odds 1.40Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
Croatia
1:2
SpainOver 2.5@1.40
HSBET
@1hamzasama6 followers
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Football
Hit rate
71.7%
expected 66.2%
Edge
+5.5 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 65.1%, the edge is within noise
Graded
138
99-39
ROI
−17.3%
on 32 picks with odds
Average odds
1.57
singles with odds
Form
streak W14
Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Football99-39 · 138 graded
+5.572%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Totals56-18 · 74 graded
+1.376%
Double chance13-6 · 19 graded
−4.368%
Parlays11-8 · 19 graded
+20.058%
Both teams to score11-4 · 15 graded
+14.673%
Match result8-3 · 11 graded
+13.973%
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By league
- MLS · USA10-567%+3.6
- Eredivisie · Netherlands7-558%−1.1
- Super League · Switzerland8-373%+6.9
- Premier League · England7-370%+6.7
- Saudi Professional League · Saudi Arabia7-188%+19.3
- LaLiga · Spain4-357%−12.4
- Ekstraklasa · Poland5-183%+27.2
- Premiership · Scotland3-260%−16.3
- National League · England3-260%−0.8
- Bundesliga · Germany3-175%+13.3
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Picks
Spainodds 1.74Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
2:3
SpainOver 2.5@1.74
Won
Intercontinental Cup·
Mamelodi Sundowns FC
2:1
Al AhliOver 1.5
Won
Premier League·
Brighton
3:0
ArsenalOver 1.5
Lost
Croatia · HNL·
NK Varazdin
0:0
OsijekOver 1.5
Won
Ekstraklasa·
GKS Katowice
3:2
CracoviaOver 1.5
Won
Serie A·
AS Roma
2:2
InterOver 1.5
Won
Super League·
Luzern
5:1
GrasshopperOver 1.5
Won
Super League·
Young Boys
3:2
ServetteOver 1.5
Won
Superliga·
OB
1:1
FC MidtjyllandOver 1.5
Won
Eliteserien·
Molde
1:2
AalesundOver 1.5
Won
Süper Lig·
Trabzonspor
4:0
GalatasarayOver 1.5
Won
Ligue 1·
Lyon
4:0
RennesOver 1.5
Won
LaLiga·
Sevilla
1:3
BarcelonaOver 1.5
Won
MLS·
San Jose Earthquakes
2:2
Los Angeles FCOver 1.5
Won
MLS·
New England Revolution
4:2
Orlando CityOver 1.5
Won
Serie A·
Vasco da Gama
5:0
CoritibaOver 1.5
odds 1.48Lost
Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga: Championship·
IF Gnistan
1:1
HJK HelsinkiOver 2.5@1.48
Won
Veikkausliiga · Veikkausliiga: Relegation·
TPS
0:3
IlvesOver 2.5
odds 1.25Won
Bundesliga·
Bayern Munich
7:0
Union BerlinOver 3.5@1.25
odds 1.21Lost
Europa League · League Stage·
Bayer Leverkusen
2:0
NK CeljeOver 2.5@1.21
odds 1.35Won
EFL Cup · EFL Cup: Round 3·
Reading
1:2
BrentfordOver 2.5@1.35
odds 1.30Won
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real MadridOver 2.5@1.30
odds 1.26Won
LaLiga·
Elche
2:3
Real MadridReal Madrid to win@1.26
odds 1.49Lost
Premier League·
Manchester United
0:1
Manchester CityOver 2.5@1.49
Won
Eredivisie·
Excelsior
1:2
FC UtrechtBoth teams to score: yes✓
Eredivisie·
Excelsior
1:2
FC UtrechtOver 2.5✓
Won
Super League·
FC Zurich
2:1
FC VaduzBoth teams to score: yes✓
Super League·
FC Zurich
2:1
FC VaduzOver 2.5✓
Lost
Ekstraklasa·
Pogon Szczecin
2:0
Wieczysta KrakowBoth teams to score: yes✕
Ekstraklasa·
Pogon Szczecin
2:0
Wieczysta KrakowOver 2.5✕
Lost
Eredivisie·
PEC Zwolle
0:7
FeyenoordBoth teams to score: yes✕
Eredivisie·
PEC Zwolle
0:7
FeyenoordOver 2.5✓
Won
Bundesliga·
Elversberg
1:2
Bayern MunichBoth teams to score: yes✓
Bundesliga·
Elversberg
1:2
Bayern MunichOver 2.5✓