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PAIN' PICKS

@DevaAnalytics32 followers

🏈 NFL | 🏈 CFB | ⚾ MLB 📊 Built on numbers. Sharpened by film. 👁️ Free picks & matchup reads.

NFL & NCAAFBaseballFootballHockey
Tipster index67.9#11 on the leaderboard

Open picks 4

Games not played yet
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Liberty Flames
-:-
Sam Houston State Bearkats
Liberty Flames −13.5
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
-:-
Missouri State Bears
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win@1.75
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UTSA Roadrunners
-:-
South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls +6.5
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
-:-
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5@1.90
Hit rate
67.7%
expected 50.2%
Edge
+17.6 pp
hit rate at least 53.0% with 95% confidence: the edge is not luck
Graded
31
21-10 · 4 pending
ROI
+41.3%
on 15 picks with odds
Average odds
1.93
singles with odds
Form
streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-202425 Sept28 Sept1 Oct4 Oct7 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF16-6 · 22 graded
+20.5
73%
Baseball5-2 · 7 graded
+19.5
71%
Football0-1 · 1 graded
−30.3
0%
Hockey0-1 · 1 graded
−13.3
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap11-6 · 17 graded
+15.2
65%
Totals5-2 · 7 graded
+17.2
71%
Match result5-1 · 6 graded
+33.1
83%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−32.6
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

  • NFL11-285%+33.5
  • NCAAF5-456%+1.8
  • MLB · USA5-271%+19.5
  • USL Championship · USA0-10%−30.3
  • NHL0-10%−13.3
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Picks

Singleposted 8 Oct, 03:08
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Liberty Flames
-:-
Sam Houston State Bearkats
Liberty Flames −13.5
Singleposted 8 Oct, 03:08
odds 1.75Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
-:-
Missouri State Bears
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers to win@1.75
Singleposted 8 Oct, 03:08
Pending
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UTSA Roadrunners
-:-
South Florida Bulls
South Florida Bulls +6.5
Singleposted 8 Oct, 02:25
odds 1.90Pending
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
-:-
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8.5@1.90
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:46
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
FIU Golden Panthers
22:3
New Mexico State Aggies
FIU Golden Panthers −4.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 20:46
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kennesaw State Owls
26:27
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Kennesaw State Owls to win
Same-game combo · 2posted 5 Oct, 11:22
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons +3✓
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Under 48.5✕
Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:18
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Carolina Panthers
32:26
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers +3.5
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:02
odds 1.93Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
13:30
Indianapolis Colts
Washington Commanders +4.5@1.93
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:02
odds 1.87Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
36:24
Arizona Cardinals
New York Giants +2.5@1.87
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:02
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
15:10
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins +11.5
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:02
odds 1.73Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
20:24
Los Angeles Rams
Los Angeles Rams −2.5@1.73
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:02
odds 2.15Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cincinnati Bengals
17:22
Jacksonville Jaguars
Jacksonville Jaguars to win@2.15
Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:02
odds 1.85Won
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
24:14
Denver Broncos
San Francisco 49ers −2.5@1.85
Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:05
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Houston Cougars
27:17
UCF Knights
UCF Knights +12.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:05
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Wisconsin Badgers
31:3
Michigan State Spartans
Michigan State Spartans +10.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 15:05
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Missouri Tigers +4.5
Singleposted 2 Oct, 20:11
odds 2.00Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers to win@2.00
Singleposted 2 Oct, 20:11
odds 1.93Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Delaware Blue Hens
14:30
Liberty Flames
Liberty Flames −7.5@1.93
Singleposted 2 Oct, 18:47
odds 1.83Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Penn State Nittany Lions −2.5@1.83
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:31
Lost
USA · USL Championship·
FC Tulsa
1:1
Sacramento Republic FC
FC Tulsa −1.5
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:31
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
New Mexico State Aggies
34:13
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers +2.5
Singleposted 1 Oct, 22:31
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Chicago Bears
23:12
New York Jets
Chicago Bears +2.5
Singleposted 1 Oct, 18:17
odds 1.87Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
6:2
Philadelphia Phillies
Over 7.5@1.87
Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:25
odds 2.05Lost
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
3:4
Philadelphia Phillies
Over 7.5@2.05
Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:25
odds 2.20Won
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:7
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win@2.20
Singleposted 30 Sept, 17:25
odds 1.95Lost
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:1
Chicago Cubs
Over 7.5@1.95
Singleposted 30 Sept, 12:40
odds 1.80Won
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:2
Boston Red Sox
Over 6.5@1.80
Singleposted 29 Sept, 21:05
Won
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:0
Boston Red Sox
Over 6.5
Singleposted 29 Sept, 10:58
odds 1.91Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
5:3
Philadelphia Phillies
Over 6.5@1.91