the Sports ON Tap

@thesportsontap23.7K followersfirst pick 19 Augusually posts 17 h before start

📍Two Brother's Who Love Sports 📍@samiontap & @georgeontap 📍@ontaphoops 📍@seattleontap @marinersontap

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Tipster index43.4needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

20.0%

expected 43.1%

Edge

−23.1 pp

over expectation

Graded

1-4 · 1 pending

ROI

on 4 picks with odds

Average odds

2.81

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W1, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Baseball0-2 · 2 graded

−52.8

Basketball1-1 · 2 graded

+15.9

50%

Hockey0-1 · 1 graded

−41.6

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result0-4 · 4 graded

−41.3

Totals1-0 · 1 graded

+50.0

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even1-3 · 4 graded

−24.3

25%

Underdog0-1 · 1 graded

−18.2

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.890-2 · 2 graded

2.30…3.490-1 · 1 graded

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).