Sept, 16:05

Jerome Kym

2:1

Tiago Torres

Jerome Kym to win@1.24✓

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·28 Sept, 09:40

Kyrian Jacquet

0:2

Andrey Rublev

Andrey Rublev to win@1.34✓

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·28 Sept, 11:40

Daniil Medvedev

2:0

Roman Safiullin

Daniil Medvedev to win@1.41✓

ATP Challenger · Porto 2, Portugal·29 Sept, 10:10

Goncalo Marques

2:1

Petr Nesterov

Goncalo Marques to win@1.74✓

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·28 Sept, 09:10

Nikoloz Basilashvili

1:2

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Nikoloz Basilashvili to win@2.82✕

Singleposted 27 Sept, 08:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

24:16

Los Angeles Chargers

Los Angeles Chargers +7.5

Singleposted 27 Sept, 08:24

Push

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Detroit Lions

31:24

New York Jets

New York Jets +7

Singleposted 27 Sept, 08:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 17:00

Indianapolis Colts

19:17

Houston Texans

Houston Texans to win

Singleposted 27 Sept, 08:24

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·27 Sept, 20:25

Dallas Cowboys

31:34

Baltimore Ravens

Baltimore Ravens −3.5