odds 1.45Won
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 4·
Luxembourg
0:2
BulgariaOver 1.5@1.45
DerWettenBerater
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Football
Hit rate
55.6%
expected 59.3%
Edge
−3.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 40.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
27
15-12
ROI
−10.9%
on 27 picks with odds
Average odds
1.61
singles with odds
Form
streak W3
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football15-12 · 27 graded
−3.756%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Totals8-6 · 14 graded
−3.857%
Match result4-4 · 8 graded
−7.550%
Parlays1-2 · 3 graded
−24.533%
Both teams to score2-0 · 2 graded
+42.8100%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By league
- UEFA Nations League7-558%−2.3
- Premier League · England2-167%+10.8
- Europa League1-233%−26.4
- EFL Cup · England2-0100%+46.5
- Ligue 1 · France1-0100%+41.2
- LaLiga · Spain0-10%−62.3
- Serie A · Italy0-10%−61.4
- Süper Lig · Turkiye0-10%−58.1
- 2. Bundesliga · Germany1-0100%+38.6
- Champions League1-0100%+40.5
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Picks
Bulgariaodds 1.72Won
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 3·
Moldova
0:4
SlovakiaOver 2.5@1.72
odds 1.50Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Italy
3:1
TurkiyeOver 2.5@1.50
odds 1.80Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·
Greece
0:0
GermanyGermany to win@1.80
odds 1.45Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Switzerland
2:1
SloveniaUnder 1.5@1.45
odds 1.57Won
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 4·
Poland
6:0
RomaniaPoland to win@1.57
odds 1.55Lost
UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 1·
Finland
0:0
BelarusFinland to win@1.55
odds 1.60Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Czechia
0:2
EnglandOver 2.5@1.60
odds 1.50Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
1:4
ItalyBoth teams to score: yes@1.50
odds 1.53Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
North Macedonia
0:3
SwitzerlandUnder 1.5@1.53✕
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
North Macedonia
0:3
SwitzerlandSwitzerland to win@1.53✓
odds 1.50Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Portugal
1:0
WalesUnder 2.5@1.50
odds 1.70Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·
Norway
3:2
DenmarkNorway to win@1.70
odds 1.65Lost
NB I·
Nyiregyhaza Spartacus FC
1:1
FerencvarosFerencvaros to win@1.65
odds 1.62Won
Ligue 1·
Marseille
1:2
Paris Saint-GermainOver 2.5@1.62
odds 1.56Lost
Süper Lig·
Trabzonspor
4:0
GalatasarayBoth teams to score: yes@1.56✕
Süper Lig·
Trabzonspor
4:0
GalatasarayUnder 2.5@1.56✕
odds 1.55Lost
Serie A·
AS Roma
2:2
InterUnder 2.5@1.55
odds 1.55Won
2. Bundesliga·
Wolfsburg
5:1
DarmstadtWolfsburg to win@1.55
odds 1.62Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Real Sociedad
1:2
AFC BournemouthUnder 2.5@1.62
odds 1.52Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Beşiktaş
4:1
MarseilleUnder 2.5@1.52
odds 1.53Lost
LaLiga·
Atletico Madrid
4:0
OsasunaUnder 1.5@1.53
odds 1.65Won
Europa League · League Stage·
AC Milan
0:2
BenficaUnder 2.5@1.65
odds 1.87Won
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Ipswich Town
2:4
ArsenalBoth teams to score: yes@1.87
odds 1.62Won
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Liverpool
3:1
Tottenham HotspurBoth teams to score: yes✓
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Liverpool
3:1
Tottenham HotspurLiverpool or draw✓
odds 1.64Won
Premier League·
Manchester United
0:1
Manchester CityUnder 2.5@1.64
odds 1.57Won
Premier League·
Sunderland
0:2
ArsenalArsenal to win@1.57
odds 1.95Lost
Premier League·
Tottenham Hotspur
0:0
EvertonTottenham Hotspur to win@1.95
odds 1.60Won
Champions League · League Stage·
Club Brugge
2:3
Aston VillaOver 2.5@1.60