CoteChaos

@CoteChaos1.8K followers

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BaseballHockeyNFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index49.8#149 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

49.1%

expected 49.2%

Edge

−0.2 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 38.1%, the edge is within noise

Graded

26-27

ROI

+25.0%

on 17 picks with odds

Average odds

1.90

singles with odds

Form

streak L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball13-15 · 28 graded

−0.8

46%

Hockey9-6 · 15 graded

+10.7

60%

NFL & NCAAF4-6 · 10 graded

−14.7

40%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result18-8 · 26 graded

+16.1

69%

Handicap6-9 · 15 graded

−4.5

40%

Totals2-8 · 10 graded

−28.0

20%

Parlays0-2 · 2 graded

−39.0

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA13-1546%−0.8
NHL9-660%+10.7
NCAAF4-640%−14.7

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Picks

Singleposted 5 Oct, 15:00

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:30

Boston Bruins

1:4

Ottawa Senators

Over 5.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:52

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 00:00

Anaheim Ducks

3:2

Florida Panthers

Anaheim Ducks to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:52

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 01:00

Vancouver Canucks

2:3

Vegas Golden Knights

Over 6.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 13:52

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 00:00

Seattle Kraken

6:1

Calgary Flames

Seattle Kraken −1.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:58

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

1:4

Utah Mammoth

Utah Mammoth to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:58

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

3:1

Washington Capitals

Over 6.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 14:58

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

2:3

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs to win

Singleposted 2 Oct, 14:37

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·2 Oct, 22:30

Detroit Red Wings

0:2

New York Rangers

New York Rangers to win

Singleposted 2 Oct, 14:37

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 00:00

Winnipeg Jets

3:4

Boston Bruins

Boston Bruins to win

Singleposted 2 Oct, 14:37

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 02:00

Vegas Golden Knights

3:4

Anaheim Ducks

Over 6.5

Singleposted 1 Oct, 15:36

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·2 Oct, 00:00

Nashville Predators

1:3

Minnesota Wild

Minnesota Wild to win

Singleposted 1 Oct, 15:36

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·2 Oct, 02:00

Vancouver Canucks

7:9

Edmonton Oilers

Edmonton Oilers −1.5

Singleposted 29 Sept, 15:46

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·29 Sept, 21:00

Carolina Hurricanes

0:1

Florida Panthers

Carolina Hurricanes to win

Singleposted 29 Sept, 15:46

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·29 Sept, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

2:3

Montreal Canadiens

Over 6.5

Singleposted 29 Sept, 15:46

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·30 Sept, 00:00

Boston Bruins

3:0

New York Rangers

Boston Bruins to win

Singleposted 25 Sept, 18:03

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·26 Sept, 00:00

Indiana Hoosiers

29:23

Northwestern Wildcats

Over 48.5

Singleposted 19 Sept, 04:42

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 19:30

Louisville Cardinals

41:31

SMU Mustangs

SMU Mustangs to win

Singleposted 19 Sept, 04:42

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 20:15

South Carolina Gamecocks

34:41

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Mississippi State Bulldogs to win

Singleposted 18 Sept, 16:36

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·19 Sept, 00:00

Texas Tech Red Raiders

28:26

Houston Cougars

Houston Cougars +7.5

Same-game combo · 2posted 17 Sept, 15:37

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Sept, 23:30

Pittsburgh Panthers

27:13

Syracuse Orange

Syracuse Orange +10.5✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·17 Sept, 23:30

Pittsburgh Panthers

27:13

Syracuse Orange

Under 51.5✓

Singleposted 12 Sept, 05:01

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·12 Sept, 16:00

East Carolina Pirates

24:27

Appalachian State Mountaineers

East Carolina Pirates −6.5

Singleposted 12 Sept, 05:01

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·12 Sept, 16:00

Michigan Wolverines

17:10

Oklahoma Sooners

Oklahoma Sooners −5.5

Singleposted 3 Sept, 16:49

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·4 Sept, 00:00

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

13:14

Colorado Buffaloes

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets −6.5

Singleposted 29 Aug, 04:19

Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·29 Aug, 16:00

TCU Horned Frogs

10:15

North Carolina Tar Heels

North Carolina Tar Heels +9

Singleposted 29 Aug, 04:19

Lost

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·30 Aug, 02:00

UNLV Rebels

21:27

Memphis Tigers

Over 56.5

Singleposted 25 Aug, 15:55

Lost

MLB·26 Aug, 01:40

Arizona Diamondbacks

5:4

Chicago Cubs

Under 8

Singleposted 25 Aug, 15:55

Lost

MLB·25 Aug, 22:45

Washington Nationals

1:3

Colorado Rockies

Washington Nationals −1.5

Singleposted 25 Aug, 15:55

Lost

MLB·26 Aug, 01:40

Athletics

4:2

Minnesota Twins

Over 9.5

Singleposted 24 Aug, 16:00

odds 1.77Won

MLB·24 Aug, 22:40

Detroit Tigers

1:4

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays to win@1.77

Singleposted 24 Aug, 16:00

Won

MLB·24 Aug, 22:45

Washington Nationals

13:3

Colorado Rockies

Washington Nationals −1.5