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fte

@1kfte124 followers

in too deep

NFL & NCAAFBaseballHockeyBasketball
Tipster index47.7#177 on the leaderboard

Open picks 3

Games not played yet
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
-:-
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox to win@1.89
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
-:-
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 7.5
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win@2.50
Hit rate
44.6%
expected 46.3%
Edge
−1.7 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 34.9%, the edge is within noise
Graded
65
29-36 · 3 pending
ROI
+8.8%
on 23 picks with odds
Average odds
2.29
singles with odds
Form
streak L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-2016 Sept22 Sept27 Sept2 Oct7 Oct

By sport

NFL & NCAAF17-21 · 38 graded
−3.5
45%
Baseball11-11 · 22 graded
+6.4
50%
Hockey1-2 · 3 graded
−10.0
33%
Basketball0-2 · 2 graded
−43.2
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap14-22 · 36 graded
−10.3
39%
Match result12-9 · 21 graded
+9.5
57%
Parlays1-4 · 5 graded
−2.5
20%
Totals2-1 · 3 graded
+24.6
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

  • MLB · USA11-1150%+6.4
  • NFL10-1245%−3.4
  • NCAAF7-944%−3.8
  • NHL0-20%−39.5
  • WNBA0-20%−43.2
  • AHL · USA1-0100%+49.1
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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:50
odds 1.89Pending
MLB · post-season·
Chicago White Sox
-:-
Cleveland Guardians
Chicago White Sox to win@1.89
Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:50
odds 2.50Pending
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
-:-
Tampa Bay Rays
Tampa Bay Rays to win@2.50
Singleposted 7 Oct, 05:50
Pending
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
-:-
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 7.5
Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:14
odds 2.17Lost
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
4:3
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win@2.17
Singleposted 6 Oct, 04:14
Won
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
1:3
Los Angeles Dodgers
Under 6.5
Singleposted 5 Oct, 15:09
odds 2.13Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
1:4
Ottawa Senators
Boston Bruins to win@2.13
Singleposted 5 Oct, 15:09
odds 2.78Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
5:0
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks to win@2.78
Singleposted 5 Oct, 15:00
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Tampa Bay Rays
5:2
New York Yankees
Under 6.5
Singleposted 5 Oct, 01:20
odds 2.13Won
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
24:45
Atlanta Falcons
Atlanta Falcons to win@2.13
Singleposted 5 Oct, 01:16
odds 2.44Won
MLB · post-season·
Cleveland Guardians
3:4
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win@2.44
Singleposted 4 Oct, 01:08
Lost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
4:3
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres −1.5
Singleposted 4 Oct, 01:04
odds 2.75Lost
MLB · post-season·
Milwaukee Brewers
4:3
San Diego Padres
San Diego Padres to win@2.75
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:48
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Georgia Bulldogs
38:14
Vanderbilt Commodores
Georgia Bulldogs −24.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:48
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
North Carolina Tar Heels
26:37
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
Notre Dame Fighting Irish −20.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:48
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
James Madison Dukes
45:17
Marshall Thundering Herd
James Madison Dukes −17.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:48
Lost
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Missouri Tigers
45:17
Florida Gators
Florida Gators −5.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:48
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Minnesota Vikings
15:10
Miami Dolphins
Miami Dolphins −14.5
Singleposted 3 Oct, 04:48
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Nebraska Cornhuskers
48:23
Maryland Terrapins
Nebraska Cornhuskers −13.5
Singleposted 2 Oct, 06:01
odds 2.20Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Virginia Tech Hokies
33:35
Pittsburgh Panthers
Pittsburgh Panthers to win@2.20
Singleposted 2 Oct, 06:01
odds 2.20Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Northwestern Wildcats
34:13
Penn State Nittany Lions
Northwestern Wildcats to win@2.20
Singleposted 2 Oct, 03:34
odds 1.87Won
USA · AHL·
Texas Stars
4:3
Iowa Wild
penalties
Texas Stars to win@1.87
Singleposted 1 Oct, 19:05
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers −2.5
Singleposted 1 Oct, 16:33
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Pittsburgh Steelers to win
Singleposted 30 Sept, 15:03
Won
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:7
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win
Singleposted 30 Sept, 05:17
odds 1.94Lost
MLB · post-season·
Atlanta Braves
3:4
Philadelphia Phillies
Atlanta Braves to win@1.94
Singleposted 30 Sept, 05:17
odds 2.50Lost
MLB · post-season·
Houston Astros
3:7
Chicago White Sox
Houston Astros −1.5@2.50
Singleposted 30 Sept, 05:17
odds 2.70Won
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:2
Boston Red Sox
New York Yankees −1.5@2.70
Same-game combo · 2posted 30 Sept, 03:35
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns +3.5✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Cleveland Browns
27:24
Pittsburgh Steelers
Cleveland Browns to win✓
Singleposted 29 Sept, 04:11
odds 2.20Lost
MLB · post-season·
New York Yankees
9:0
Boston Red Sox
Boston Red Sox to win@2.20
Singleposted 29 Sept, 04:11
odds 1.80Won
MLB · post-season·
San Diego Padres
8:0
Chicago Cubs
San Diego Padres to win@1.80