Cup of Joe’s picks

@CupOfJoePicks1.6K followers

MLB, NFL, PGA & NASCAR capper.

BaseballNFL & NCAAFHockey

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Tipster index36.9#328 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

43.9%

expected 51.6%

Edge

−7.7 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 37.7%, the edge is within noise

Graded

164

72-92

ROI

−34.4%

on 31 picks with odds

Average odds

1.88

singles with odds

Form

streak L5

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball50-64 · 114 graded

−6.7

44%

NFL & NCAAF22-27 · 49 graded

−9.2

45%

Hockey0-1 · 1 graded

−55.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result39-56 · 95 graded

−13.0

41%

Handicap26-20 · 46 graded

+6.4

57%

Totals6-8 · 14 graded

−14.1

43%

Parlays1-8 · 9 graded

−14.2

11%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA49-6145%−6.9
NFL14-1647%−7.1
NCAAF8-1044%−11.2
NHL0-10%−55.6

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Picks

Parlay · 6posted 7 Oct, 18:33

Lost

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

3:9

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians to win✓

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:4

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves to win✕

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

3:4

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees to win✕

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

1:3

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win✕

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

3:9

Cleveland Guardians

Over 7.5✓

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:4

Los Angeles Dodgers

Over 7.5✕

Singleposted 6 Oct, 19:41

Lost

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:3

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves to win

Same-game combo · 2posted 5 Oct, 19:55

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

Over 47.5✓

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

New Orleans Saints to win✕

Singleposted 5 Oct, 19:45

Lost

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 19:45

Lost

MLB · post-season·5 Oct, 21:00

Cleveland Guardians

3:4

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:04

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Under 38.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:04

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 13:30

Washington Commanders

13:30

Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts −3.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:04

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

San Francisco 49ers −2.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:04

Won

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Carolina Panthers +3.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:04

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Philadelphia Eagles

20:24

Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams −3.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:04

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

17:22

Jacksonville Jaguars

Over 51.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:04

Won

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Over 50.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:40

Lost

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 22:30

Tampa Bay Rays

1:0

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:40

Lost

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 17:00

Cleveland Guardians

0:3

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:40

Lost

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 00:30

Milwaukee Brewers

3:2

San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers −1.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:40

Lost

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 20:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

5:3

Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:56

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

TCU Horned Frogs

10:17

BYU Cougars

BYU Cougars −5.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:56

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 19:30

Missouri Tigers

45:17

Florida Gators

Florida Gators −5.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:56

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Baltimore Ravens

24:18

Tennessee Titans

Tennessee Titans −6.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:56

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 16:00

North Carolina Tar Heels

26:37

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

North Carolina Tar Heels +21.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:56

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·3 Oct, 23:00

Texas A&M Aggies

34:7

Arkansas Razorbacks

Texas A&M Aggies −13.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 12:56

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Miami Dolphins −15.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 1 Oct, 21:50

Lost

MLB · post-season·2 Oct, 00:00

Atlanta Braves

6:2

Philadelphia Phillies

Under 7.5✕

MLB · post-season·2 Oct, 00:00

Atlanta Braves

6:2

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win✓

Singleposted 1 Oct, 21:50

Won

MLB · post-season·2 Oct, 00:00

Atlanta Braves

6:2

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win

Parlay · 2posted 29 Sept, 16:42

Won

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Over 4.5✓

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

Over 4.5✓

Singleposted 29 Sept, 16:41

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·29 Sept, 21:00

Carolina Hurricanes

0:1

Florida Panthers

Carolina Hurricanes to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 10:03

Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 00:00

New York Yankees

9:0

Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 10:03

Won

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 21:00

Houston Astros

3:6

Chicago White Sox

Chicago White Sox to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 10:03

Lost

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

Chicago Cubs to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 10:03

Won

MLB · post-season·29 Sept, 18:00

Atlanta Braves

5:3

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win