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𝑮𝑬𝑻 𝑻𝑯𝑬 𝑩𝑨𝑮💰💼

@Kimberly1se330 followersfirst pick 10 Augusually posts 12 h before start

📍NM🌹 Mother❤️ Music 🎵 Football lover ⚽️ Enterprises owner 🏘 Foodie 🍛 Traveler✈️ 👇 https://t.co/loBwTQEFNJ

BaseballTennisFootballNFL & NCAAF
Tipster index56.6#136 on the leaderboardestablished sample
Hit rate
62.9%
expected 58.8%
Edge
+4.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 55.4%, the edge is within noise
Graded
116
73-43
ROI
−0.7%
on 92 picks with odds · max drawdown −9.46 u
Average odds
1.69
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W11, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-2.502.559 Aug22 Aug3 Sept15 Sept27 Sept

By sport

Baseball41-24 · 65 graded
+3.6
63%
Tennis12-15 · 27 graded
−10.7
44%
Football16-2 · 18 graded
+20.7
89%
NFL & NCAAF4-2 · 6 graded
+26.6
67%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result49-33 · 82 graded
+1.4
60%
Handicap14-5 · 19 graded
+12.7
74%
Totals8-2 · 10 graded
+5.3
80%
Parlays1-3 · 4 graded
+8.2
25%
Both teams to score1-0 · 1 graded
+38.7
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite44-13 · 57 graded
+9.8
77%
Even26-26 · 52 graded
−4.3
50%
Underdog2-1 · 3 graded
+36.7
67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5017-4 · 21 graded
+12.3%
81%
1.50…1.8935-23 · 58 graded
−0.7%
60%
1.90…2.291-8 · 9 graded
−77.7%
11%
2.30…3.491-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
3.50+1-0 · 1 graded
-
100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 2 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    +3.2 pp
    24-13 · 65%
    ROI +0.9%
  • September 2026
    +4.6 pp
    49-30 · 62%
    ROI −1.5%

By league

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Picks

Singleposted 27 Sept, 16:56 · 3 h before start
odds 1.61DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
31:34
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win
Open on Xexpected 59% from the closing line+0.61 u
Parlay · 5posted 27 Sept, 16:50 · 10 min before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Detroit Lions
31:24
New York Jets
Detroit Lions to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
San Francisco 49ers
36:30
Arizona Cardinals
San Francisco 49ers to win✓
NFL · Regular Season·
Washington Commanders
33:31
Seattle Seahawks
Seattle Seahawks to win✕
NFL · Regular Season·
New Orleans Saints
27:35
Las Vegas Raiders
New Orleans Saints to win✕
NFL · Regular Season·
Dallas Cowboys
31:34
Baltimore Ravens
Baltimore Ravens to win✓
Open on Xexpected 17% by model
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 9 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Boston Red Sox
4:3
Chicago Cubs
Chicago Cubs to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 12 h before start
Won
MLB·
New York Yankees
2:10
Baltimore Orioles
Baltimore Orioles +1.5
Open on Xexpected 60% by model
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 9 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Boston Red Sox
4:3
Chicago Cubs
Boston Red Sox +1.5
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line+0.58 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 15 h before start
odds 1.49DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Detroit Tigers
8:7
Pittsburgh Pirates
Detroit Tigers +1.5
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line+0.49 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 15 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Philadelphia Phillies
0:2
Tampa Bay Rays
Philadelphia Phillies to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 15 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Washington Nationals
7:6
New York Mets
Washington Nationals +1.5
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 15 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Toronto Blue Jays
6:5
Cincinnati Reds
Toronto Blue Jays to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.57 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 16 h before start
odds 1.57DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Miami Marlins
3:0
Atlanta Braves
Miami Marlins +1.5
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.57 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 16 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
9:12
Cleveland Guardians
Cleveland Guardians to win
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line+0.67 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 16 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Chicago White Sox
6:1
Colorado Rockies
Chicago White Sox to win
Open on Xexpected 68% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 16 h before start
odds 1.51DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Milwaukee Brewers
8:4
St. Louis Cardinals
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.51 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 17 h before start
odds 1.79DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Minnesota Twins
10:2
Texas Rangers
Texas Rangers to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 18 h before start
odds 1.95DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
San Diego Padres
4:11
Arizona Diamondbacks
San Diego Padres to win
Open on Xexpected 49% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 18 h before start
odds 1.49DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Athletics
6:5
Houston Astros
Houston Astros to win
Open on Xexpected 64% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 19 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Seattle Mariners
5:7
Los Angeles Angels
Seattle Mariners to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Sept, 07:38 · 19 h before start
odds 1.29DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
San Francisco Giants
0:2
Los Angeles Dodgers
Los Angeles Dodgers to win
Open on Xexpected 74% from the closing line+0.29 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 10 h before start
odds 1.60DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Detroit Tigers
2:4
Washington Nationals
Detroit Tigers to win
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 10 h before start
odds 1.78DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Baltimore Orioles
4:2
Toronto Blue Jays
Baltimore Orioles to win
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line+0.78 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 12 h before start
odds 1.64DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
San Francisco Giants
2:4
Minnesota Twins
Minnesota Twins to win
Open on Xexpected 58% from the closing line+0.64 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 15 h before start
odds 1.79DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Philadelphia Phillies
1:4
Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.79 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 15 h before start
odds 1.72DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Pittsburgh Pirates
1:5
St. Louis Cardinals
Pittsburgh Pirates to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 16 h before start
odds 1.69DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Boston Red Sox
1:0
Cleveland Guardians
Boston Red Sox to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.69 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 16 h before start
odds 1.69DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
New York Yankees
9:2
Tampa Bay Rays
New York Yankees to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.69 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 16 h before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Atlanta Braves
3:2
Cincinnati Reds
Atlanta Braves to win
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.35 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 16 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Kansas City Royals
5:4
Chicago White Sox
Chicago White Sox to win
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 16 h before start
odds 1.51DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
MLB·
Chicago Cubs
2:3
Miami Marlins
Chicago Cubs to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 17 h before start
odds 1.88DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Texas Rangers
2:7
New York Mets
New York Mets to win
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.88 u
Singleposted 23 Sept, 07:19 · 17 h before start
odds 1.59DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
MLB·
Colorado Rockies
3:5
Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona Diamondbacks to win
Open on Xexpected 60% from the closing line+0.59 u