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Open picks 1

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ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·8 Oct, 09:00

Miguel Damas

-:-

Matej Dodig

Matej Dodig to win@1.58

Hit rate

54.2%

expected 62.7%

Edge

−8.6 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 44.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

39-33 · 1 pending

ROI

−19.7%

on 66 picks with odds

Average odds

1.56

singles with odds

Form

streak L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis38-33 · 71 graded

−9.2

54%

Football1-0 · 1 graded

+39.0

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result39-32 · 71 graded

−8.1

55%

Parlays0-1 · 1 graded

−41.8

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

ATP Challenger24-1857%−3.3
ATP 10004-640%−25.8
ATP 2502-433%−35.0
US Open3-350%−14.7
Davis Cup4-0100%+27.2
ATP 5001-233%−23.8
International Friendlies1-0100%+39.0

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 13:49

odds 1.58Pending

ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·8 Oct, 09:00

Miguel Damas

-:-

Matej Dodig

Matej Dodig to win@1.58

Singleposted 7 Oct, 07:37

Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 08:15

Rinky Hijikata

0:2

Roman Safiullin

Roman Safiullin to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 07:34

odds 1.27Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 10:05

Mattia Bellucci

1:2

Yi Zhou

Mattia Bellucci to win@1.27

Singleposted 6 Oct, 05:46

Won

ATP Challenger · Palermo, Italy·6 Oct, 08:10

Michele Ribecai

2:1

Benito Sanchez Martinez

Michele Ribecai to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 05:44

odds 1.65Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 07:15

Kyrian Jacquet

1:2

Rei Sakamoto

Kyrian Jacquet to win@1.65

Singleposted 5 Oct, 12:25

odds 1.14Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 07:40

Chak Wong

2:1

Lloyd Harris

Lloyd Harris to win@1.14

Parlay · 2posted 5 Oct, 12:05

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 07:40

Chak Wong

2:1

Lloyd Harris

Lloyd Harris to win@1.14✕

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 07:40

Chak Wong

2:1

Lloyd Harris

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 5 Oct, 08:06

Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·5 Oct, 11:10

Alex Bolt

0:2

Lloyd Harris

Lloyd Harris to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 08:04

odds 1.30Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·5 Oct, 09:25

Jie Cui

1:2

Aleksandar Vukic

Aleksandar Vukic to win@1.30

Singleposted 3 Oct, 09:08

odds 2.07Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·3 Oct, 12:10

Francisco Cerundolo

2:0

Jakub Mensik

Jakub Mensik to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 07:14

odds 1.98Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·1 Oct, 10:35

Adolfo Vallejo

2:0

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win

Singleposted 30 Sept, 08:09

Won

ATP 500 · China Open·30 Sept, 10:05

Zhizhen Zhang

0:2

Arthur Gea

Arthur Gea to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 20:34

odds 2.01Lost

ATP Challenger · Columbus, USA·30 Sept, 15:15

Andrew Fenty

0:2

Dylan Dietrich

Andrew Fenty to win@2.01

Singleposted 29 Sept, 19:50

odds 2.23Won

ATP Challenger · Columbus, USA·30 Sept, 15:15

Andrew Fenty

0:2

Dylan Dietrich

Dylan Dietrich to win@2.23

Singleposted 28 Sept, 23:39

odds 1.42Lost

ATP Challenger · Jingshan, China·29 Sept, 06:30

Stefanos Sakellaridis

0:2

Yuta Shimizu

Stefanos Sakellaridis to win@1.42

Singleposted 25 Sept, 08:46

odds 1.76Lost

ATP Challenger · St. Tropez, France·25 Sept, 12:10

Harold Mayot

2:1

Jesper de Jong

Jesper de Jong to win@1.76

Singleposted 24 Sept, 08:38

odds 1.56Won

International Friendlies · Friendlies·24 Sept, 11:35

China

3:0

Maldives

China to win@1.56

Singleposted 24 Sept, 06:01

odds 1.20Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·24 Sept, 10:25

Fajing Sun

0:2

Roman Safiullin

Roman Safiullin to win@1.20

Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:48

odds 1.77Won

ATP Challenger · St. Tropez, France·23 Sept, 10:15

Daniil Glinka

2:1

Ugo Blanchet

Daniil Glinka to win@1.77

Singleposted 22 Sept, 07:26

odds 1.39Lost

ATP Challenger · St. Tropez, France·22 Sept, 16:35

Grigor Dimitrov

0:2

Edas Butvilas

Grigor Dimitrov to win@1.39

Singleposted 22 Sept, 06:20

odds 1.24Won

ATP 250 · Chengdu Open: Qualification·22 Sept, 06:55

Lloyd Harris

2:0

Kenta Miyoshi

Lloyd Harris to win@1.24

Singleposted 21 Sept, 07:59

odds 1.42Won

ATP Challenger · Plovdiv 4, Bulgaria·22 Sept, 13:35

Adrian Andreev

2:0

Oleg Prihodko

Adrian Andreev to win@1.42

Singleposted 21 Sept, 07:59

odds 1.53Won

ATP Challenger · St. Tropez, France·22 Sept, 11:35

Moez Echargui

1:2

Daniel Masur

Daniel Masur to win@1.53

Singleposted 20 Sept, 08:47

odds 1.34Won

Davis Cup · World Group I·20 Sept, 10:20

Alex Molcan

1:2

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas to win@1.34

Singleposted 20 Sept, 08:47

odds 1.76Lost

ATP Challenger · Biella, Italy·20 Sept, 09:40

Carlo Alberto Caniato

2:0

Alejandro Moro Canas

Alejandro Moro Canas to win@1.76

Singleposted 19 Sept, 08:45

odds 1.43Won

Davis Cup · World Group I·19 Sept, 10:10

Alex Molcan

2:0

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Alex Molcan to win@1.43

Singleposted 19 Sept, 08:45

odds 1.39Won

Davis Cup · World Group II·19 Sept, 12:20

Timofey Skatov

2:1

Maximus Jones

Timofey Skatov to win@1.39

Singleposted 18 Sept, 07:54

odds 1.12Won

Davis Cup · World Group II·18 Sept, 08:10

Alexander Shevchenko

2:1

Maximus Jones

Alexander Shevchenko to win@1.12

Singleposted 18 Sept, 07:54

odds 1.51Won

ATP Challenger · Biella, Italy·18 Sept, 11:35

Alex Barrena

2:0

Juan Martin

Alex Barrena to win@1.51

Singleposted 17 Sept, 07:36

odds 1.30Lost

ATP Challenger · Guangzhou, China·17 Sept, 07:40

Alexandr Binda

2:1

Fajing Sun

Fajing Sun to win@1.30