MR Marcus picks ⭐️

@gatinssima1.1K followersfirst pick 18 Septusually posts 6 h before start

Honest sports Analyst 💯

FootballTennisNFL & NCAAFBaseballHockeyCricket

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Tipster index49.2#254 on the leaderboardestablished sample

Open picks 6

Games not played yet

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 08:30

Daniil Medvedev

-:-

Dalibor Svrcina

Daniil Medvedev to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Arthur Fils

-:-

Botic van de Zandschulp

Arthur Fils to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Zizou Bergs

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz to win

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win

Hit rate

59.6%

expected 60.0%

Edge

−0.5 pp

95% lower bound of the hit rate: 53.4%, the edge is within noise

Graded

178

106-72 · 12 pending

ROI

−15.3%

on 50 picks with odds · max drawdown −8.55 u

Average odds

1.67

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W8, worst L4

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Football33-22 · 55 graded

−1.6

60%

NFL & NCAAF34-15 · 49 graded

+10.4

69%

Tennis25-20 · 45 graded

−4.8

56%

Baseball10-12 · 22 graded

−11.4

45%

Hockey3-3 · 6 graded

−14.2

50%

Cricket1-0 · 1 graded

+40.6

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result82-56 · 138 graded

−1.6

59%

Totals9-6 · 15 graded

−8.9

60%

Handicap12-2 · 14 graded

+21.6

86%

Parlays0-6 · 6 graded

−3.5

Both teams to score2-2 · 4 graded

−12.6

50%

Double chance1-0 · 1 graded

+35.7

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite75-29 · 104 graded

+3.3

72%

Even29-36 · 65 graded

−7.9

45%

Underdog2-1 · 3 graded

+35.3

67%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

< 1.5017-3 · 20 graded

+13.8%

85%

1.50…1.898-10 · 18 graded

−27.0%

44%

1.90…2.293-7 · 10 graded

−35.4%

30%

3.50+0-1 · 1 graded

Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).

By month

Hit rate above expectation in 1 of 2 months with 5+ picks

September 2026
−2.9 pp
55-43 · 56%
ROI −23.8%
October 2026
+2.4 pp
51-29 · 64%
ROI −7.5%

By league

NFL23-1070%+8.3
UEFA Nations League21-1264%−1.9
MLB · USA10-1245%−11.4
ATP 5009-1145%−18.2
NCAAF11-379%+17.0
ATP Challenger7-464%+4.5
ATP 10001-233%−24.7
ATP 2504-357%−1.2
NHL3-350%−14.2
Premier League · England3-175%+12.8

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Picks

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 3 h before start

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 04:10

Learner Tien

0:2

Casper Ruud

Learner Tien to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 3 h before start

Won

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 04:10

Pablo Carreno Busta

1:2

Felix Auger Aliassime

Felix Auger Aliassime to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 6 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:30

Stefanos Tsitsipas

live

Taylor Fritz

Taylor Fritz to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 6 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 06:20

Jiri Lehecka

live

Rafael Jodar

Rafael Jodar to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 8 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 08:30

Daniil Medvedev

-:-

Dalibor Svrcina

Daniil Medvedev to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 9 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Arthur Fils

-:-

Botic van de Zandschulp

Arthur Fils to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 9 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 10:00

Zizou Bergs

-:-

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:45 · 11 h before start

Pending

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·12 Oct, 11:30

Tommy Paul

-:-

Valentin Vacherot

Tommy Paul to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:38 · 16 h before start

Pending

Serie A·12 Oct, 16:30

Atalanta

-:-

Venezia

Atalanta to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:38 · 16 h before start

Pending

Allsvenskan·12 Oct, 17:00

Malmo FF

-:-

Kalmar FF

Malmo FF to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:38 · 19 h before start

Pending

Primeira Liga·12 Oct, 19:15

Famalicao

-:-

Alverca

Famalicao to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:38 · 18 h before start

Pending

Premier League·12 Oct, 19:00

Coventry City

-:-

Newcastle United

Newcastle United to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:38 · 14 h before start

