Skip to content

risplay

@risplayfwbr0 followersfirst pick 20 Octusually posts 4 h before start
TennisBasketballFootball
Tipster index36.2#762 on the leaderboarddown 50 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
23.1%
expected 45.9%
Edge
−22.8 pp
hit rate at most 45.7% with 95% confidence: below expectation beyond noise
Graded
13
3-10
ROI
−58.6%
on 11 picks with odds · max drawdown −6.67 u
Average odds
2.54
singles with odds
Form
streak L8 · best W1, worst L6

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-1019 Oct23 Oct27 Oct31 Oct4 Nov

By sport

Tennis2-5 · 7 graded
−22.7
29%
Football0-3 · 3 graded
−30.6
0%
Basketball1-2 · 3 graded
−15.5
33%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap3-8 · 11 graded
−21.7
27%
Match result0-2 · 2 graded
−29.1
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1 · 3 graded
−3.7
67%
Even1-4 · 5 graded
−27.8
20%
Underdog0-5 · 5 graded
−29.3
0%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.502-1 · 3 graded
-
67%
1.50…1.890-1 · 1 graded
-
0%
1.90…2.291-1 · 2 graded
-
50%
2.30…3.490-3 · 3 graded
-
0%
3.50+0-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −20.9 pp
    3-9 · 25%
    ROI −54.4%
  • November 2026
    −45.8 pp
    0-1 · 0%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

Badge for your site

Show your BetBuddyRank index on your site, Linktree or Telegram channel. The badge updates with the leaderboard and links to this page.

HTML
Markdown
BBCode

Picks

Singleposted 4 Nov, 18:41 · 1 h before start
odds 2.08Lost
EuroLeague · EuroLeague: Regular season·
Real Madrid
112:115
Panathinaikos
Real Madrid −2.08@2.08
Open on Xexpected 46% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 18:27 · 2 h before start
Lost
LaLiga·
Barcelona
1:2
Real Madrid
Barcelona −1.63
Open on Xexpected 50% by model
Singleposted 25 Oct, 18:27 · 2 h before start
odds 5.90Lost
LaLiga·
Barcelona
1:2
Real Madrid
Draw@5.90
Open on Xexpected 16% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 25 Oct, 18:27 · 2 h before start
odds 3.77Lost
LaLiga·
Barcelona
1:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid −3.77@3.77
Open on Xexpected 25% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:09 · 6 h before start
odds 1.43Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Valentin Vacherot
1:2
Luca Van Assche
Valentin Vacherot −1.43@1.43
Open on Xexpected 67% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 06:09 · 6 h before start
odds 2.43Lost
ATP 250 · Lyon Open·
Valentin Vacherot
1:2
Luca Van Assche
Luca Van Assche −2.43@2.43
Open on Xexpected 39% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 05:58 · 4 h before start
Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Martin Damm
0:2
Francisco Cerundolo
Martin Damm to win
Open on Xexpected 42% by model
Singleposted 21 Oct, 05:58 · 4 h before start
odds 2.47Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Martin Damm
0:2
Francisco Cerundolo
Martin Damm −2.47@2.47
Open on Xexpected 39% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 05:58 · 4 h before start
odds 1.42Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Martin Damm
0:2
Francisco Cerundolo
Francisco Cerundolo −1.42@1.42
Open on Xexpected 67% from odds+0.42 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 17:01 · 2 h before start
odds 1.87Lost
NBA · Regular season·
Detroit Pistons
121:113
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics −1.87@1.87
Open on Xexpected 51% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 17:01 · 2 h before start
odds 1.91Won
NBA · Regular season·
Detroit Pistons
121:113
Boston Celtics
Detroit Pistons −1.91@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds+0.91 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 05:54 · 4 h before start
odds 1.23Won
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Tallon Griekspoor
2:1
Max Schoenhaus
Tallon Griekspoor −1.23@1.23
Open on Xexpected 77% from odds+0.23 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 05:54 · 4 h before start
odds 3.45Lost
ATP 250 · European Open (Antwerp)·
Tallon Griekspoor
2:1
Max Schoenhaus
Max Schoenhaus −3.45@3.45
Open on Xexpected 28% from odds−1.00 u