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Sports GOAT ai

@SportsGOATai137 followersfirst pick 9 Octusually posts 6 h before start

AI models, Sports Betting

HockeyNFL & NCAAF
CompareRSS
Tipster index41.0#558 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
50.0%
expected 59.0%
Edge
−9.0 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 35.7%, the edge is within noise
Graded
30
15-15
ROI
−16.1%
on 25 picks with odds · max drawdown −7.66 u
Average odds
1.65
singles with odds
Form
streak W1 · best W5, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-4-208 Oct12 Oct16 Oct19 Oct23 Oct

By sport

Hockey14-11 · 25 graded
−3.7
56%
NFL & NCAAF1-4 · 5 graded
−35.3
20%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result7-8 · 15 graded
−13.5
47%
Totals4-6 · 10 graded
−13.9
40%
Handicap4-0 · 4 graded
+27.4
100%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−37.8
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite9-4 · 13 graded
+1.1
69%
Even6-10 · 16 graded
−15.4
38%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.504-4 · 8 graded
−29.6%
50%
1.50…1.899-6 · 15 graded
+2.3%
60%
1.90…2.290-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −9.0 pp
    15-15 · 50%
    ROI −16.1%

By league

  • NHL14-1156%−3.7
  • NFL1-420%−35.3

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Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 20:39 · 5 h before start
odds 1.61Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Seattle Kraken
5:3
Utah Mammoth
Seattle Kraken +1.5@1.61
Open on Xexpected 59% from odds+0.61 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 20:39 · 3 h before start
odds 1.91Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Islanders
2:3
Los Angeles Kings
New York Islanders to win@1.91
Open on Xexpected 50% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 20:39 · 2 h before start
odds 1.78Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
2:6
San Jose Sharks
Ottawa Senators to win@1.78
Open on Xexpected 54% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 19:51 · 4 h before start
odds 1.45DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Buffalo Sabres
1:3
Philadelphia Flyers
Buffalo Sabres to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 21 Oct, 19:51 · 4 h before start
Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
5:1
Florida Panthers
Ottawa Senators +1.5
Open on Xexpected 94% by model
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:50 · 6 h before start
odds 1.44DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Montreal Canadiens
3:4
San Jose Sharks
Montreal Canadiens to win
Open on Xexpected 66% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:50 · 9 h before start
odds 1.35DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
3:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 71% from the closing line+0.35 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:50 · 7 h before start
odds 1.58DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Dallas Stars
3:2
Boston Bruins
Dallas Stars to win
Open on Xexpected 61% from the closing line+0.58 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:50 · 7 h before start
odds 1.74DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
St. Louis Blues
2:1
Winnipeg Jets
St. Louis Blues to win
Open on Xexpected 55% from the closing line+0.74 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:50 · 9 h before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vancouver Canucks
3:6
Carolina Hurricanes
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 20 Oct, 16:50 · 10 h before start
odds 1.76DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Vegas Golden Knights
2:6
Tampa Bay Lightning
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 54% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:14 · 7 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche to win
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:14 · 9 h before start
odds 1.54DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Utah Mammoth to win
Open on Xexpected 62% from the closing line+0.54 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 16:14 · 7 h before start
odds 1.90DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
Anaheim Ducks
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:23 · 3 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
New York Giants
27:34
New Orleans Saints
New York Giants to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:23 · 3 h before start
odds 1.84DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Philadelphia Eagles
14:25
Carolina Panthers
Over 39.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:23 · 3 h before start
Won
NFL · Regular Season·
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
19:26
Pittsburgh Steelers
Over 38.5
Open on Xexpected 67% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 14:23 · 3 h before start
Lost
NFL · Regular Season·
Indianapolis Colts
20:26
Tennessee Titans
Under 44.5
Open on Xexpected 51% by model
Singleposted 18 Oct, 13:35 · 10 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
3:2
Carolina Hurricanes
Carolina Hurricanes to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 13:35 · 8 h before start
odds 1.52DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Minnesota Wild
2:1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Minnesota Wild to win
Open on Xexpected 63% from the closing line+0.52 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 13:35 · 10 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Calgary Flames
3:2
Carolina Hurricanes
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.80 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 13:35 · 8 h before start
odds 1.81DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Minnesota Wild
2:1
Columbus Blue Jackets
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line+0.81 u
Singleposted 18 Oct, 13:25 · 5 min before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NFL · Regular Season·
Jacksonville Jaguars
31:34
Houston Texans
Jacksonville Jaguars to win
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 14:10 · 11 h before start
odds 1.48DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Colorado Avalanche
5:2
Pittsburgh Penguins
Colorado Avalanche to win
Open on Xexpected 65% from the closing line+0.48 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 14:10 · 12 h before start
odds 1.89DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:4
Boston Bruins
Boston Bruins to win
Open on Xexpected 50% from the closing line+0.89 u
Singleposted 16 Oct, 14:10 · 12 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Anaheim Ducks
2:4
Boston Bruins
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line+0.86 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 18:48 · 4 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Detroit Red Wings
3:6
Seattle Kraken
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 56% by model
Same-game combo · 2posted 9 Oct, 18:48 · 4 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:1
New York Rangers
New York Rangers +1.5✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Washington Capitals
3:1
New York Rangers
Under 6.5✓
Open on Xexpected 38% by model
Singleposted 9 Oct, 18:48 · 5 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Winnipeg Jets
1:5
Anaheim Ducks
Anaheim Ducks +1.5
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.40 u
Singleposted 9 Oct, 18:48 · 4 h before start
odds 1.40DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Columbus Blue Jackets
3:2
Pittsburgh Penguins
penalties
Pittsburgh Penguins +1.5
Open on Xexpected 69% from the closing line+0.40 u