Pending

Super League·12 Oct, 15:00

PAOK FC

-:-

Kalamata

PAOK FC to win

Singleposted 12 Oct, 00:38 · 16 h before start

Pending

Allsvenskan·12 Oct, 17:00

Elfsborg

-:-

Halmstads BK

Elfsborg to win

Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:20 · 39 min before start

odds 2.14Lost

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New York Jets

17:12

Cleveland Browns

Cleveland Browns to win@2.14

Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:20 · 39 min before start

odds 1.54Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

New England Patriots

45:17

Las Vegas Raiders

New England Patriots to win@1.54

Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:20 · 39 min before start

odds 2.24Lost

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 17:00

Pittsburgh Steelers

34:22

Indianapolis Colts

Indianapolis Colts to win@2.24

Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:20 · 4 h before start

odds 1.54Won

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:05

Los Angeles Chargers

17:23

Denver Broncos

Denver Broncos to win@1.54

Singleposted 11 Oct, 16:20 · 4 h before start

odds 1.87Lost

NFL · Regular Season·11 Oct, 20:25

Arizona Cardinals

21:45

Detroit Lions

Arizona Cardinals +5.5@1.87

Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:08 · 7 h before start

odds 1.80Won

Premier League·10 Oct, 14:00

Chelsea

5:1

AFC Bournemouth

Over 3@1.80

Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:08 · 9 h before start

odds 1.71Won

Bundesliga·10 Oct, 16:30

RB Leipzig

6:0

Eintracht Frankfurt

Over 3.5@1.71

Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:08 · 12 h before start

Lost

LaLiga·10 Oct, 19:00

Real Madrid

1:0

Villarreal

Over 1.5

Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:08 · 4 h before start

Won

Premier League·10 Oct, 11:30

Arsenal

2:1

Leeds United

Arsenal to win

Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:08 · 12 h before start

Won

Serie A·10 Oct, 18:45

Napoli

3:0

Frosinone

Napoli to win

Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:08 · 7 h before start

Won

Premier League·10 Oct, 14:00

Chelsea

5:1

AFC Bournemouth

Chelsea or draw

Singleposted 10 Oct, 07:08 · 10 h before start

Won

Primeira Liga·10 Oct, 17:00

Maritimo

1:2

FC Porto

FC Porto to win

Parlay · 11posted 8 Oct, 08:34 · 14 h before start

Lost

NFL · Regular Season·9 Oct, 00:15

Dallas Cowboys

16:24

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Dallas Cowboys to win✕

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·8 Oct, 23:00

Liberty Flames

35:3

Sam Houston State Bearkats

Liberty Flames to win✓

NCAAF · NCAAF: Regular Season·8 Oct, 23:30

UTSA Roadrunners

31:24

South Florida Bulls

UTSA Roadrunners to win✓

MLB · post-season·9 Oct, 00:00

Chicago White Sox

5:9

Cleveland Guardians

Cleveland Guardians to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 23:00

Carolina Hurricanes

7:2

Vancouver Canucks

Carolina Hurricanes to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 23:30

New York Islanders

4:1

Chicago Blackhawks

New York Islanders to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 23:00

Ottawa Senators

2:1

Philadelphia Flyers

Ottawa Senators to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 23:00

Tampa Bay Lightning

3:2

Minnesota Wild

Tampa Bay Lightning to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·9 Oct, 01:00

Calgary Flames

3:7

Colorado Avalanche

Colorado Avalanche to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 23:00

Boston Bruins

6:1

Utah Mammoth

Boston Bruins to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·8 Oct, 23:00

Buffalo Sabres

0:4

Dallas Stars

Dallas Stars to win✓

Singleposted 7 Oct, 06:32 · 2 h before start

Lost

ATP 1000 · Shanghai Rolex Masters·7 Oct, 08:55

Quentin Halys

2:0

Chak Wong

Chak Wong to win

Singleposted 6 Oct, 13:35 · 4 h before start

odds 1.90Lost

EFL Trophy · EFL Trophy North: Group A·6 Oct, 18:00

Accrington Stanley

1:1

Salford City

penalties

Over 3@1.90

Parlay · 9posted 6 Oct, 06:37 · 12 h before start

Lost

UEFA Nations League · League A: Group 3·6 Oct, 18:45

Croatia

1:2

Spain

Spain to win✓

UEFA Nations League · League C: Group 3·6 Oct, 18:45

Moldova

0:4

Slovakia

Slovakia to win✓

MLB · post-season·6 Oct, 22:00

Atlanta Braves

1:3

Los Angeles Dodgers

Atlanta Braves to win✕

MLB · post-season·7 Oct, 01:30

San Diego Padres

4:3

Milwaukee Brewers

San Diego Padres to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Toronto Maple Leafs

5:4

Nashville Predators

Toronto Maple Leafs to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:00

Montreal Canadiens

4:6

Carolina Hurricanes

Carolina Hurricanes to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 02:00

Los Angeles Kings

1:2

Florida Panthers

Florida Panthers to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·6 Oct, 23:30

New York Rangers

5:2

New York Islanders

New York Rangers to win✓

NHL · NHL: Regular season·7 Oct, 01:40

Seattle Kraken

2:6

Vegas Golden Knights

Vegas Golden Knights to win✓