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Open picks 1

Games not played yet

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

-:-

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win +3@8.45

Hit rate

49.0%

expected 51.9%

Edge

−2.9 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 42.6%, the edge is within noise

Graded

158

77-80-1 · 1 pending

ROI

−44.9%

on 18 picks with odds

Average odds

1.78

singles with odds

Form

streak W1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball33-48-1 · 82 graded

−11.5

41%

Football39-26 · 65 graded

+7.4

60%

Basketball2-4 · 6 graded

−12.0

33%

NFL & NCAAF2-2 · 4 graded

+7.2

50%

Hockey1-0 · 1 graded

+40.8

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result35-34 · 69 graded

−8.3

51%

Handicap14-17-1 · 32 graded

−2.2

45%

Parlays8-20 · 28 graded

−1.7

29%

Totals10-3 · 13 graded

+12.9

77%

Both teams to score7-3 · 10 graded

+11.2

70%

Team totals3-3 · 6 graded

−7.4

50%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA31-42-142%−12.5
Liga MX · Mexico7-847%−17.9
Leagues Cup · CONCACAF7-464%+4.0
Serie A · Italy5-271%+15.0
LNBP · Mexico2-433%−12.0
NFL2-250%+7.2
Ligue 1 · France2-167%+11.3
Premier League · England3-0100%+47.4
LaLiga · Spain2-0100%+48.5
Champions League2-0100%+47.7

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Picks

Parlay · 4posted 7 Oct, 15:09

odds 8.45Pending

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 20:00

Chicago White Sox

-:-

Cleveland Guardians

Chicago White Sox to win◷

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

-:-

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves over 2.5◷

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 00:00

New York Yankees

-:-

Tampa Bay Rays

New York Yankees to win◷

MLB · post-season·8 Oct, 02:00

San Diego Padres

-:-

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win◷

Parlay · 2posted 6 Oct, 20:37

odds 3.27Won

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:3

Los Angeles Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers to win✓

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 01:30

San Diego Padres

4:3

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win✓

Parlay · 2posted 5 Oct, 17:41

odds 3.01Lost

MLB · post-season·5 Oct, 21:00

Cleveland Guardians

3:4

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians to win✕

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win✕

Parlay · 2posted 4 Oct, 07:55

odds 2.58Lost

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 20:00

Milwaukee Brewers

4:3

San Diego Padres

San Diego Padres over 2.5✓

MLB · post-season·5 Oct, 00:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

2:3

Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers to win✕

Parlay · 4posted 3 Oct, 12:33

odds 10.75Lost

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 17:00

Cleveland Guardians

0:3

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians to win✕

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 20:00

Los Angeles Dodgers

5:3

Atlanta Braves

Los Angeles Dodgers −1✓

MLB · post-season·3 Oct, 22:30

Tampa Bay Rays

1:0

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win✕

MLB · post-season·4 Oct, 00:30

Milwaukee Brewers

3:2

San Diego Padres

Milwaukee Brewers to win✓

Parlay · 2posted 1 Oct, 18:50

odds 3.16Lost

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Pittsburgh Steelers to win✕

NFL · Regular Season·2 Oct, 00:15

Cleveland Browns

27:24

Pittsburgh Steelers

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 1 Oct, 05:23

Won

MLB · post-season·2 Oct, 00:00

Atlanta Braves

6:2

Philadelphia Phillies

Atlanta Braves to win

Same-game combo · 2posted 28 Sept, 19:18

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Philadelphia Eagles −2.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·29 Sept, 00:15

