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CHU EDGE

@twennytirinine48 followersfirst pick 14 Septusually posts 5 h before start

Selective sports plays • analysis • 📊 Every play tracked 🎯 Quality picks 🏆 Free picks + VIP analysis 👇 Join the community: https://t.co/L1W6HHUJPg

BaseballNFL & NCAAFHockeyBasketball
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Tipster index56.8#147 on the leaderboarddown 22 this weekestablished sample
Hit rate
66.3%
expected 62.3%
Edge
+4.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 60.2%, the edge is within noise
Graded
175
116-59 · 1 pending
ROI
−1.3%
on 98 picks with odds · max drawdown −7.60 u
Average odds
1.52
singles with odds
Form
streak L1 · best W10, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2.502.557.513 Sept24 Sept4 Oct14 Oct25 Oct

By sport

Baseball43-28 · 71 graded
+2.4
61%
NFL & NCAAF41-16 · 57 graded
+6.9
72%
Hockey20-7 · 27 graded
+7.5
74%
Basketball12-8 · 20 graded
−3.5
60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result46-25 · 71 graded
−0.5
65%
Handicap32-12 · 44 graded
+8.5
73%
Totals29-9 · 38 graded
+11.0
76%
Team totals6-6 · 12 graded
−5.0
50%
Parlays3-7 · 10 graded
+1.0
30%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite80-26 · 106 graded
+4.3
75%
Even32-24 · 56 graded
+3.5
57%
Underdog1-2 · 3 graded
+12.2
33%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5037-8 · 45 graded
+8.5%
82%
1.50…1.8923-22 · 45 graded
−15.8%
51%
1.90…2.293-2 · 5 graded
+16.8%
60%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • September 2026
    +4.3 pp
    35-20 · 64%
    ROI +7.8%
  • October 2026
    +3.9 pp
    81-39 · 68%
    ROI −4.8%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:21 · 9 min before start
odds 1.16DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Alabama Crimson Tide
31:20
Texas A&M Aggies
Alabama Crimson Tide to win
Open on Xexpected 82% from the closing line+0.16 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:21 · 9 min before start
odds 1.11DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
UCLA Bruins
28:10
Michigan State Spartans
UCLA Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 86% from the closing line+0.11 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:21 · 3 h before start
odds 1.16DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Washington State Cougars
10:31
Boise State Broncos
Boise State Broncos to win
Open on Xexpected 83% from the closing line+0.16 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:21 · 4 h before start
odds 1.22DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Kentucky Wildcats
34:17
Vanderbilt Commodores
Kentucky Wildcats to win
Open on Xexpected 78% from the closing line+0.22 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:21 · 39 min before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Ohio Bobcats
24:20
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Ohio Bobcats to win
Open on Xexpected 74% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:21 · 2 h before start
Won
NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
26:0
Old Dominion Monarchs
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs to win
Open on Xexpected 76% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:16 · 14 min before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
3:1
Los Angeles Kings
New Jersey Devils to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:16 · 4 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Edmonton Oilers
2:7
Toronto Maple Leafs
Edmonton Oilers to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:16 · 4 h before start
odds 1.52DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Boston Bruins
6:4
San Jose Sharks
Boston Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.52 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:16 · 4 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
2:1
Vegas Golden Knights
Columbus Blue Jackets +1.5
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line+0.44 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:16 · 6 h before start
odds 1.50DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning +1.5
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.50 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:16 · 7 h before start
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
1:5
Minnesota Wild
Seattle Kraken +1.5
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 3 h before start
odds 1.55DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
115:110
Miami Heat
Miami Heat to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 4 h before start
Won
NBA · Regular season·
Philadelphia 76ers
127:116
Milwaukee Bucks
Philadelphia 76ers −7.5
Open on Xexpected 53% by model
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 4 h before start
odds 1.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Cleveland Cavaliers
125:121
Brooklyn Nets
Cleveland Cavaliers to win
Open on Xexpected 80% from the closing line+0.20 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 6 h before start
odds 1.11DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Dallas Mavericks
106:122
San Antonio Spurs
San Antonio Spurs to win
Open on Xexpected 86% from the closing line+0.11 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 6 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Chicago Bulls
120:124
Washington Wizards
Chicago Bulls to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 6 h before start
odds 1.92DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Atlanta Hawks
114:121
Houston Rockets
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 6 h before start
odds 1.20DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Denver Nuggets
141:135
New Orleans Pelicans
Denver Nuggets to win
Open on Xexpected 80% from the closing line+0.20 u
Singleposted 24 Oct, 19:10 · 7 h before start
odds 1.24DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Phoenix Suns
131:122
Golden State Warriors
Phoenix Suns to win
Open on Xexpected 77% from the closing line+0.24 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 2 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Milwaukee Bucks
125:132
Chicago Bulls
Milwaukee Bucks to win
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 5 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Boston Celtics
107:103
New York Knicks
Boston Celtics to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 5 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Charlotte Hornets
81:128
Atlanta Hawks
Atlanta Hawks to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.70 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 5 h before start
odds 1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Washington Wizards
102:112
Toronto Raptors
Toronto Raptors to win
Open on Xexpected 74% from the closing line+0.29 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 5 h before start
odds 2.02DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Orlando Magic
93:115
Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota Timberwolves to win
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line+1.02 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 5 h before start
odds 1.37DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Indiana Pacers
105:121
Dallas Mavericks
Indiana Pacers to win
Open on Xexpected 70% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 6 h before start
odds 2.10DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
Miami Heat
111:128
Detroit Pistons
Miami Heat to win
Open on Xexpected 46% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 7 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NBA · Regular season·
San Antonio Spurs
110:114
Houston Rockets
San Antonio Spurs to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 7 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
Utah Jazz
120:119
New Orleans Pelicans
Utah Jazz to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 23 Oct, 18:14 · 8 h before start
odds 1.27DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NBA · Regular season·
LA Lakers
125:117
LA Clippers
LA Lakers to win
Open on Xexpected 75% from the closing line+0.27 u