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@whichbookieuk15.8K followersfirst pick 25 Sept

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Football
Tipster index52.2needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history
Hit rate
33.3%
expected 21.3%
Edge
+12.0 pp
over expectation
Graded
3
1-2
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W1, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-0.4-0.200.224 Sept25 Sept26 Sept

By sport

Football1-2 · 3 graded
+12.0
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Parlays1-2 · 3 graded
+12.0
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

  • September 2026
    +12.0 pp
    1-2 · 33%

By league

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Picks

Same-game combo · 2posted 26 Sept, 16:27 · 2 h before start
Won
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
2:3
Spain
Spain to win✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·
England
2:3
Spain
Both teams to score: yes✓
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Same-game combo · 3posted 26 Sept, 11:20 · 2 h before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Slovenia
0:0
Scotland
Scotland to win✕
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Slovenia
0:0
Scotland
Under 2.5✓
UEFA Nations League · League B: Group 1·
Slovenia
0:0
Scotland
Both teams to score: no✓
Open on Xexpected 10% by model
Same-game combo · 3posted 25 Sept, 16:15 · 3 h before start
Lost
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
0:1
France
France to win✓
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
0:1
France
Both teams to score: yes✕
UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 1·
Turkiye
0:1
France
Over 2.5✕
Open on Xexpected 28% by model