Chicago Bears

27:7

Philadelphia Eagles

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 3posted 26 Sept, 20:56

odds 2.66Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·26 Sept, 23:07

CD Guadalajara

0:2

Queretaro FC

Over 1.5✓

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·26 Sept, 23:07

CD Guadalajara

0:2

Queretaro FC

CD Guadalajara to win✕

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·27 Sept, 03:10

Tigres

1:0

Puebla

Tigres to win✓

Singleposted 25 Sept, 03:56

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·25 Sept, 18:45

Turkiye

0:1

France

Both teams to score: yes

Parlay · 3posted 24 Sept, 03:57

odds 2.61Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·24 Sept, 18:45

Netherlands

1:1

Germany

Both teams to score: yes✓

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 2·24 Sept, 18:45

Netherlands

1:1

Germany

Over 2.5✕

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 4·24 Sept, 18:45

Norway

3:2

Denmark

Both teams to score: yes✓

Parlay · 2posted 23 Sept, 03:51

odds 2.59Lost

MLB·23 Sept, 17:10

Detroit Tigers

2:4

Washington Nationals

Detroit Tigers to win✕

MLB·23 Sept, 19:45

San Francisco Giants

2:4

Minnesota Twins

Minnesota Twins to win✓

Parlay · 2posted 22 Sept, 04:13

odds 2.82Lost

MLB·22 Sept, 22:40

Philadelphia Phillies

6:4

Milwaukee Brewers

Philadelphia Phillies to win✓

MLB·22 Sept, 23:40

Chicago Cubs

2:8

Miami Marlins

Chicago Cubs to win✕

Parlay · 2posted 20 Sept, 20:39

odds 2.76Won

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·21 Sept, 00:00

Toluca

2:3

Club Santos Laguna

Over 2.5✓

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·21 Sept, 02:10

Queretaro FC

1:1

Leon

Both teams to score: yes✓

Parlay · 3posted 20 Sept, 05:54

odds 3.92Lost

LaLiga·20 Sept, 14:15

Atletico Madrid

2:1

Real Madrid

Real Madrid over 1.5✕

NFL · Regular Season·20 Sept, 17:00

Houston Texans

6:20

Cincinnati Bengals

Houston Texans over 21.5✕

LaLiga·20 Sept, 14:15

Atletico Madrid

2:1

Real Madrid

Ungraded market?

Parlay · 3posted 19 Sept, 20:45

odds 8.50Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·19 Sept, 23:00

Atlas

1:1

Pumas

Atlas over 1.5✕

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·20 Sept, 01:10

Monterrey

1:0

Cruz Azul

Ungraded market?

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·20 Sept, 03:25

CF America

2:2

CD Guadalajara

Both teams to score: yes✓

Parlay · 2posted 19 Sept, 06:44

odds 2.85Lost

Premier League·19 Sept, 16:30

Nottingham Forest

0:1

Coventry City

Nottingham Forest to win✕

Serie A·19 Sept, 18:45

Venezia

0:2

Lazio

Lazio over 1.5✓

Singleposted 17 Sept, 20:47

Lost

MLB·17 Sept, 23:15

New York Mets

0:3

Philadelphia Phillies

New York Mets over 3.5

Parlay · 2posted 16 Sept, 09:41

Lost

LaLiga·16 Sept, 17:00

Atletico Madrid

4:0

Osasuna

Over 1.5✓

Europa League · League Stage·16 Sept, 19:00

AC Milan

0:2

Benfica

Both teams to score: yes✕

Singleposted 15 Sept, 20:26

Lost

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·16 Sept, 01:00

Puebla

0:1

Toluca

Toluca over 1.5

Parlay · 2posted 15 Sept, 03:40

Won

Coppa Italia · Coppa Italia: Preliminary Round·15 Sept, 16:00

Genoa

1:0

Sudtirol

Genoa to win✓

EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·15 Sept, 19:00

Liverpool

3:1

Tottenham Hotspur

Liverpool to win✓

Singleposted 14 Sept, 23:18

Won

Liga MX · Liga MX: Apertura·15 Sept, 01:00

Leon

2:0

Atletico de San Luis

Leon to win

Singleposted 14 Sept, 18:28

Won

NFL · Regular Season·15 Sept, 00:15

Kansas City Chiefs

31:10

Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs to win

Singleposted 12 Sept, 17:31

Won

Premier League·12 Sept, 19:00

Sunderland

0:2

Arsenal

Arsenal to win

Singleposted 12 Sept, 15:59

Won

Serie A·12 Sept, 16:00

Lazio

2:2

AC Milan

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 11 Sept, 16:09

Won

Serie A·11 Sept, 18:45

Venezia

2:4

Fiorentina

Both teams to score: yes

Singleposted 11 Sept, 15:59

Won

Süper Lig·11 Sept, 17:00

Beşiktaş

3:0

Erzurum FK

Over 2.5

Singleposted 9 Sept, 21:28

Won

NFL · Regular Season·10 Sept, 00:20

Seattle Seahawks

13:10

New England Patriots

Seattle Seahawks −2.5

Singleposted 8 Sept, 19:51

Won

MLB·8 Sept, 23:05

New York Yankees

5:3

Colorado Rockies

New York Yankees −1.5

Singleposted 8 Sept, 16:18

Won

Champions League · League Stage·8 Sept, 16:45

Club Brugge

2:3

Aston Villa

Both teams to score: yes