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Confidence Parlays

@Confidencebkv542 followers

Follow and like for all my plays!šŸ”„ šŸ† CONFIDENCE PARLAYS šŸ“Š Sharp picks. Smart plays. šŸŽÆ Daily sports picks & parlays šŸ“ˆ Track the results. Trust the process.

NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockeyTennisBasketballFootball
Tipster index44.4#219 on the leaderboard

Open picks 6

Games not played yet
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
Chicago White Sox
-:-
Cleveland Guardians
Over 7.5
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
Atlanta Braves
-:-
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win@1.68
NCAAF Ā· NCAAF: Regular SeasonĀ·
Kennesaw State Owls
-:-
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win@1.84
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Washington Capitals
-:-
Pittsburgh Penguins
Washington Capitals to win
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Washington Capitals
-:-
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Winnipeg Jets
-:-
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win
Hit rate
47.4%
expected 51.3%
Edge
āˆ’3.9 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 38.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
78
37-41 Ā· 23 pending
ROI
āˆ’51.8%
on 17 picks with odds
Average odds
2.04
singles with odds
Form
streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-3-2-101 Oct3 Oct4 Oct6 Oct7 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF28-23 Ā· 51 graded
+2.3
55%
Baseball5-6 Ā· 11 graded
āˆ’7.3
45%
Tennis3-3 Ā· 6 graded
āˆ’12.0
50%
Hockey0-5 Ā· 5 graded
āˆ’30.1
0%
Basketball1-3 Ā· 4 graded
āˆ’21.3
25%
Football0-1 Ā· 1 graded
āˆ’32.3
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result22-23 Ā· 45 graded
āˆ’5.7
49%
Handicap12-12 Ā· 24 graded
āˆ’3.4
50%
Parlays0-6 Ā· 6 graded
āˆ’17.8
0%
Totals3-0 Ā· 3 graded
+46.0
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

  • NFL13-1057%+5.7
  • NCAAF15-1158%āˆ’0.1
  • MLB Ā· USA5-645%āˆ’7.3
  • NHL0-20%āˆ’43.3
  • ATP 10002-250%āˆ’11.2
  • NBA1-325%āˆ’21.3
  • WTA 10001-0100%+28.0
  • WTA Challenger0-10%āˆ’55.2
  • CFL0-0--
  • Isthmian League Northern Division Ā· England0-10%āˆ’32.3
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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Green Bay Packers
-:-
Chicago Bears
Chicago Bears to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Pittsburgh Steelers
-:-
Indianapolis Colts
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
New England Patriots
-:-
Las Vegas Raiders
Las Vegas Raiders to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
New York Jets
-:-
Cleveland Browns
New York Jets to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Miami Dolphins
-:-
Cincinnati Bengals
Cincinnati Bengals to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Washington Commanders
-:-
New York Giants
New York Giants to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
New Orleans Saints
-:-
Minnesota Vikings
Minnesota Vikings to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
NFL Ā· Regular SeasonĀ·
Tennessee Titans
-:-
Houston Texans
Houston Texans to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:36
Pending
CFL Ā· CFL: Regular SeasonĀ·
British Columbia Lions
-:-
Ottawa RedBlacks
British Columbia Lions to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 15:42
Pending
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
Chicago White Sox
-:-
Cleveland Guardians
Over 7.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:35
odds 1.65Pending
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
New York Yankees
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win@1.65
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:17
Pending
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Washington Capitals
-:-
Pittsburgh Penguins
Washington Capitals to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:17
Pending
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Anaheim Ducks
-:-
Edmonton Oilers
Over 5.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:15
odds 1.68Pending
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
Atlanta Braves
-:-
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win@1.68
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:13
odds 1.90Pending
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
San Diego Padres
-:-
Milwaukee Brewers
San Diego Padres to win@1.90
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:12
Pending
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Washington Capitals
-:-
Pittsburgh Penguins
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:12
Pending
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Winnipeg Jets
-:-
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win
Singleposted 7 Oct, 11:12
Pending
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Anaheim Ducks
-:-
Edmonton Oilers
Anaheim Ducks +1.5
Singleposted 7 Oct, 02:07
odds 1.84Pending
NCAAF Ā· NCAAF: Regular SeasonĀ·
Kennesaw State Owls
-:-
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Jacksonville State Gamecocks to win@1.84
Singleposted 7 Oct, 02:07
odds 1.79Pending
NCAAF Ā· NCAAF: Regular SeasonĀ·
UNLV Rebels
-:-
North Dakota State Bison
North Dakota State Bison to win@1.79
Singleposted 7 Oct, 02:07
odds 2.03Pending
NCAAF Ā· NCAAF: Regular SeasonĀ·
Alabama Crimson Tide
-:-
Georgia Bulldogs
Alabama Crimson Tide to win@2.03
Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:17
odds 1.44Won
ATP 1000 Ā· Shanghai Rolex MastersĀ·
Sho Shimabukuro
0:2
Miomir Kecmanovic
Miomir Kecmanovic to win@1.44
Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:17
odds 1.41Won
ATP 1000 Ā· Shanghai Rolex MastersĀ·
Zhizhen Zhang
1:2
Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac to win@1.41
Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:17
odds 1.48Lost
ATP 1000 Ā· Shanghai Rolex MastersĀ·
Holger Rune
1:2
Daniel Altmaier
Holger Rune to win@1.48
Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:17
odds 1.32Won
WTA 1000 Ā· China OpenĀ·
Ann Li
0:2
Elina Svitolina
Elina Svitolina to win@1.32
Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:17
odds 1.73Lost
WTA Challenger Ā· Samsun, TurkiyeĀ·
Polina Iatcenko
2:0
Dalma Galfi
Dalma Galfi to win@1.73
Singleposted 7 Oct, 01:17
Lost
ATP 1000 Ā· Shanghai Rolex MastersĀ·
Arthur Gea
2:1
Jaime Faria
Jaime Faria to win
Singleposted 6 Oct, 19:13
odds 2.15Lost
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@2.15
Singleposted 6 Oct, 19:13
odds 1.91Lost
MLB Ā· post-seasonĀ·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Atlanta Braves to win@1.91
Parlay Ā· 3posted 6 Oct, 19:06
Lost
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Detroit Red Wings
5:3
Ottawa Senators
Detroit Red Wings +1.5āœ“
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Montreal Canadiens
4:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Under 7.5āœ•
NHL Ā· NHL: Regular seasonĀ·
Detroit Red Wings
5:3
Ottawa Senators
Ungraded market?