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Drew Johnson

@RantingJohnson505 followersfirst pick 17 Octusually posts 8 h before start

Poker player and sports bettor | Pretend to be a good cook and OK at golf | Might write someday...

Hockey
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Tipster index35.2#602 on the leaderboardnewdeveloping sample
Hit rate
20.0%
expected 49.5%
Edge
−29.5 pp
hit rate at most 45.8% with 95% confidence: below expectation beyond noise
Graded
10
2-8
ROI
−61.9%
on 9 picks with odds · max drawdown −5.57 u
Average odds
1.84
singles with odds
Form
streak L3 · best W1, worst L3

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-3-2-1016 Oct18 Oct19 Oct21 Oct22 Oct

By sport

Hockey2-8 · 10 graded
−29.5
20%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals1-4 · 5 graded
−34.1
20%
Match result1-2 · 3 graded
−18.0
33%
Handicap0-1 · 1 graded
−46.8
0%
Parlays0-1 · 1 graded
−24.5
0%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even2-7 · 9 graded
−30.1
22%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.892-5 · 7 graded
−51.0%
29%
1.90…2.290-2 · 2 graded
-
0%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 0 of 1 months with 5+ picks
  • October 2026
    −29.5 pp
    2-8 · 20%
    ROI −61.9%

By league

  • NHL2-820%−29.5

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

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Drew Johnson (@RantingJohnson) on BetBuddyRank
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Picks

Singleposted 22 Oct, 18:37 · 4 h before start
odds 1.86DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:4
New York Rangers
Under 6.5
Open on Xexpected 51% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 16:14 · 7 h before start
odds 1.75Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Ottawa Senators
2:6
San Jose Sharks
Ottawa Senators to win@1.75
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 22 Oct, 11:23 · 12 h before start
odds 1.80DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New Jersey Devils
4:1
Anaheim Ducks
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 53% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 22:00 · 1 h before start
odds 2.05DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Philadelphia Flyers
3:2
Colorado Avalanche
Colorado Avalanche −1.5
Open on Xexpected 47% from the closing line−1.00 u
Same-game combo · 2posted 19 Oct, 22:00 · 2 h before start
Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks to win✕
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
Over 6.5✕
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Singleposted 19 Oct, 15:57 · 9 h before start
odds 1.70DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itWon
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Utah Mammoth
5:4
Pittsburgh Penguins
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 56% from the closing line+0.70 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 15:28 · 8 h before start
odds 1.73Won
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
New York Rangers
5:2
Anaheim Ducks
New York Rangers to win@1.73
Open on Xexpected 55% from odds+0.73 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 14:57 · 9 h before start
odds 2.15Lost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
San Jose Sharks to win@2.15
Open on Xexpected 44% from odds−1.00 u
Singleposted 19 Oct, 10:42 · 13 h before start
odds 1.67DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:1
San Jose Sharks
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 57% from the closing line−1.00 u
Singleposted 17 Oct, 06:19 · 14 h before start
odds 1.83DK: No odds in the post: DraftKings price (the closing line, the current one before kick-off). Expectation and ROI use itLost
NHL · NHL: Regular season·
Tampa Bay Lightning
4:2
Vancouver Canucks
Over 6.5
Open on Xexpected 52% from the closing line−1.00 u