Erica Matthews

@19oe88122 followers

💰 Turning odds into profit

BaseballNFL & NCAAFTennisFootballHockeyBasketball

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Tipster index48.2#170 on the leaderboard

Open picks 3

Games not played yet

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Washington Capitals

-:-

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Winnipeg Jets

-:-

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 02:00

Anaheim Ducks

-:-

Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks +1.5

Hit rate

57.3%

expected 58.3%

Edge

−1.0 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 51.4%, the edge is within noise

Graded

192

110-82 · 3 pending

ROI

−8.0%

on 25 picks with odds

Average odds

1.55

singles with odds

Form

streak L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball25-26 · 51 graded

−11.5

49%

NFL & NCAAF25-16 · 41 graded

+10.6

61%

Tennis22-16 · 38 graded

−1.0

58%

Football24-14 · 38 graded

+2.1

63%

Hockey14-9 · 23 graded

−2.2

61%

Basketball0-1 · 1 graded

−42.9

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result80-58 · 138 graded

−0.7

58%

Handicap27-15 · 42 graded

−0.9

64%

Parlays0-7 · 7 graded

−5.9

Totals3-2 · 5 graded

−5.3

60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By league

MLB · USA25-2550%−11.1
NFL21-872%+15.2
UEFA Nations League18-1064%+1.7
NHL14-864%−1.9
ATP 50013-862%−0.7
NCAAF4-357%−0.0
ATP Challenger2-340%−14.8
Euro U214-180%+28.4
ATP 2502-250%−12.4
Premier League · England1-233%−25.8

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Picks

Singleposted 7 Oct, 08:59

Pending

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Washington Capitals

-:-

Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5

Singleposted 7 Oct, 08:59

Pending

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 23:30

Winnipeg Jets

-:-

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win

Singleposted 7 Oct, 08:59

Pending

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 02:00

Anaheim Ducks

-:-

Edmonton Oilers

Anaheim Ducks +1.5

Parlay · 4posted 6 Oct, 23:27

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:30

New York Rangers

5:2

New York Islanders

New York Rangers to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 00:00

Chicago Blackhawks

4:2

St. Louis Blues

St. Louis Blues to win✕

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 01:40

Seattle Kraken

2:6

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:30

New York Rangers

5:2

New York Islanders

Ungraded market?

Singleposted 5 Oct, 08:49

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

4:1

Philadelphia Flyers

Tampa Bay Lightning to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 08:49

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:30

Boston Bruins

1:4

Ottawa Senators

Boston Bruins +1.5

Singleposted 5 Oct, 08:49

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·5 Oct, 23:30

Pittsburgh Penguins

2:3

Winnipeg Jets

Pittsburgh Penguins to win

Singleposted 5 Oct, 08:49

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 00:00

Dallas Stars

5:0

San Jose Sharks

San Jose Sharks +1.5

Parlay · 2posted 5 Oct, 08:49

Lost

MLB · post-season·5 Oct, 21:00

Cleveland Guardians

3:4

Chicago White Sox

Cleveland Guardians to win✕

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 00:00

Tampa Bay Rays

5:2

New York Yankees

New York Yankees to win✕

Singleposted 4 Oct, 17:37

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

San Francisco 49ers to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 17:37

Won

NFL · Regular Season·5 Oct, 00:20

Carolina Panthers

32:26

Detroit Lions

Carolina Panthers +7.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 13:30

Washington Commanders

13:30

Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Philadelphia Eagles

20:24

Los Angeles Rams

Los Angeles Rams +4.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

14:17

Green Bay Packers

Green Bay Packers to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Houston Texans

30:34

Dallas Cowboys

Houston Texans +4.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Cincinnati Bengals

17:22

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jacksonville Jaguars +10.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Buffalo Bills

26:29

New England Patriots

Buffalo Bills to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

New York Giants

36:24

Arizona Cardinals

Under 52.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Baltimore Ravens

24:18

Tennessee Titans

Baltimore Ravens to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 17:00

Chicago Bears

23:12

New York Jets

Under 52.5

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:05

Minnesota Vikings

15:10

Miami Dolphins

Minnesota Vikings to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Seattle Seahawks

30:23

Los Angeles Chargers

Seattle Seahawks to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

Las Vegas Raiders

27:30

Kansas City Chiefs

Kansas City Chiefs to win

Singleposted 4 Oct, 08:36

Won

NFL · Regular Season·4 Oct, 20:25

San Francisco 49ers

24:14

Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos +10.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:59

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Buffalo Sabres

4:3

Chicago Blackhawks

Buffalo Sabres to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:59

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Pittsburgh Penguins

6:5

Montreal Canadiens

Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:59

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

3:1

Washington Capitals

Washington Capitals +1.5

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:59

Lost

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

2:3

Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:59

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Philadelphia Flyers

2:3

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes to win

Singleposted 3 Oct, 13:59

Won

NHL · NHL: Regular season·3 Oct, 23:00

Columbus Blue Jackets

1:4

Utah Mammoth

Utah Mammoth to win