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Pereira En Vivo

@pereiraenvivo23.9K followersfirst pick 24 Augusually posts 32 h before start

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FootballTennis
Tipster index47.7#422 on the leaderboarddown 38 this weekdeveloping sample
Hit rate
44.4%
expected 49.5%
Edge
−5.1 pp
95% lower bound of the hit rate: 21.9%, the edge is within noise
Graded
12
4-5-3
ROI
-
posts no odds
Average odds
-
singles with odds
Form
streak L2 · best W2, worst L2

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

-1-0.500.525 Aug6 Sept19 Sept2 Oct15 Oct

By sport

Football4-5-2 · 11 graded
−5.1
44%
Tennis0-0-1 · 1 graded
0.0
-

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Totals2-2-3 · 7 graded
−23.8
50%
Match result1-3 · 4 graded
+2.1
25%
Both teams to score1-0 · 1 graded
+41.3
100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite2-1-3 · 6 graded
−13.6
67%
Even1-1 · 2 graded
−6.6
50%
Underdog1-3 · 4 graded
+2.1
25%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks
  • August 2026
    0.0 pp
    0-0-1 · -
  • September 2026
    +5.1 pp
    2-2-1 · 50%
  • October 2026
    −13.2 pp
    2-3-1 · 40%

By league

Similar tipsters

Same main sport, closest index

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Picks

Singleposted 14 Oct, 23:29 · 22 h before start
Lost
Colombia · Primera B: Clausura·
Barranquilla FC
2:2
Tigres FC
Tigres FC to win
Open on Xexpected 25% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 01:51 · 17 h before start
Lost
Primera Division: Clausura · Primera División: Clausura·
Cerro
0:2
Montevideo Wanderers
Cerro to win
Open on Xexpected 22% by model
Singleposted 4 Oct, 01:41 · 35 h before start
Won
Paraguay · Division Profesional: Clausura·
CD Recoleta
1:2
Libertad
Under 4
Open on Xexpected 80% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 00:21 · 3 days before start
Lost
Primera A: Clausura·
Independiente Medellin
0:1
Santa Fe
Over 2
Open on Xexpected 81% by model
Singleposted 3 Oct, 00:18 · 3 days before start
Won
Colombia · Primera B: Clausura·
Bogota FC
3:3
Envigado
Both teams to score: yes
Open on Xexpected 59% by model
Singleposted 1 Oct, 14:41 · 28 h before start
Push
Club Friendlies · Club Friendlies 2026·
Sevilla
1:3
Aston Villa
Under 4
Open on Xexpected 82% by model
Singleposted 29 Sept, 19:35 · 17 h before start
Push
ATP Challenger · Bari, Italy·
Zsombor Piros
0:2
Enrico Dalla Valle
Over 2 sets
Open on Xexpected 97% by model
Singleposted 11 Sept, 00:07 · 42 h before start
Won
Uruguay · Segunda División·
Huracan FC
1:2
Plaza Colonia
Plaza Colonia to win
Open on Xexpected 26% by model
Singleposted 9 Sept, 19:56 · 3 days before start
Won
Premier League·
Aston Villa
1:2
Nottingham Forest
Under 4
Open on Xexpected 80% by model
Singleposted 6 Sept, 00:29 · 21 h before start
Lost
El Salvador · Primera Division: Apertura·
Atletico Balboa
0:2
Municipal Limeno
Over 3
Open on Xexpected 55% by model
Singleposted 4 Sept, 13:13 · 2 days before start
Lost
Portugal · Liga 3: Group A·
Sao Joao Ver
0:0
AD Marco 09
AD Marco 09 to win
Open on Xexpected 19% by model
Singleposted 24 Aug, 23:35 · 25 h before start
Push
Copa Libertadores 2026 · Round of 16·
Independiente del Valle
3:1
Tolima
Under 4
Open on Xexpected 71% by model