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FootballBaseballNFL & NCAAFBasketballTennis

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Tipster index40.5#261 on the leaderboard

Hit rate

36.4%

expected 47.5%

Edge

−11.2 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 21.9%, the edge is within noise

Graded

8-14

ROI

−29.1%

on 11 picks with odds

Average odds

1.92

singles with odds

Form

streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football2-7 · 9 graded

−19.4

22%

Baseball3-4 · 7 graded

−7.6

43%

NFL & NCAAF2-1 · 3 graded

+15.7

67%

Basketball1-1 · 2 graded

−0.7

50%

Tennis0-1 · 1 graded

−63.5

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result5-6 · 11 graded

−5.4

45%

Handicap3-2 · 5 graded

+0.8

60%

Parlays0-4 · 4 graded

−23.9

Totals0-1 · 1 graded

−42.3

Both teams to score0-1 · 1 graded

−52.9

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA3-443%−7.6
Liga MX · Mexico2-340%−5.9
NFL1-150%−2.0
WNBA1-150%−0.7
NCAAF1-0100%+51.2
International Friendlies0-10%−52.9
US Open0-10%−63.5

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 18:12

odds 1.80Won

WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·8 Oct, 01:30

Golden State Valkyries

83:81

Las Vegas Aces

Golden State Valkyries to win@1.80

Singleposted 5 Oct, 16:02

odds 2.25Lost

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

Under 6.5@2.25

Singleposted 4 Oct, 20:57

odds 1.95Lost

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Detroit Lions −3.5@1.95

Singleposted 3 Oct, 23:05

odds 1.80Lost

International Friendlies · Friendlies·4 Oct, 02:00

USA

3:0

Mexico

Both teams to score: yes@1.80

Singleposted 3 Oct, 20:58

odds 2.25Won

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 22:30

Tampa Bay Rays

1:0

New York Yankees

Tampa Bay Rays to win@2.25

Singleposted 2 Oct, 15:43

odds 1.95Won

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·2 Oct, 23:00

Delaware Blue Hens

14:30

Liberty Flames

Liberty Flames −7@1.95

Singleposted 1 Oct, 00:11

odds 1.96Lost

WNBA · WNBA: Play-off·1 Oct, 01:00

Dallas Wings

108:100

Golden State Valkyries

Golden State Valkyries −4.5@1.96

Singleposted 29 Sept, 15:31

odds 1.79Won

MLB · post-season·30 Sept, 02:00

San Diego Padres

8:0

Chicago Cubs

San Diego Padres to win@1.79

Singleposted 28 Sept, 17:04

Won

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Chicago Bears +3.5

Singleposted 27 Sept, 19:53

Won

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·28 Sept, 03:10

Necaxa

2:4

CF America

CF America to win

Singleposted 27 Sept, 19:53

Won

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·28 Sept, 03:10

Necaxa

2:4

CF America

CF America +1.5

Singleposted 20 Sept, 02:05

Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·20 Sept, 03:25

CF America

2:2

CD Guadalajara

CD Guadalajara to win

Parlay · 5posted 13 Sept, 02:40

Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·13 Sept, 03:15

Cruz Azul

4:3

CF America

Ungraded market?

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·13 Sept, 03:15

Cruz Azul

4:3

CF America

Over 2.5✓

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·13 Sept, 03:15

Cruz Azul

4:3

CF America

CF America to win✕

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·13 Sept, 03:15

Cruz Azul

4:3

CF America

Ungraded market?

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·13 Sept, 03:15

Cruz Azul

4:3

CF America

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 12 Sept, 05:55

Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·13 Sept, 03:15

Cruz Azul

4:3

CF America

CF America to win

Singleposted 8 Sept, 22:41

Won

MLB·8 Sept, 23:15

Atlanta Braves

1:7

Tampa Bay Rays

Tampa Bay Rays to win

Singleposted 7 Sept, 19:28

odds 1.50Lost

US Open · Men's Singles·7 Sept, 21:45

Karen Khachanov

3:2

Learner Tien

Learner Tien to win@1.50

Singleposted 13 Aug, 21:52

Lost

MLB·13 Aug, 23:30

Minnesota Twins

1:7

Philadelphia Phillies

Minnesota Twins to win

Singleposted 10 Aug, 21:00

Lost

MLB·10 Aug, 23:45

St. Louis Cardinals

5:6

Philadelphia Phillies

St. Louis Cardinals to win

Singleposted 10 Aug, 21:00

Lost

MLB·10 Aug, 23:07

Toronto Blue Jays

2:1

Boston Red Sox

Boston Red Sox to win

Parlay · 5posted 10 Aug, 20:40

odds 1.81Lost

Leagues Cup·11 Aug, 23:30

Columbus Crew

1:1

Pumas

penalties

Columbus Crew to win✕

Leagues Cup·12 Aug, 00:00

FC Cincinnati

1:2

Atlas

FC Cincinnati to win✕

Leagues Cup·12 Aug, 00:30

Minnesota United

3:1

Atlante

Atlante +1.5✕

Leagues Cup·12 Aug, 01:30

Real Salt Lake

3:0

FC Juarez

FC Juarez +1.5✕

Leagues Cup·11 Aug, 23:30

Columbus Crew

1:1

Pumas

penalties

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 3posted 7 Aug, 22:30

odds 2.52Lost

Leagues Cup·7 Aug, 23:30

Columbus Crew

2:1

Pachuca

Columbus Crew +0.5@1.36✓

Leagues Cup·8 Aug, 00:27

FC Cincinnati

2:0

Pumas

FC Cincinnati +0.5@1.35✓

Leagues Cup·8 Aug, 02:30

Vancouver Whitecaps

1:3

FC Juarez

Vancouver Whitecaps to win@1.37✕

Parlay · 6posted 6 Aug, 17:50

Lost

Leagues Cup·7 Aug, 00:00

Cruz Azul

1:0

Philadelphia Union

Cruz Azul to win✓

Leagues Cup·7 Aug, 00:30

Chicago Fire

2:0

Necaxa

Necaxa +1.5✕

Leagues Cup·7 Aug, 01:00

Austin FC

2:0

Tijuana

Austin FC or draw✓

Leagues Cup·7 Aug, 02:00

CF America

3:1

San Diego

CF America to win✓

Leagues Cup·7 Aug, 02:30

Portland Timbers

5:2

Puebla

Portland Timbers or draw✓

Leagues Cup·7 Aug, 02:00

CF America

3:1

San Diego

CF America to win✓