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FINLEY FREDDIE

@FINLEYFRED4r51 followers

🎯 Your new go-to for daily picks. Sharp plays. Data-driven insights. Fresh sheets. 📊🔥 Follow along, stay locked in, and join the squad. 🚀

BaseballTennisFootballHockeyNFL & NCAAFBasketball
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Tipster index46.2#200 on the leaderboard

Open picks 5

Games not played yet
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
live
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
live
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
live
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres to win
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
live
Edmonton Oilers
Anaheim Ducks +1.5
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Vanderbilt Commodores
-:-
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels +10
Hit rate
55.1%
expected 57.3%
Edge
−2.2 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 49.5%, the edge is within noise
Graded
215
118-96-1 · 5 pending
ROI
−14.5%
on 49 picks with odds
Average odds
1.90
singles with odds
Form
streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-10-7.5-5-2.5015 Sept21 Sept26 Sept2 Oct7 Oct

By sport

Baseball34-30-1 · 65 graded
−2.0
53%
Tennis23-23 · 46 graded
−5.9
50%
Football28-16 · 44 graded
−0.6
64%
Hockey20-8 · 28 graded
+12.1
71%
NFL & NCAAF10-17 · 27 graded
−15.0
37%
Basketball3-2 · 5 graded
+6.0
60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result75-69 · 144 graded
−4.6
52%
Handicap31-13 · 44 graded
+2.3
70%
Totals11-7-1 · 19 graded
+9.8
61%
Parlays1-7 · 8 graded
−10.8
13%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 8 Oct, 01:50
Pending
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
live
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 09:05
Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
live
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 09:05
Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
live
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 09:05
Pending
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
live
Edmonton Oilers
Anaheim Ducks +1.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 08:42
odds 1.68Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:4
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win@1.68
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:28
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Alex Molcan
2:1
Federico Cina
Federico Cina to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:28
Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Fery
2:0
Marin Cilic
Marin Cilic to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:28
odds 2.52Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Arthur Gea
2:1
Jaime Faria
Jaime Faria to win@2.52
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:28
odds 2.02Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Yibing Wu
2:0
Michael Zheng
Michael Zheng to win@2.02
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:24
Lost
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:20
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Vanderbilt Commodores
-:-
Ole Miss Rebels
Ole Miss Rebels +10
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:20
odds 1.77Won
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres to win@1.77
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:18
odds 2.80Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Aleksandar Kovacevic
1:2
Matteo Berrettini
Aleksandar Kovacevic to win@2.80
Singleposted 7 Oct, 00:18
odds 3.35Lost
ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·
Rinky Hijikata
0:2
Roman Safiullin
Rinky Hijikata to win@3.35
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Montreal Canadiens
4:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes +1.5
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
3:2
Minnesota Wild
Buffalo Sabres +1.5
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
3:5
Utah Mammoth
New Jersey Devils to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:4
Nashville Predators
Toronto Maple Leafs to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
5:3
Ottawa Senators
Detroit Red Wings +1.5
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
New York Islanders
New York Rangers to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Chicago Blackhawks
4:2
St. Louis Blues
Chicago Blackhawks +1.5
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
2:6
Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:59
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Los Angeles Kings
1:2
Florida Panthers
Florida Panthers +1.5
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:34
Lost
WTA 1000 · China Open·
Karolina Muchova
2:1
Naomi Osaka
Naomi Osaka to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:22
odds 2.00Lost
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves to win@2.00
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:16
Won
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 3·
Kazakhstan
2:2
Faroe Islands
Kazakhstan +1.5
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:16
Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
3:0
Czechia
England to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:16
Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Croatia
1:2
Spain
Spain to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:16
Won
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 3·
Moldova
0:4
Slovakia
Slovakia to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 06:16
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Scotland
1:2
Slovenia
Scotland to win