JT Newberry

@jtnewberry134 followersfirst pick 6 Sept

NFL & NCAAF

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Tipster index55.0needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

100.0%

expected 59.8%

Edge

+40.2 pp

over expectation

Graded

2-0

ROI

on 1 picks with odds

Average odds

1.90

singles with odds

Form

streak W2 · best W2, worst L0

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

NFL & NCAAF2-0 · 2 graded

+40.2

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Handicap2-0 · 2 graded

+40.2

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Favourite1-0 · 1 graded

+30.4

100%

Even1-0 · 1 graded

+50.0

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).