Baseline Bets

@BeatCentralReal180 followers

October: 26-21, +7.7 units

Tennis

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Tipster index36.5#263 on the leaderboard

Open picks 2

Games not played yet

ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·7 Oct, 17:25

Mackenzie McDonald

live

Ryan Nijboer

Ryan Nijboer to win@1.63

ATP Challenger · Antofagasta, Chile·7 Oct, 18:05

Joao Lucas Da Silva

-:-

Guido Justo

Guido Justo to win@2.00

Hit rate

42.3%

expected 56.8%

Edge

−14.5 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 27.9%, the edge is within noise

Graded

11-15 · 3 pending

ROI

−29.2%

on 26 picks with odds

Average odds

1.69

singles with odds

Form

streak L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Tennis11-15 · 26 graded

−14.5

42%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result11-15 · 26 graded

−14.5

42%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

ATP Challenger7-654%−3.5
ATP 10001-614%−40.0
ATP 5002-340%−18.9
ATP 2501-0100%+42.9
US Open0-0--

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 17:12

odds 1.63Pending

ATP Challenger · Braga, Portugal·7 Oct, 17:25

Mackenzie McDonald

live

Ryan Nijboer

Ryan Nijboer to win@1.63

Singleposted 7 Oct, 16:21

odds 2.00Pending

ATP Challenger · Antofagasta, Chile·7 Oct, 18:05

Joao Lucas Da Silva

-:-

Guido Justo

Guido Justo to win@2.00

Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:56

odds 1.71Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 10:05

Mattia Bellucci

1:2

Yi Zhou

Mattia Bellucci to win@1.71

Singleposted 6 Oct, 22:55

odds 2.05Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 08:55

Quentin Halys

2:0

Chak Wong

Chak Wong to win@2.05

Singleposted 6 Oct, 02:01

odds 1.56Void

ATP 500 · China Open·6 Oct, 11:15

Novak Djokovic

void

Alex de Minaur

Novak Djokovic to win@1.56

Singleposted 6 Oct, 02:01

odds 2.25Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 07:40

Chak Wong

2:1

Lloyd Harris

Chak Wong to win@2.25

Singleposted 6 Oct, 02:01

odds 1.71Won

ATP Challenger · Villena, Spain·6 Oct, 10:45

Daniil Glinka

2:1

Gauthier Onclin

Daniil Glinka to win@1.71

Singleposted 6 Oct, 02:01

odds 2.00Lost

ATP Challenger · Antofagasta, Chile·6 Oct, 14:50

Alex Barrena

0:2

Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Alex Barrena to win@2.00

Singleposted 6 Oct, 02:01

odds 1.83Lost

ATP Challenger · Antofagasta, Chile·6 Oct, 16:50

Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves

2:0

Juan Pablo Varillas

Juan Pablo Varillas to win@1.83

Singleposted 6 Oct, 01:59

odds 1.83Won

ATP Challenger · Antofagasta, Chile·6 Oct, 15:30

Juan Bautista Torres

0:2

Pedro Boscardin Dias

Pedro Boscardin Dias to win@1.83

Singleposted 6 Oct, 01:56

odds 1.56Void

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·6 Oct, 06:35

Yoshihito Nishioka

void

Dalibor Svrcina

Dalibor Svrcina to win@1.56

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:28

odds 1.74Void

ATP 500 · China Open·5 Oct, 09:30

Alex de Minaur

void

Hubert Hurkacz

Alex de Minaur to win@1.74

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:28

odds 1.54Won

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·5 Oct, 10:20

Jiri Lehecka

2:0

Valentin Vacherot

Jiri Lehecka to win@1.54

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:28

odds 1.71Pending

ATP 500 · China Open·5 Oct, 11:25

Novak Djokovic

live

Daniil Medvedev

Daniil Medvedev to win@1.71

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:23

odds 1.56Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·5 Oct, 08:35

Alexander Shevchenko

0:2

Yoshihito Nishioka

Alexander Shevchenko to win@1.56

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:22

odds 1.61Void

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·5 Oct, 05:40

Chun-Hsin Tseng

void

Nicolas Mejia

Chun-Hsin Tseng to win@1.61

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:21

odds 1.56Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·5 Oct, 06:45

Timofey Skatov

2:0

Stefanos Sakellaridis

Stefanos Sakellaridis to win@1.56

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:17

odds 1.67Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·5 Oct, 04:10

Hugo Gaston

0:2

Liam Draxl

Hugo Gaston to win@1.67

Singleposted 5 Oct, 00:14

odds 1.69Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters, Qualification·5 Oct, 04:10

Taro Daniel

1:2

Shintaro Mochizuki

Taro Daniel to win@1.69

Singleposted 4 Oct, 00:16

odds 1.67Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·4 Oct, 05:15

Hubert Hurkacz

2:0

Karen Khachanov

Karen Khachanov to win@1.67

Singleposted 1 Oct, 01:03

odds 1.57Lost

ATP 500 · China Open·1 Oct, 11:30

Learner Tien

1:2

Hubert Hurkacz

Learner Tien to win@1.57

Singleposted 29 Sept, 23:05

odds 1.77Lost

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo)·30 Sept, 09:00

Matteo Arnaldi

2:1

Rei Sakamoto

Rei Sakamoto to win@1.77

Singleposted 29 Sept, 17:29

odds 1.50Lost

ATP Challenger · Columbus, USA·29 Sept, 17:45

Dylan Dietrich

2:0

Jeffrey John Wolf

Jeffrey John Wolf to win@1.50

Singleposted 27 Sept, 23:03

odds 1.56Won

ATP 500 · Japan Open (Tokyo): Qualification·28 Sept, 06:05

Jaume Munar

2:1

Marcos Giron

Jaume Munar to win@1.56

Singleposted 26 Sept, 18:05

odds 1.50Won

ATP Challenger · Buenos Aires 2, Argentina·26 Sept, 18:10

Pedro Boscardin Dias

0:2

Facundo Mena

Facundo Mena to win@1.50

Singleposted 26 Sept, 13:31

odds 1.67Won

ATP 250 · Hangzhou Open·26 Sept, 13:40

Chak Wong

2:1

Adolfo Vallejo

Chak Wong to win@1.67

Singleposted 24 Sept, 16:54

odds 1.67Won

ATP Challenger · Buenos Aires 2, Argentina·24 Sept, 17:50

Federico Coria

0:2

Eduardo Ribeiro

Eduardo Ribeiro to win@1.67

Singleposted 23 Sept, 23:38

odds 1.59Won

ATP Challenger · San Diego 2, USA·24 Sept, 00:00

Keegan Smith

0:2

Dylan Dietrich

Dylan Dietrich to win@1.59

Singleposted 22 Sept, 19:16

odds 1.67Lost

ATP Challenger · Buenos Aires 2, Argentina·22 Sept, 19:40

Lucio Ratti

1:2

Federico Coria

Lucio Ratti to win@1.67

Singleposted 19 Sept, 00:49

odds 1.77Lost

ATP Challenger · Szczecin, Poland·19 Sept, 14:30

Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo

2:0

Luka Mikrut

Luka Mikrut to win@1.77