Crimz Bets

⚾ MLB | 🎾 Tennis | 🏀 NBA | ⚽Soccer | 🏈 NFL 📈 SEPT record 43-17 (+26U) 📊2026 record 71-26 (+45U) 🎯 Finding the edge, one bet at a time.

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Tipster index60.2#43 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

58.4%

expected 52.3%

Edge

+6.1 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 51.7%, the edge is within noise

Graded

153

87-62-4 · 1 pending

ROI

−0.0%

on 118 picks with odds

Average odds

1.84

singles with odds

Form

streak L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis29-30 · 59 graded

−2.7

49%

Baseball29-16-1 · 46 graded

+10.4

64%

Football23-13-3 · 39 graded

+13.6

64%

NFL & NCAAF5-3 · 8 graded

+7.2

63%

Basketball1-0 · 1 graded

+57.1

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals44-33-1 · 78 graded

+4.2

57%

Match result22-12 · 34 graded

+12.5

65%

Handicap15-11-3 · 29 graded

+6.6

58%

Parlays2-3 · 5 graded

−5.3

40%

Team totals2-1 · 3 graded

+12.5

67%

Both teams to score1-2 · 3 graded

−20.4

33%

Double chance1-0 · 1 graded

+45.3

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA29-16-164%+10.4
US Open15-865%+12.2
ATP 5004-833%−17.0
ATP 10005-645%−6.8
NFL5-363%+7.2
ATP 2504-450%−2.2
Champions League5-271%+20.5
Premier League · England2-2-150%+1.3
EFL Cup · England2-1-167%+20.2
Ligue 1 · France2-167%+11.8

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 02:37

odds 1.90Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·7 Oct, 05:10

Iva Jovic

0:2

Iga Swiatek

Over 20.5 games@1.90

Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:04

Void

ATP 500 · China Open·6 Oct, 11:15

Novak Djokovic

void

Alex de Minaur

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:04

odds 2.20Lost

WTA 1000 · China Open·6 Oct, 07:10

Karolina Muchova

2:1

Naomi Osaka

Naomi Osaka to win@2.20

Singleposted 5 Oct, 23:31

Won

NFL · Regular Season·6 Oct, 00:15

New Orleans Saints

24:45

Atlanta Falcons

Atlanta Falcons +2.5

Singleposted 5 Oct, 23:31

Lost

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 03:08

Void

ATP 500 · China Open·5 Oct, 09:30

Alex de Minaur

void

Hubert Hurkacz

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 5 Oct, 03:08

odds 2.25Pending

ATP 500 · China Open·5 Oct, 11:25

Novak Djokovic

live

Daniil Medvedev

Novak Djokovic to win@2.25

Singleposted 5 Oct, 03:08

odds 1.80Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·5 Oct, 07:25

Carlos Alcaraz

2:1

Jaume Munar

Under 20.5 games@1.80

Singleposted 4 Oct, 23:32

odds 1.90Won

MLB · post-season·5 Oct, 00:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

2:3

Atlanta Braves

Atlanta Braves over 2.5@1.90

Singleposted 4 Oct, 23:32

Won

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Over 50.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:11

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

26:29

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills −4.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:11

odds 1.77Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Philadelphia Eagles

20:24

Los Angeles Rams

Over 41@1.77

Singleposted 4 Oct, 16:11

odds 1.87Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Over 37@1.87

Singleposted 4 Oct, 03:06

odds 1.83Won

ATP 500 · China Open·4 Oct, 11:10

Alexander Zverev

1:2

Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic +3.5@1.83

Singleposted 4 Oct, 03:06

odds 1.80Won

ATP 500 · China Open·4 Oct, 07:10

Alex de Minaur

2:1

Andrey Rublev

Over 22.5 games@1.80

Singleposted 3 Oct, 19:06

odds 1.90Won

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 20:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

5:3

Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers −1@1.90

Singleposted 3 Oct, 03:04

Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·3 Oct, 12:10

Francisco Cerundolo

2:0

Jakub Mensik

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 3 Oct, 03:04

odds 1.87Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·3 Oct, 05:50

Andrey Rublev

2:1

Roman Safiullin

Andrey Rublev −1.5 sets@1.87

Singleposted 3 Oct, 03:04

odds 1.80Won

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·3 Oct, 09:15

Ugo Humbert

1:2

Jiri Lehecka

Over 22.5 games@1.80

Singleposted 2 Oct, 04:47

Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·2 Oct, 09:50

Arthur Fils

2:0

Frances Tiafoe

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 2 Oct, 04:47

odds 1.80Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·2 Oct, 11:25

Hubert Hurkacz

2:1

Arthur Gea

Hubert Hurkacz −1.5 sets@1.80

Singleposted 2 Oct, 04:47

odds 1.80Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·2 Oct, 08:00

Kyrian Jacquet

2:0

Luciano Darderi

Over 22.5 games@1.80

Singleposted 2 Oct, 00:00

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers −2.5

Singleposted 1 Oct, 02:26

Won

ATP 500 · China Open·1 Oct, 11:30

Learner Tien

1:2

Hubert Hurkacz

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 1 Oct, 02:26

odds 1.87Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·1 Oct, 06:15

Roman Safiullin

2:0

Flavio Cobolli

Flavio Cobolli to win@1.87

Singleposted 30 Sept, 01:41

odds 1.83Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·30 Sept, 02:10

Valentin Vacherot

2:0

Alexander Blockx

Alexander Blockx −1.5 sets@1.83

Singleposted 29 Sept, 03:55

Won

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·29 Sept, 11:10

Hubert Hurkacz

0:2

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Over 22.5 games

Singleposted 29 Sept, 03:55

odds 1.77Lost

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·29 Sept, 11:40

Daniil Medvedev

2:0

Andrey Rublev

Over 22.5 games@1.77

Singleposted 28 Sept, 04:12

Won

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open·28 Sept, 11:25

Hubert Hurkacz

2:1

Denis Shapovalov

Hubert Hurkacz to win

Singleposted 18 Sept, 12:48

Lost

Davis Cup · Davis Cup Qualifiers·18 Sept, 13:15

Jakub Mensik

0:2

Learner Tien

Over 22.5 games