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Wins above expectation
Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.
By sport
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By market
Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
Favourites and underdogs
Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.
By odds
Singles with the odds stated in the post. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).
By month
- August 2026−44.9 pp0-3 · 0%
- September 2026−49.5 pp0-2 · 0%
- October 2026+44.3 pp1-0 · 100%
By league
- NHL1-150%−4.5
- MLB · USA0-10%−55.0
- Primeira Liga · Portugal0-10%−55.4
- Champions League0-10%−24.2
Similar tipsters
Same main sport, closest index
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