Jason Pominville

@pommersburner25 followersfirst pick 27 Octusually posts 2 h before start

NHL Insider, Hockey Night in Canada Reserve Panelist, Probably Done Dust With Your Favourite Player

Hockey

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Tipster index53.1needs 10+ graded picksbuilding history

Hit rate

60.0%

expected 49.0%

Edge

+11.0 pp

over expectation

Graded

3-2

ROI

+26.4%

on 5 picks with odds · max drawdown −1.00 u

Average odds

1.98

singles with odds

Form

streak L1 · best W2, worst L1

Wins above expectation

Running difference between actual and expected wins. Rising means beating the market.

By sport

Hockey3-2 · 5 graded

+11.0

60%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By market

Match result2-2 · 4 graded

−1.7

50%

Handicap1-0 · 1 graded

+61.7

100%

Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

Favourites and underdogs

Even2-2 · 4 graded

−1.7

50%

Underdog1-0 · 1 graded

+61.7

100%

Singles by their expected chance to win (from the no-vig odds or the Elo rating): favourite 60% or more, even 40-60%, underdog under 40%. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: edge in pp.

By odds

1.50…1.891-2 · 3 graded

33%

1.90…2.291-0 · 1 graded

100%

2.30…3.491-0 · 1 graded

100%

Singles with a price: the one in the post or the DraftKings closing line. Bar: hit rate, tick: expected hit rate. Right: ROI at 1 unit per pick (from 5 picks).